FinalWin Prob.pScore
358%104
79
1742%101
93
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
84.09488.1
DET logo DET
98.994100.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET79
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETMontero REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASMISS Murray 3' Layup79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETGalloway Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASPaul 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMontero Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DETBuycks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETMISS Ellenson 18' Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASForbes 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Lauvergne 2 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08DETMontero Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Forbes 13' Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASLauvergne S.FOUL (P1.PN) (Z.Zarba)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30DETMISS Bullock 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASTolliver STEAL (2 STL)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51SASMurray P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58SASMurray 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04SASPaul P.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wall)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20SASPaul 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)73
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DETMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37SASAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T4) (Z.Zarba)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DETMISS Smith 8' Driving Layup71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASAnderson 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45DETBullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53SASAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T3) (A.Smith)69
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08SASDrummond STEAL (3 STL)69
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20DETSmith 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:43SASAnderson 1' Dunk (6 PTS)69
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 4:44SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 4:48SASMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 4:53DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 5:14SASMurray P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wall)67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:15SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:15SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 5:15DETDrummond S.FOUL (P3.T2) (Z.Zarba)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 5:30DETKennard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 5:58SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 6:19DETHarris 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Drummond 6 AST)63
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 6:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)63
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 6:41SASMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 6:44SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 6:46DETMISS Bullock 5' Layup63
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 7:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASMISS Murray 3PT Jump Shot63
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 7:23DETBullock 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)63
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 7:27SASKennard STEAL (3 STL)63
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 7:31SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)63
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q4 - 7:35DETMISS Harris 16' Turnaround Jump Shot63
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q4 - 7:51SASLeonard Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)63
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 7:54DETBuycks Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)63
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q4 - 7:59SASBuycks STEAL (1 STL)63
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 8:11DETKennard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:11DETKennard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q4 - 8:11SASLeonard S.FOUL (P3.T1) (A.Smith)63
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q4 - 8:25DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q4 - 8:31SASMISS Leonard 14' Step Back Jump Shot63
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q4 - 8:43DETMoreland P.FOUL (P1.T1) (Z.Zarba)63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q4 - 8:59DETKennard 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Moreland 2 AST)63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q4 - 9:14SASLeonard Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)63
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 9:19SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
15.2%
72
84.8%
Q4 - 9:22DETMISS Buycks 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
14.2%
72
85.8%
Q4 - 9:36SASParker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)63
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 9:51DETBullock 7' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)61
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q4 - 10:11DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q4 - 10:15SASMISS Forbes 28' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q4 - 10:26DETKennard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Moreland 1 AST)61
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q4 - 10:36DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
23.8%
67
76.2%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Forbes 22' Pullup Jump Shot61
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q4 - 11:01DETHarris 22' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
29.3%
67
70.7%
Q4 - 11:15SASAnderson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)61
33.9%
65
66.1%
Q4 - 11:31DETKennard 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Buycks 3 AST)59
29.2%
65
70.8%
Q4 - 11:48SASGasol 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)59
33.8%
63
66.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET57
29.2%
63
70.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETBuycks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASKennard STEAL (2 STL)57
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
28.0%
63
72.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
30.9%
63
69.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETMISS Kennard 11' Jump Shot57
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASGasol 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)57
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
22.8%
63
77.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Gasol 5' Driving Layup55
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 1:08DETDrummond P.FOUL (P2.T3) (A.Smith)55
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 1:24DETKennard 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Buycks 2 AST)55
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 1:47SASForbes 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)55
32.4%
60
67.6%
Q3 - 1:58DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)53
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 1:58DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 253
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q3 - 1:58SASForbes S.FOUL (P2.T4) (A.Smith)53
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q3 - 1:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)53
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Bullock 13' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot53
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q3 - 2:08DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
29.4%
59
70.6%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Aldridge 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 2:34SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)53
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot53
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 2:49DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
29.3%
59
70.7%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot53
30.6%
59
69.4%
Q3 - 3:10DETBuycks Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)53
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 3:30SASForbes 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)53
30.6%
59
69.4%
Q3 - 3:56DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q3 - 4:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)50
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 4:04SASMISS Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 4:16SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
31.9%
57
68.1%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
30.6%
57
69.4%
Q3 - 4:36SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)50
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETBullock 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Drummond 5 AST)47
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 5:15SASAldridge 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)47
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q3 - 5:22DETDrummond 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)45
25.9%
54
74.1%
Q3 - 5:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)45
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 5:26DETMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup45
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)45
28.8%
52
71.2%
Q3 - 5:40SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Layup45
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q3 - 5:44SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)45
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q3 - 5:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q3 - 5:57DETMISS Smith 4' Driving Layup45
31.4%
52
68.6%
Q3 - 6:06DETPISTONS Rebound45
30.0%
52
70.0%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Forbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.2%
52
68.8%
Q3 - 6:26DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q3 - 6:26DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q3 - 6:26SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3) (A.Smith)45
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q3 - 6:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)45
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
38.2%
50
61.8%
Q3 - 6:46DETHarris Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)45
41.1%
50
58.9%
Q3 - 7:03DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
38.8%
50
61.2%
Q3 - 7:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
41.7%
50
58.3%
Q3 - 7:16DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot45
40.4%
50
59.6%
Q3 - 7:37SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)45
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q3 - 7:53DETHarris 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
34.5%
50
65.5%
Q3 - 7:57DETPISTONS Rebound43
37.5%
48
62.5%
Q3 - 7:57DETMISS Drummond 5' Layup43
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q3 - 8:15SASAldridge Layup (13 PTS)43
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 8:16SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)41
35.4%
48
64.6%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Green 5' Driving Layup41
32.7%
48
67.3%
Q3 - 8:34DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)41
35.4%
48
64.6%
Q3 - 8:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)41
38.2%
46
61.8%
Q3 - 8:44SASMISS Aldridge 8' Turnaround Hook Shot41
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q3 - 8:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
41.1%
46
58.9%
Q3 - 9:04SASTolliver STEAL (1 STL)41
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q3 - 9:15DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
42.7%
46
57.3%
Q3 - 9:15DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q3 - 9:15SASLeonard S.FOUL (P2.T2) (S.Wall)41
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q3 - 9:28SASLeonard Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)41
46.0%
44
54.0%
Q3 - 9:28SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)40
45.6%
44
54.4%
Q3 - 9:28SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)39
45.1%
44
54.9%
Q3 - 9:28DETBullock S.FOUL (P3.T2) (Z.Zarba)38
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q3 - 9:38SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q3 - 9:41DETMISS Tolliver Free Throw 2 of 238
38.7%
44
61.3%
Q3 - 9:41DETTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
36.6%
44
63.4%
Q3 - 9:41SASAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T1) (A.Smith)38
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q3 - 9:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)38
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q3 - 9:56SASMISS Aldridge 7' Step Back Jump Shot38
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q3 - 10:07DETTolliver P.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wall)38
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q3 - 10:25DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)38
43.4%
43
56.6%
Q3 - 10:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)38
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q3 - 10:35SASMISS Gasol 18' Pullup Jump Shot38
47.7%
41
52.3%
Q3 - 10:46SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
50.4%
41
49.6%
Q3 - 10:49DETMISS Smith 18' Pullup Jump Shot38
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q3 - 10:59SASGasol 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)38
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q3 - 10:59SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
43.4%
41
56.6%
Q3 - 11:03SASMISS Parker 7' Layup36
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q3 - 11:08DETBullock Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
44.2%
41
55.8%
Q3 - 11:23DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40.7%
41
59.3%
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot36
41.7%
41
58.3%
Q3 - 11:44DETSmith 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
44.2%
41
55.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS36
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound36
51.0%
39
49.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
48.4%
39
51.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETSmith 22' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 4 AST)36
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)36
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASMISS Anderson 17' Pullup Jump Shot36
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
57.4%
37
42.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETMISS Harris 8' Jump Bank Shot36
56.7%
37
43.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASAldridge 2' Layup (11 PTS)36
55.1%
37
44.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
50.9%
37
49.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASMISS Aldridge 6' Hook Shot34
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 1:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Harris 14' Jump Shot34
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q2 - 1:24SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 1:24SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
48.7%
37
51.3%
Q2 - 1:24DETGalloway P.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wall)32
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Murray 15' Pullup Jump Shot32
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 1:30DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)32
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:49SASAldridge 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
42.9%
37
57.1%
Q2 - 2:09DETBullock 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 2:30SASGinobili 13' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)30
42.8%
35
57.2%
Q2 - 2:36SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Galloway 16' Pullup Jump Shot28
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 2:58SASAldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 3:16SASSpurs Rebound26
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Smith 2' Layup26
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 3:33SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 3:33SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 3:33DETBullock S.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wall)24
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q2 - 3:44SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
30.2%
35
69.8%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Galloway 3PT Jump Shot24
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 4:08SASLeonard 5' Layup (6 PTS)24
28.7%
35
71.3%
Q2 - 4:22DETDrummond L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (A.Smith)22
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 4:22SASSpurs Rebound22
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 4:22DETMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot22
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 4:32SASDrummond STEAL (2 STL)22
24.3%
35
75.7%
Q2 - 4:40SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot22
25.8%
35
74.2%
Q2 - 4:55DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 4:55SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup22
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 4:57SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
26.4%
35
73.6%
Q2 - 5:01SASMISS Leonard 18' Fadeaway Jumper22
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 5:24SASPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
27.4%
35
72.6%
Q2 - 5:28DETMISS Kennard 14' Pullup Jump Shot22
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 5:39SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
25.0%
35
75.0%
Q2 - 5:39SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
24.7%
35
75.3%
Q2 - 5:39DETKennard S.FOUL (P1.T2) (Z.Zarba)20
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 5:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Drummond 2' Alley Oop Layup20
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 6:06DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Aldridge 4' Hook Shot20
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 6:22SASPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.2%
35
75.8%
Q2 - 6:27DETMISS Kennard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot20
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 6:46SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)20
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 7:08DETKennard 1' Layup (5 PTS)20
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 7:12SASKennard STEAL (1 STL)20
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 7:29DETKennard 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Buycks 1 AST)20
29.3%
33
70.7%
Q2 - 7:52SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)20
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 7:57DETBullock P.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)18
31.5%
30
68.5%
Q2 - 8:03SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 8:07SASMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot18
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 8:30DETBuycks 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)18
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 8:35DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Lauvergne 3PT Jump Shot18
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q2 - 9:04DETBuycks 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 9:10SASForbes P.FOUL (P1.T1) (A.Smith)18
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q2 - 9:17DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Forbes 14' Pullup Jump Shot18
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 9:36SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 9:39DETMISS Galloway 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 9:43DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Ginobili 9' Layup18
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 9:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 9:55DETMISS Marjanovic 6' Hook Shot18
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 10:08DETPISTONS Rebound18
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Anderson 5' Layup18
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q2 - 10:30DETBuycks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q2 - 10:33DETPISTONS Rebound18
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 10:33DETMISS Buycks 2' Layup18
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q2 - 10:56SASGinobili 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 11:07DETMarjanovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)16
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q2 - 11:21SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)16
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q2 - 11:40DETMarjanovic 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)13
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS13
33.3%
24
66.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound13
35.5%
24
64.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0DETMISS Buycks 19' Step Back Jump Shot13
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASAnderson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)13
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.5%
24
68.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETMISS Kennard 1' Layup11
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETBuycks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASGalloway BLOCK (1 BLK)11
30.3%
24
69.7%
Q1 - 1:08DETDrummond 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Kennard 1 AST)11
31.8%
24
68.2%
Q1 - 1:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)11
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Lauvergne 11' Hook Shot11
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 1:37SASSpurs Rebound11
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 1:38DETMISS Galloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 1:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)11
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 2:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q1 - 2:13DETMISS Smith 1' Layup11
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 2:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)11
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Aldridge 5' Layup11
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 2:33DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)11
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)11
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 2:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 2:54DETMISS Kennard 3PT Jump Shot11
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q1 - 3:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)11
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 3:03SASMISS Bertans 9' Layup11
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 3:20DETSmith 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
41.7%
20
58.3%
Q1 - 3:43SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
43.6%
18
56.4%
Q1 - 3:43SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 210
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 3:43DETTolliver S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)10
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 4:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
45.2%
18
54.8%
Q1 - 4:01DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 4:04DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:09SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot10
43.6%
18
56.4%
Q1 - 4:23SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
45.3%
18
54.7%
Q1 - 4:26DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 4:40DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 4:56DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot10
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 5:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 5:08SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 5:27DETDrummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
46.5%
18
53.5%
Q1 - 5:52SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)10
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 6:01SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 6:05DETMISS Bullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.3%
16
54.7%
Q1 - 6:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
44.1%
16
55.9%
Q1 - 6:12SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot7
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 6:34DETBullock 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Drummond 3 AST)7
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 6:38SASDrummond STEAL (1 STL)7
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 6:59DETSmith 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 7:03DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 7:06SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 7:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 7:27DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 7:48SASAldridge 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 8:02SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 8:03DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot5
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 8:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 8:04DETMISS Smith 19' Pullup Jump Shot5
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 8:22DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Leonard 8' Jump Shot5
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 8:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 8:39DETMISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 8:47SASLeonard Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 8:47SASLeonard OFF.Foul (P1) (A.Smith)5
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 8:57DETBullock 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)5
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 9:16SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
53.3%
10
46.7%
Q1 - 9:32DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 9:41DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 10:06DETHarris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)2
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 10:25SASGasol 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)2
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 10:39DETBullock 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)0
55.1%
6
44.9%
Q1 - 10:42DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.4%
3
43.6%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Leonard 15' Jump Shot0
56.6%
3
43.4%
Q1 - 10:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
57.0%
3
43.0%
Q1 - 11:06DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 11:10SASMISS Gasol 3PT Jump Shot0
56.9%
3
43.1%
Q1 - 11:26DETBullock 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)0
57.3%
3
42.7%
Q1 - 11:31DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:35SASMISS Green 8' Floating Jump Shot0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Gasol: Tip to Leonard0
57.6%
0
42.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 42.9%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
21
62%
DET
14
25
56%
Midrange
SAS
13
37
35%
DET
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
26
19%
29%
DET
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
12
13
92%
DET
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard1860%9.0 / 15
L. Aldridge1544%7.5 / 17
B. Forbes1042%5.0 / 12
P. Gasol844%4.0 / 9
K. Anderson857%4.0 / 7
D. Green650%3.0 / 6
T. Parker433%2.0 / 6
M. Ginobili433%2.0 / 6
B. Paul467%2.0 / 3
D. Murray220%1.0 / 5
P. Mills0-0.0 / 1
J. Lauvergne0-0.0 / 2
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bullock2279%11.0 / 14
L. Kennard2077%10.0 / 13
I. Smith1850%9.0 / 18
A. Drummond1454%7.0 / 13
T. Harris1243%6.0 / 14
D. Buycks440%2.0 / 5
B. Marjanovic250%1.0 / 2
A. Tolliver110%0.5 / 5
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 4
H. Ellenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+12
-14
92
DET
83
+8
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.86 42.9%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
107.2
SAS 84.0
DET 98.9 +14.9
Pace
95.3
96.2
SAS 88.1
DET 100.7 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.0
SAS 16.3
DET 14.3 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
51.2%
SAS 39.9%
DET 49.4% +9.5%
TO %
13.3%
13.2%
SAS 13.5%
DET 11.1% +2.4%
ORB %
23.6%
22.6%
SAS 20.4% +6.1%
DET 14.3%
FTrt
24.5
22.7
SAS 15.5
DET 19.8 +4.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
58.2%
SAS 58.1%
DET 61.1% +3.0%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
SAS 8.5%
DET 10.6% +2.1%
BLK %
9.7%
7.1%
SAS 8.8% +7.1%
DET 1.7%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.9%
SAS 42.9%
DET 51.1% +8.2%
Rim FG%
61.2%
57.6%
SAS 61.9% +5.9%
DET 56.0%
Mid FG%
40.7%
39.7%
SAS 35.1%
DET 43.8% +8.7%
3P %
35.2%
37.3%
SAS 19.2%
DET 33.3% +14.1%
FT %
77.2%
74.5%
SAS 92.3% +11.0%
DET 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
34.0%
SAS 25.0%
DET 30.9% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
39.5%
32.7%
SAS 44.0%
DET 39.5% +4.5%
3P Att. %
28.2%
33.3%
SAS 31.0% +1.3%
DET 29.6%
Game TotalsSASDET
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points7993
Rebounds4645
Assists1822
Steals810
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1311
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)39 (2)
Field Goals31-8436-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2114-25
Midrange FG13-3714-32
2-Point FG26-5828-57
3-Point FG5-268-24
Free Throws12-1313-16
Fast Break Pts413
2nd Chance Pts146
Points in Paint3840
Pts off Turnovers1214
Bench Points2826
Biggest Lead019

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 260 · 32
33.3
15
44%
11
1
0
2
0
1
5
6
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 27
27.6
18
60%
2
3
1
1
4
3
0
2
9-9
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 250 · 37
21.7
8
44%
10
1
0
0
3
0
3
7
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 36
20.5
4
33%
4
2
0
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 31
18.7
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
24.8
10
42%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24
19.7
8
57%
7
2
2
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 40
18.5
4
33%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
17.5
0
0%
2
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 180 · 21
12.9
2
20%
3
1
2
1
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
10.8
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
9.2
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#4 · G · 6'4" 190 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'6" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · F · 6'8" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
43%
46
18
8
5
14
13
10
36
12-13
92%
26-58
45%
5-26
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.