Final Win Prob. pScore
2055%107
117
3045%106
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
130.09093.4
ORL logo Magic
122.09187.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL117
111
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)117
111
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound116
111
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2116
111
Q4 - 0:00.0ORLBiyombo P.FOUL (P4.PN) (K.Scott)116
111
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)116
111
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot116
111
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)116
111
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)115
111
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLBiyombo P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Scott)114
111
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)114
111
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
111
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 0)114
111
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)114
111
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Payton 13 AST)112
111
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)112
108
Q4 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
108
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)112
108
Q4 - 1:12ORLGordon Free Throw 3 of 3 (39 PTS)109
108
Q4 - 1:12ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 3 (38 PTS)109
107
Q4 - 1:12ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 3 (37 PTS)109
106
Q4 - 1:12MIARichardson S.FOUL (P4.T4) (D.Richardson)109
105
Q4 - 1:35ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)109
105
Q4 - 1:35MIADragic 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)109
105
Q4 - 1:46ORLPayton Backcourt Turnover (P6.T12)107
105
Q4 - 2:04MIADragic 9' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Whiteside 4 AST)107
105
Q4 - 2:15ORLFournier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)105
105
Q4 - 2:38MIARichardson 4' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)105
105
Q4 - 3:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)103
105
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Fournier 3' Driving Layup103
105
Q4 - 3:13ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)103
105
Q4 - 3:13ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)103
105
Q4 - 3:16ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot103
105
Q4 - 3:36MIADragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)103
105
Q4 - 3:49ORLBiyombo 2' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Simmons 6 AST)100
105
Q4 - 3:51ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)100
103
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
103
Q4 - 4:12ORLMAGIC Rebound100
103
Q4 - 4:14ORLMISS Fournier 22' Jump Shot100
103
Q4 - 4:29MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.T3) (D.Richardson)100
103
Q4 - 4:29ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
103
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Payton 4' Driving Layup100
103
Q4 - 4:39ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
103
Q4 - 4:43MIAGordon BLOCK (2 BLK)100
103
Q4 - 4:50MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
103
Q4 - 4:53ORLMISS Gordon 10' Floating Jump Shot100
103
Q4 - 5:12MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)100
103
Q4 - 5:34ORLBiyombo Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)97
103
Q4 - 5:34MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Adebayo97
103
Q4 - 5:34MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)97
103
Q4 - 5:40ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
103
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup97
103
Q4 - 5:54ORLPayton P.FOUL (P3.T4) (T.Brothers)97
103
Q4 - 6:14ORLGordon 3' Layup (36 PTS) (Simmons 5 AST)97
103
Q4 - 6:14MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Richardson)97
101
Q4 - 6:28MIAEllington Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)97
101
Q4 - 6:32ORLSUB: Gordon FOR Hezonja97
101
Q4 - 6:32ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Speights97
101
Q4 - 6:32ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Afflalo97
101
Q4 - 6:32ORLPayton P.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Scott)97
101
Q4 - 6:32MIAHeat Rebound97
101
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot97
101
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
101
Q4 - 6:40ORLMISS Payton 2' Driving Reverse Layup97
101
Q4 - 6:51ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
101
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
101
Q4 - 7:14ORLSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 12 AST)97
101
Q4 - 7:34MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)97
98
Q4 - 7:47MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
98
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Speights 4' Floating Jump Shot95
98
Q4 - 8:07MIASUB: Johnson FOR Mickey95
98
Q4 - 8:07ORLSUB: Simmons FOR Augustin95
98
Q4 - 8:07ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)95
98
Q4 - 8:07MIAAdebayo 1' Dunk (4 PTS)95
98
Q4 - 8:07MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
98
Q4 - 8:09MIAPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)93
98
Q4 - 8:27ORLHezonja 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)93
98
Q4 - 8:47ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
96
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Richardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot93
96
Q4 - 9:03ORLPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Richardson)93
96
Q4 - 9:09ORLPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)93
96
Q4 - 9:21ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
96
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Layup93
96
Q4 - 9:36MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
96
Q4 - 9:38ORLMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
96
Q4 - 9:44MIAEllington P.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Scott)93
96
Q4 - 9:52MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)93
96
Q4 - 9:52ORLSpeights S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)92
96
Q4 - 9:52MIADragic 11' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
96
Q4 - 10:05ORLSpeights 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)90
96
Q4 - 10:28MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (13 PTS)90
94
Q4 - 10:40ORLAfflalo 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)88
94
Q4 - 10:58MIAMickey 2' Layup (6 PTS)88
92
Q4 - 10:59MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
92
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Adebayo 7' Hook Shot86
92
Q4 - 11:23MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
92
Q4 - 11:26ORLMISS Speights 17' Pullup Jump Shot86
92
Q4 - 11:42ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
92
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
92
Q4 - 12:0086
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound86
92
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 23' Running Jump Shot86
92
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
92
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLSUB: Hezonja FOR Gordon86
91
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
91
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P4.PN) (T.Brothers)86
90
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (26 PTS)86
90
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLGordon 16' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)84
90
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
88
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLGordon 11' Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)82
88
Q3 - 1:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)82
86
Q3 - 1:25ORLSUB: Augustin FOR Payton82
86
Q3 - 1:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
86
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Speights 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
86
Q3 - 1:44ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
86
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Richardson 19' Layup82
86
Q3 - 1:55MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
86
Q3 - 1:59ORLMISS Payton 2' Driving Layup82
86
Q3 - 2:10MIAOlynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)82
86
Q3 - 2:18MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
86
Q3 - 2:22ORLMISS Fournier 15' Pullup Jump Shot79
86
Q3 - 2:29MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Whiteside79
86
Q3 - 2:29ORLSUB: Speights FOR Simmons79
86
Q3 - 2:29ORLSUB: Afflalo FOR Biyombo79
86
Q3 - 2:34ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
86
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
86
Q3 - 2:52ORLSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)79
86
Q3 - 3:05MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
86
Q3 - 3:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
86
Q3 - 3:17ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
86
Q3 - 3:27ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
86
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Olynyk Free Throw 2 of 277
86
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Ellington FOR Dragic77
86
Q3 - 3:30MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
86
Q3 - 3:30ORLSimmons S.FOUL (P3.T4) (K.Scott)76
86
Q3 - 3:32ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)76
86
Q3 - 3:44ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
86
Q3 - 3:46MIAFournier BLOCK (1 BLK)76
86
Q3 - 3:46MIAHeat Rebound76
86
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Dragic 3' Tip Layup Shot76
86
Q3 - 3:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
86
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Dragic 4' Driving Layup76
86
Q3 - 4:03MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)76
86
Q3 - 4:04ORLGordon 13' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)76
86
Q3 - 4:24MIAOlynyk No Turnover (P2.T8)76
84
Q3 - 4:24MIAOlynyk P.FOUL (P1.PN) (K.Scott)76
84
Q3 - 4:34ORLFournier 16' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)76
84
Q3 - 4:48MIAJohnson 2' Alley Oop Layup (20 PTS) (Whiteside 3 AST)76
82
Q3 - 5:09ORLGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Simmons 4 AST)74
82
Q3 - 5:24ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)74
79
Q3 - 5:24MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)74
79
Q3 - 5:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)71
79
Q3 - 5:45ORLMISS Payton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot71
79
Q3 - 5:55ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)71
79
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 171
79
Q3 - 5:57ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brothers)71
79
Q3 - 5:57MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
79
Q3 - 6:05ORLSimmons P.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Scott)69
79
Q3 - 6:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
79
Q3 - 6:25ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
79
Q3 - 6:29ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)69
79
Q3 - 6:29ORLMISS Fournier 3PT Jump Shot69
79
Q3 - 6:43MIARichardson 9' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
79
Q3 - 6:57ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 11 AST)67
79
Q3 - 7:07MIAJohnson 2' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)67
76
Q3 - 7:21ORLPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)65
76
Q3 - 7:28MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T4) (K.Scott)65
76
Q3 - 7:37MIAJohnson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)65
76
Q3 - 7:52ORLGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Payton 10 AST)63
76
Q3 - 8:06MIAOlynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)63
73
Q3 - 8:22ORLGordon 2' Alley Oop Layup (22 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)60
73
Q3 - 8:35ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)60
71
Q3 - 8:35MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)60
71
Q3 - 8:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)57
71
Q3 - 8:50ORLMISS Gordon 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
71
Q3 - 8:57MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Richardson)57
71
Q3 - 9:02MIADragic 1' Layup (11 PTS)57
71
Q3 - 9:05ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)55
71
Q3 - 9:22MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)55
71
Q3 - 9:31MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
71
Q3 - 9:34ORLMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 255
71
Q3 - 9:34ORLSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
71
Q3 - 9:34MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Richardson)55
70
Q3 - 9:54MIAJohnson 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)55
70
Q3 - 10:00ORLFournier P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Richardson)53
70
Q3 - 10:12ORLSimmons 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)53
70
Q3 - 10:18MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)53
68
Q3 - 10:22MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
68
Q3 - 10:24ORLMISS Simmons 1' Driving Layup50
68
Q3 - 10:31ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
68
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot50
68
Q3 - 10:51MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
68
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Payton 9' Floating Jump Shot50
68
Q3 - 11:09MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)50
68
Q3 - 11:09ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)50
68
Q3 - 11:10ORLMISS Fournier 5' Driving Layup50
68
Q3 - 11:22MIAJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)50
68
Q3 - 11:41ORLBiyombo 3' Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)50
68
Q3 - 12:0050
66
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
66
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
66
Q2 - 0:19.0MIABiyombo BLOCK (4 BLK)50
66
Q2 - 0:20.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
66
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Simmons 3' Layup50
66
Q2 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Mickey50
66
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
66
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)50
66
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Mickey 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
66
Q2 - 1:05ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)50
66
Q2 - 1:28ORLJump Ball Simmons vs. Mickey: Tip to Fournier50
64
Q2 - 1:28MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington50
64
Q2 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound50
64
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot50
64
Q2 - 1:58ORLGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)50
64
Q2 - 2:17MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)50
61
Q2 - 2:34ORLPayton 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)47
61
Q2 - 2:40MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)47
59
Q2 - 2:57ORLGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)45
59
Q2 - 3:03ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
56
Q2 - 3:03MIABiyombo BLOCK (3 BLK)45
56
Q2 - 3:17ORLGordon 2' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
56
Q2 - 3:36MIAMickey L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)45
54
Q2 - 3:36ORLMAGIC Rebound45
54
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot45
54
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)45
54
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot45
54
Q2 - 4:02ORLPayton 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
54
Q2 - 4:04ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
52
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 245
52
Q2 - 4:07ORLMAGIC Rebound45
52
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 245
52
Q2 - 4:07MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Richardson)45
52
Q2 - 4:16MIAMickey 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)45
52
Q2 - 4:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52
Q2 - 4:29ORLMISS Biyombo 14' Jump Shot43
52
Q2 - 4:49MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
52
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Mickey FOR Walton Jr.43
52
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Dragic FOR Olynyk43
52
Q2 - 5:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)43
52
Q2 - 5:08ORLBiyombo 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)43
52
Q2 - 5:12ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
50
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS Olynyk 2' Driving Layup43
50
Q2 - 5:34ORLGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)43
50
Q2 - 5:44MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)43
47
Q2 - 5:58MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
47
Q2 - 6:02ORLMISS Fournier 13' Pullup Jump Shot41
47
Q2 - 6:10MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
47
Q2 - 6:10MIASUB: Richardson FOR Mickey40
47
Q2 - 6:10MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Johnson40
47
Q2 - 6:10ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Augustin40
47
Q2 - 6:10MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
47
Q2 - 6:10ORLAugustin P.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brothers)39
47
Q2 - 6:12ORLSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
47
Q2 - 6:18MIAAugustin STEAL (2 STL)39
47
Q2 - 6:41ORLBiyombo 1' Dunk (4 PTS)39
47
Q2 - 6:41ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
45
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Simmons 2' Driving Layup39
45
Q2 - 6:59MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 6:59MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 6:59ORLSUB: Payton FOR Iwundu37
45
Q2 - 6:59ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Hezonja37
45
Q2 - 6:59ORLSUB: Gordon FOR Speights37
45
Q2 - 6:59ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)37
45
Q2 - 6:59ORLIwundu P.FOUL (P3.PN) (T.Brothers)37
45
Q2 - 7:08MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
45
Q2 - 7:11ORLMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
45
Q2 - 7:28MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)37
45
Q2 - 7:38ORLIwundu 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)34
45
Q2 - 7:55MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
43
Q2 - 7:55MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Dragic33
43
Q2 - 7:55ORLSUB: Simmons FOR Afflalo33
43
Q2 - 7:55MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
43
Q2 - 7:55ORLAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Scott)32
43
Q2 - 7:57MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
43
Q2 - 8:01ORLMISS Hezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
43
Q2 - 8:22MIAMickey 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)32
43
Q2 - 8:33MIAJohnson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 8:33ORLAugustin T.FOUL (P0.T3) (D.Richardson)29
43
Q2 - 8:44ORLAugustin 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Speights 2 AST)29
43
Q2 - 8:58MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
41
Q2 - 8:58ORLHezonja S.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Richardson)28
41
Q2 - 8:58MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
41
Q2 - 9:17ORLHezonja 7' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)26
41
Q2 - 9:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
39
Q2 - 9:55ORLIwundu P.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Scott)26
39
Q2 - 10:09ORLAugustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)26
39
Q2 - 10:35MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)26
36
Q2 - 10:46ORLSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
36
Q2 - 10:46MIASUB: Mickey FOR Adebayo23
35
Q2 - 10:46ORLSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
35
Q2 - 10:46MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P3.T1) (D.Richardson)23
34
Q2 - 11:02MIAAugustin STEAL (1 STL)23
34
Q2 - 11:09ORLIwundu P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Richardson)23
34
Q2 - 11:10MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Augustin 2' Layup23
34
Q2 - 11:38MIAAdebayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)23
34
Q2 - 11:52ORLHezonja 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Iwundu 1 AST)21
34
Q2 - 12:0021
32
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
32
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMAGIC Rebound21
32
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Hezonja 29' 3PT Jump Shot21
32
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
32
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Floating Jump Shot21
32
Q1 - 0:31.0ORLFournier 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)21
32
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
30
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Olynyk 3PT Jump Shot21
30
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)21
30
Q1 - 1:08MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Richardson)21
30
Q1 - 1:08ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Dragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot21
30
Q1 - 1:24ORLFournier 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
30
Q1 - 1:37MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
28
Q1 - 1:37MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson20
28
Q1 - 1:37ORLSUB: Hezonja FOR Payton20
28
Q1 - 1:37ORLSUB: Augustin FOR Gordon20
28
Q1 - 1:37MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
28
Q1 - 1:37ORLGordon S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Richardson)19
28
Q1 - 1:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28
Q1 - 1:51ORLMISS Speights 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
28
Q1 - 2:14MIADragic 14' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
28
Q1 - 2:31MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson17
28
Q1 - 2:31ORLSUB: Afflalo FOR Simmons17
28
Q1 - 2:31ORLSUB: Speights FOR Biyombo17
28
Q1 - 2:31MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)17
28
Q1 - 2:38ORLPayton 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
28
Q1 - 2:44ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26
Q1 - 2:47MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)17
26
Q1 - 3:06ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 3:17MIAAdebayo No Turnover (P1.T1)17
24
Q1 - 3:17MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Richardson)17
24
Q1 - 3:35ORLSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)17
24
Q1 - 3:39ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 3:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21
Q1 - 3:48MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)17
21
Q1 - 4:05ORLPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
21
Q1 - 4:07ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
21
Q1 - 4:09ORLMISS Payton 14' Jump Shot17
21
Q1 - 4:24MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
21
Q1 - 4:34MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21
Q1 - 4:36ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 215
21
Q1 - 4:36MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside15
21
Q1 - 4:36ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
21
Q1 - 4:36MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brothers)15
20
Q1 - 4:36ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 4:41MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)15
20
Q1 - 4:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)15
20
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
20
Q1 - 5:10ORLGordon 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)15
20
Q1 - 5:20MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 5:31ORLSimmons P.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)13
18
Q1 - 5:43MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Dragic13
18
Q1 - 5:43MIASUB: Ellington FOR Olynyk13
18
Q1 - 5:43ORLBiyombo P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brothers)13
18
Q1 - 5:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)13
18
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup13
18
Q1 - 5:54ORLSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)13
18
Q1 - 6:02MIAOlynyk 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)13
15
Q1 - 6:26ORLBiyombo 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)11
15
Q1 - 6:41MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 6:54MIA9
13
Q1 - 6:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
13
Q1 - 7:05ORLGordon 2' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)9
13
Q1 - 7:09ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 7:37ORLPayton 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)9
11
Q1 - 7:40ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
9
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
9
Q1 - 8:05ORLGordon 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)9
9
Q1 - 8:09ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:11MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:26MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Simmons 2' Driving Layup9
7
Q1 - 8:40ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
7
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)9
7
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Johnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot9
7
Q1 - 8:57ORLFournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)9
7
Q1 - 9:12MIAWhiteside 1' Dunk (4 PTS)9
5
Q1 - 9:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
5
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup7
5
Q1 - 9:30ORLFournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)7
5
Q1 - 9:41MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)7
2
Q1 - 9:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
2
Q1 - 9:49ORLMISS Simmons 7' Hook Shot4
2
Q1 - 9:58ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Olynyk 10' Floating Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:09ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:09ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
1
Q1 - 10:09MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Richardson)4
0
Q1 - 10:16MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 10:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:26ORLMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:45MIAWhiteside 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 10:57ORLGordon P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Richardson)0
0
Q1 - 10:57MIAHeat Rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:16ORLFournier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIASimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Biyombo vs. Whiteside: Tip to Olynyk0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
37
59%
ORL
21
32
66%
Midrange
MIA
11
27
41%
ORL
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
ORL
12
18.0
27
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
ORL
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson3182%15.5 / 19
G. Dragic2557%12.5 / 22
K. Olynyk1771%8.5 / 12
W. Ellington1267%6.0 / 9
J. Richardson1150%5.5 / 11
H. Whiteside938%4.5 / 12
B. Adebayo660%3.0 / 5
J. Mickey660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon3978%19.5 / 25
E. Fournier2364%11.5 / 18
J. Simmons1255%6.0 / 11
B. Biyombo1083%5.0 / 6
E. Payton836%4.0 / 11
M. Hezonja660%3.0 / 5
D. Augustin563%2.5 / 4
M. Speights433%2.0 / 6
A. Afflalo2100%1.0 / 1
W. Iwundu2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+16
-8
98
ORL
79
+11
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.4
MIA 130.0 +8.0
ORL 122.0
Pace
95.8
97.8
MIA 93.4 +5.7
ORL 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.6
MIA 15.4 −1.0
ORL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
51.2%
MIA 58.0%
ORL 61.7% +3.7%
TO %
14.1%
14.2%
MIA 9.4% −2.6%
ORL 12.0%
ORB %
21.5%
20.0%
MIA 28.2% +4.5%
ORL 23.7%
FTrt
22.9
23.8
MIA 20.5 +2.0
ORL 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.4%
MIA 53.3%
ORL 70.5% +17.2%
STL %
7.8%
7.7%
MIA 6.7% +4.5%
ORL 2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.2%
MIA 3.7%
ORL 14.1% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
53.3%
MIA 59.7%
ORL 61.0% +1.3%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.1%
MIA 59.5%
ORL 65.6% +6.1%
Mid FG%
38.4%
38.1%
MIA 40.7%
ORL 50.0% +9.3%
3P %
36.0%
35.1%
MIA 50.0% +5.6%
ORL 44.4%
FT %
75.5%
75.7%
MIA 83.3% +10.0%
ORL 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
33.8%
MIA 42.0% +2.5%
ORL 39.5%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
32.0%
MIA 30.7%
ORL 27.2% −3.5%
3P Att. %
35.8%
34.2%
MIA 27.3%
ORL 33.3% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points117111
Rebounds4037
Assists2431
Steals62
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)12 (0)
Fouls1720
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals45-8844-81
At-the-Rim FG22-3721-32
Midrange FG11-2711-22
2-Point FG33-6432-54
3-Point FG12-2412-27
Free Throws15-1811-15
Fast Break Pts1126
2nd Chance Pts109
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers1612
Bench Points2419
Biggest Lead618

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
40.5
11
50%
4
5
2
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 186 · 26
38.5
31
82%
4
3
1
0
1
3
1
3
4-5
80%
9-14
64%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
38.4
25
57%
4
8
2
1
2
2
1
3
1-1
100%
9-18
50%
2-4
50%
F · 7'0" 240 · 27
30.4
17
71%
6
3
1
0
2
1
0
6
9-10
90%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 29
28.6
9
38%
13
4
0
0
0
0
7
6
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
31.8
12
67%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-9
44%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 20
15.9
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23
13.0
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 23
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
F · 6'8" 235 · 38
· 6'5" 210 · 24
#15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
60%
40
24
6
2
8
17
11
29
15-18
83%
33-64
52%
12-24
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.