FinalWin Prob.pScore
1648%102
104
1952%103
111
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
111.89394.2
MIA logo MIA
118.19492.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)104
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETHarris P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Williams)104
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBradley P.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Brown)104
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound104
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMISS Bradley 28' 3PT Jump Shot104
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAOlynyk 1' Cutting Layup Shot (25 PTS) (Dragic 13 AST)104
3.7%
109
96.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)104
8.8%
107
91.2%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Bank Shot104
14.4%
107
85.6%
Q4 - 1:17DETBradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)104
11.3%
107
88.7%
Q4 - 1:21DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)101
4.7%
107
95.3%
Q4 - 1:29DETMISS Bullock 29' 3PT Jump Shot101
3.5%
107
96.5%
Q4 - 1:37MIADragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)101
5.7%
107
94.3%
Q4 - 1:56MIAHEAT Rebound101
9.4%
105
90.6%
Q4 - 1:57DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 2:02DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
16.6%
105
83.4%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
14.2%
105
85.8%
Q4 - 2:29DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bradley 4 AST)101
9.5%
105
90.5%
Q4 - 2:40MIAOlynyk 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)98
4.9%
105
95.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
7.8%
103
92.2%
Q4 - 2:58DETMISS Smith 19' Fadeaway Jumper98
9.1%
103
90.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)98
13.0%
103
87.0%
Q4 - 3:42MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
11.1%
103
88.9%
Q4 - 3:44DETMISS Smith 19' Pullup Jump Shot98
12.3%
103
87.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAOlynyk 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
15.3%
103
84.7%
Q4 - 4:20DETSmith 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)98
20.1%
101
79.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)96
15.0%
101
85.0%
Q4 - 4:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
26.6%
98
73.4%
Q4 - 4:50DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
29.1%
98
70.9%
Q4 - 4:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
35.4%
98
64.6%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Richardson 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot96
34.4%
98
65.6%
Q4 - 5:17MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)96
29.0%
98
71.0%
Q4 - 5:19DETMISS Bradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
31.3%
98
68.7%
Q4 - 5:26DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
36.8%
98
63.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
34.3%
98
65.7%
Q4 - 5:41DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
28.9%
98
71.1%
Q4 - 5:41DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
27.9%
98
72.1%
Q4 - 5:41MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T3) (J.Williams)94
23.0%
98
77.0%
Q4 - 5:54MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
22.9%
98
77.1%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 294
24.0%
97
76.0%
Q4 - 5:54DETTolliver S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Ford)94
22.5%
97
77.5%
Q4 - 6:15DETMarjanovic P.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Ford)94
24.4%
97
75.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
24.4%
97
75.6%
Q4 - 6:15DETMISS Tolliver 4' Jump Shot94
26.4%
97
73.6%
Q4 - 6:15DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)94
31.4%
97
68.6%
Q4 - 6:15DETMISS Bradley 21' Jump Shot94
26.4%
97
73.6%
Q4 - 6:39MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 12 AST)94
31.3%
97
68.7%
Q4 - 6:54DETBuycks 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)94
44.3%
94
55.7%
Q4 - 7:05DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)92
39.1%
94
60.9%
Q4 - 7:10DETMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot92
34.3%
94
65.7%
Q4 - 7:29MIADragic 11' Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
39.1%
94
60.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
45.1%
92
54.9%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Buycks 10' Pullup Jump Shot92
47.4%
92
52.6%
Q4 - 7:52DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
52.8%
92
47.2%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Mickey 2' Driving Reverse Layup92
50.4%
92
49.6%
Q4 - 8:14DETTolliver 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)92
45.7%
92
54.3%
Q4 - 8:33MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)90
39.3%
92
60.7%
Q4 - 8:44DETMarjanovic 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kennard 2 AST)90
45.7%
90
54.3%
Q4 - 9:03DETBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
40.0%
90
60.0%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Dragic 10' Step Back Jump Shot88
38.1%
90
61.9%
Q4 - 9:21DETBuycks 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Marjanovic 3 AST)88
34.0%
90
66.0%
Q4 - 9:41MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)86
29.0%
90
71.0%
Q4 - 9:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
34.0%
88
66.0%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Ellington 15' Jump Shot86
38.0%
88
62.0%
Q4 - 10:02MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)86
34.7%
88
65.3%
Q4 - 10:02DETVan Gundy T.FOUL (P0.T1) (J.Williams)86
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 10:14DETKennard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)86
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 10:31MIARichardson 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 11 AST)84
35.0%
87
65.0%
Q4 - 10:46DETKennard Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)84
40.0%
85
60.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Ford)83
40.3%
85
59.7%
Q4 - 10:52MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brown)81
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q4 - 11:06MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
30.5%
85
69.5%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 281
31.4%
84
68.6%
Q4 - 11:06DETBradley S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)81
30.4%
84
69.6%
Q4 - 11:23MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
30.4%
84
69.6%
Q4 - 11:26DETMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot81
31.8%
84
68.2%
Q4 - 11:44MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)81
35.3%
84
64.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound81
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Floating Jump Shot81
49.5%
81
50.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETBuycks 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
46.0%
81
54.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
40.9%
81
59.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMISS Buycks 5' Jump Shot79
52.6%
78
47.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
56.1%
78
43.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Richardson 1' Reverse Layup79
54.2%
78
45.8%
Q3 - 1:15DETHarris 7' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Buycks 4 AST)79
50.8%
78
49.2%
Q3 - 1:23DETBuycks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Adebayo 11' Jump Shot77
44.6%
78
55.4%
Q3 - 1:45DETBullock 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Buycks 3 AST)77
41.2%
78
58.8%
Q3 - 1:54DETMISS Harris Free Throw Technical74
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIASpoelstra T.FOUL (P0.T3) (T.Brown)74
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIAOlynyk Backcourt Turnover (P2.T11)74
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 2:20DETKennard 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)74
28.6%
78
71.4%
Q3 - 2:31MIAOlynyk 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)72
25.2%
78
74.8%
Q3 - 2:48DETBuycks 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)72
28.6%
76
71.4%
Q3 - 3:01MIADragic P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Williams)70
26.1%
76
73.9%
Q3 - 3:09DETKennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
26.1%
76
73.9%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot70
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q3 - 3:21DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)70
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 3:35DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
26.0%
76
74.0%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.9%
76
75.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETBuycks P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Williams)70
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 3:52DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)70
22.6%
76
77.4%
Q3 - 3:52MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (J.Williams)69
22.8%
76
77.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)67
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q3 - 4:33MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q3 - 4:36DETMISS Smith 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot67
21.2%
74
78.8%
Q3 - 4:43DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
23.5%
74
76.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
22.5%
74
77.5%
Q3 - 4:57MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
20.2%
74
79.8%
Q3 - 5:00DETMISS Kennard 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
21.2%
74
78.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
24.2%
74
75.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
30.3%
71
69.7%
Q3 - 5:29DETMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 5:38MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T1) (T.Brown)67
34.3%
71
65.7%
Q3 - 5:48MIAOlynyk 10' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)67
34.3%
71
65.7%
Q3 - 6:02DETMoreland L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Ford)67
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound67
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q3 - 6:15DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot67
39.2%
69
60.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)67
42.2%
69
57.8%
Q3 - 6:54DETBradley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)67
49.6%
66
50.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIAOlynyk 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)67
53.6%
66
46.4%
Q3 - 7:29MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
59.8%
64
40.2%
Q3 - 7:47DETBullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)67
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 8:01MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
49.9%
64
50.1%
Q3 - 8:01MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
50.6%
63
49.4%
Q3 - 8:01DETSmith S.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brown)64
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 8:15DETBullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marjanovic 2 AST)64
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)61
46.1%
62
53.9%
Q3 - 8:48DETMarjanovic 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Bullock 1 AST)61
49.2%
60
50.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAOlynyk Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T10)59
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 9:01MIAOlynyk OFF.Foul (P2) (T.Brown)59
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 9:08DETMISS Smith 9' Driving Hook Shot59
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 9:17DETBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot59
44.6%
60
55.4%
Q3 - 9:37DETBullock 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)59
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWhiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)56
35.4%
60
64.6%
Q3 - 10:04MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 10:07DETMISS Marjanovic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot56
39.8%
58
60.2%
Q3 - 10:24DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot56
41.2%
58
58.8%
Q3 - 10:36MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 10:39DETMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWhiteside 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)56
42.3%
58
57.7%
Q3 - 11:12DETMarjanovic 3' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Bradley 3 AST)56
45.6%
56
54.4%
Q3 - 11:21DETBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
41.4%
56
58.6%
Q3 - 11:43DETBradley 7' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marjanovic 1 AST)54
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
36.0%
56
64.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETBradley 35' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
34.0%
56
66.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)49
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
33.9%
53
66.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMISS Bullock 3PT Jump Shot49
34.4%
53
65.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Olynyk 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETBradley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)49
33.8%
53
66.2%
Q2 - 1:06MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)47
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 1:09DETMISS Smith 9' Driving Layup47
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)47
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:28DETMoreland S.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Brown)47
31.6%
52
68.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
37.4%
50
62.6%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot47
37.9%
50
62.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJohnson 2' Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)47
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q2 - 2:06DETEllington STEAL (2 STL)47
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 2:23DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
45.9%
48
54.1%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Ellington 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
45.0%
48
55.0%
Q2 - 2:41DETBullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)47
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 2:44DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup44
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q2 - 3:13DETHarris Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T6)44
34.5%
48
65.5%
Q2 - 3:13DETHarris Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (T.Ford)44
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 3:13DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Dragic 2' Cutting Layup Shot44
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 3:30DETSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Ford)44
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 244
34.8%
48
65.2%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 244
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.T3) (J.Williams)44
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAOlynyk 2' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)44
37.6%
48
62.4%
Q2 - 3:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q2 - 3:58DETMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot44
40.9%
46
59.1%
Q2 - 4:12MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)44
43.1%
46
56.9%
Q2 - 4:31DETSmith 12' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
48.7%
43
51.3%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Brown)42
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 4:42DETPistons Rebound42
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 4:42DETMISS Bradley 2' Layup42
44.0%
43
56.0%
Q2 - 4:53MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)42
46.0%
43
54.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q2 - 5:07DETMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot42
44.1%
43
55.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIADragic 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)42
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 5:37DETTolliver No Turnover (P3.T5)42
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 5:37DETTolliver L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)42
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 5:37DETPistons Rebound42
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 5:37DETMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:42MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 6:04DETKennard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
48.5%
41
51.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAAdebayo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q2 - 6:31MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
45.5%
41
54.5%
Q2 - 6:51DETKennard 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)38
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
46.2%
38
53.8%
Q2 - 7:17DETMISS Buycks 9' Fadeaway Jumper38
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 7:38MIARichardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)38
49.0%
38
51.0%
Q2 - 8:04DETBradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Buycks 2 AST)38
53.7%
35
46.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)35
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 8:17DETRichardson STEAL (1 STL)35
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 8:31MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)35
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 8:43DETBradley 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Buycks 1 AST)35
53.8%
32
46.2%
Q2 - 8:44DETBuycks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot33
50.5%
32
49.5%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 9:10DETRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 9:15MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Ford)33
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 9:23DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 9:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 9:29DETMISS Bradley 19' Jump Shot33
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 9:38DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
50.4%
32
49.6%
Q2 - 9:47DETWalton Jr. STEAL (1 STL)33
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 10:00MIAEllington 18' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 10:29DETBuycks 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kennard 1 AST)33
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 11:09DETKennard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 11:23MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)29
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q2 - 11:42DETWalton Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)29
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 11:43DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
60.1%
24
39.9%
Q2 - 11:48DETMISS Bradley 20' Jump Shot29
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound29
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Buycks 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)29
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0DETBuycks 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETPistons Rebound27
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Adebayo 16' Jump Shot27
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETMISS Moreland 7' Jump Shot27
53.6%
24
46.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 1:01DETMISS Moreland 1' Driving Layup27
53.6%
24
46.4%
Q1 - 1:15MIARichardson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 1:15MIARichardson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN) (J.Williams)27
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 1:28DETBuycks 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 1:35DETMoreland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
49.6%
24
50.4%
Q1 - 1:47DETBullock P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Ford)25
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q1 - 1:52DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
48.9%
24
51.1%
Q1 - 1:55DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Tip Layup Shot25
49.6%
24
50.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Adebayo 6' Jump Shot25
49.8%
24
50.2%
Q1 - 2:27DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)25
48.3%
24
51.7%
Q1 - 2:27DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brown)23
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 2:27DETPistons Rebound23
45.9%
24
54.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Olynyk 9' Turnaround Jump Shot23
45.2%
24
54.8%
Q1 - 2:45DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q1 - 2:45DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
43.4%
24
56.6%
Q1 - 2:45MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Williams)21
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 2:50DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Dragic 1' Finger Roll Layup21
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q1 - 3:06DETEllington STEAL (1 STL)21
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q1 - 3:18MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)21
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q1 - 3:28DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q1 - 3:50MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
41.6%
22
58.4%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw Technical19
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 4:03DETPistons T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Harris ) (J.Williams)19
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 4:14DETHarris 11' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIAJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)17
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 4:44DETHarris 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 5:02MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)15
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Marjanovic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot15
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAOlynyk 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)15
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 5:16MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot15
52.8%
12
47.2%
Q1 - 5:37MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 5:39DETMISS Bullock 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJohnson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)15
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 6:08MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 6:10DETMISS Bradley 1' Driving Layup15
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 6:28MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
52.7%
12
47.3%
Q1 - 6:39DETMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)15
55.8%
9
44.2%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Ford)14
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 6:48MIARichardson 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)12
52.6%
9
47.4%
Q1 - 6:53MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
54.1%
7
45.9%
Q1 - 6:56DETMISS Harris 11' Pullup Jump Shot12
54.6%
7
45.4%
Q1 - 7:04DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot12
54.7%
7
45.3%
Q1 - 7:15DETWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)12
53.5%
7
46.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)12
55.0%
7
45.0%
Q1 - 7:54DETHarris 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)12
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
54.7%
5
45.3%
Q1 - 8:12DETBullock 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
53.1%
5
46.9%
Q1 - 8:24MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
51.8%
5
48.2%
Q1 - 8:37DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
52.8%
3
47.2%
Q1 - 8:37DETMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 8:37MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brown)6
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 8:37DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 8:37DETMISS Harris 11' Turnaround Jump Shot6
50.6%
3
49.4%
Q1 - 8:52DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
51.5%
3
48.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Floating Jump Shot6
51.0%
3
49.0%
Q1 - 9:03MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 9:05DETMISS Harris 7' Pullup Jump Shot6
50.3%
3
49.7%
Q1 - 9:14DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.3%
3
48.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Richardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot6
50.8%
3
49.2%
Q1 - 9:25DETMarjanovic P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)6
49.8%
3
50.2%
Q1 - 9:35DETMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
49.7%
3
50.3%
Q1 - 9:35DETMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
49.5%
3
50.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Brown)4
48.9%
3
51.1%
Q1 - 9:37DETBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.9%
3
51.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Olynyk 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
48.5%
3
51.5%
Q1 - 10:05DETHarris 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 10:12DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Dragic 10' Floating Jump Shot2
46.6%
3
53.4%
Q1 - 10:35DETMarjanovic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.2%
3
53.8%
Q1 - 10:46DETPistons Rebound0
45.8%
3
54.2%
Q1 - 10:46DETWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAOlynyk 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)0
46.1%
3
53.9%
Q1 - 11:16MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:18DETMISS Bradley 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:29DETMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Marjanovic: Tip to Dragic0
47.7%
0
52.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
21
57%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
DET
20
41
49%
MIA
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
MIA
17
25.5
34
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
13
16
81%
MIA
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Harris1959%9.5 / 16
R. Bullock1785%8.5 / 10
A. Bradley1538%7.5 / 20
B. Marjanovic1575%7.5 / 10
D. Buycks1458%7.0 / 12
L. Kennard1393%6.5 / 7
I. Smith630%3.0 / 10
A. Tolliver550%2.5 / 5
E. Moreland0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk2583%12.5 / 15
G. Dragic2457%12.0 / 21
J. Richardson2279%11.0 / 14
J. Johnson16100%8.0 / 8
W. Ellington1250%6.0 / 12
H. Whiteside1063%5.0 / 8
T. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
B. Adebayo0-0.0 / 4
J. Mickey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
84
+9
-9
93
MIA
82
+9
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.2
106.6
DET 111.8
MIA 118.1 +6.3
Pace
96.2
95.8
DET 94.2 +1.5
MIA 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.3
DET 15.3 +0.2
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
52.0%
DET 52.9%
MIA 61.3% +8.4%
TO %
13.2%
14.1%
DET 8.8% +3.1%
MIA 11.9%
ORB %
22.6%
21.5%
DET 12.8%
MIA 18.9% +6.1%
FTrt
22.7
22.9
DET 18.6 +5.5
MIA 13.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
58.5%
DET 51.2%
MIA 67.4% +16.2%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
DET 4.3%
MIA 6.4% +2.1%
BLK %
7.1%
9.3%
DET 4.0%
MIA 4.8% +0.8%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
53.5%
DET 55.9%
MIA 61.0% +5.1%
Rim FG%
57.6%
60.6%
DET 57.1%
MIA 75.0% +17.9%
Mid FG%
39.7%
38.4%
DET 48.8% +18.0%
MIA 30.8%
3P %
37.3%
36.0%
DET 37.5%
MIA 50.0% +12.5%
FT %
74.5%
75.5%
DET 81.3% +8.6%
MIA 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
35.8%
DET 24.4%
MIA 28.6% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
32.7%
28.4%
DET 47.7%
MIA 31.0% +16.7%
3P Att. %
33.3%
35.8%
DET 27.9%
MIA 40.5% +12.6%
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points104111
Rebounds3541
Assists2129
Steals46
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1416
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals41-8643-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2118-24
Midrange FG20-418-26
2-Point FG32-6226-50
3-Point FG9-2417-34
Free Throws13-168-11
Fast Break Pts86
2nd Chance Pts1110
Points in Paint3844
Pts off Turnovers167
Bench Points3228
Biggest Lead79

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'2" 180 · 27
37.9
15
38%
4
4
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
3-10
30%
3-9
33%
F · 6'8" 226 · 25
35.9
19
59%
6
2
0
0
2
2
0
6
7-8
88%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 205 · 27
34.6
17
85%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
30.6
6
30%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 290 · 29
21.9
15
75%
9
3
0
1
0
2
2
7
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 206 · 22
23.5
13
93%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
6-6
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
20.4
5
50%
3
1
0
0
3
2
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26
17.8
0
0%
5
0
1
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
17.4
14
58%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 24
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
F · 6'11" 245 · 21
· 6'7" 185 · 25
#1 · G · 6'3" 208 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'7" 245 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
35
21
4
2
9
14
5
30
13-16
81%
32-62
52%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.