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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 3, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pelicans48%107108
15Jazz52%10898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
40.8
35.7
29
51%
15
4
3
1
1
2
4
11
6-6
100%
10-23
8-15
43%
53%
1-3
33%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
37.3
33.9
24
71%
6
5
1
1
0
5
0
6
2-2
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
50%
2-5
40%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 28.9
32.8
31.3
6
60%
2
5
0
1
0
6
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.4
31.3
36.7
19
77%
11
1
2
2
1
4
3
8
3-3
100%
5-7
6-12
71%
49%
2-4
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.9
15.5
26.4
12
67%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
33.6
22.8
9
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
23.9
14.7
6
87%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.9
18.9
13.7
3
25%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.8
6.0
13.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 21.3
3.4
0
1-1
48%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 36.0
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 19.7
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 29.7
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.8
Charles Cooke
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
38.3
33.3
24
56%
3
2
1
2
0
3
0
3
9-10
90%
3-6
5-10
50%
51%
3-11
27%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.5
35.0
28.4
11
51%
9
2
1
1
1
2
1
8
1-2
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
54%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 30.3
32.7
29.7
8
57%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
24.5
28.7
11
44%
2
7
4
2
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
0-3
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.8
18.8
10.0
7
64%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.2
32.8
28.0
2
10%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-6
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.5
29.3
17.7
20
83%
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
7-9
2-4
78%
48%
2-3
67%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 26.5
15.8
12.5
9
54%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
13.0
15.8
6
75%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
24.5
1
3-5
52%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 24.6
8.5
0
0-1
47%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.0
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Erik McCree
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 25.6
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.