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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 5, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls39%104127
18Mavericks61%108124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.8
37.0
34.7
23
109%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-8
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
5-6
83%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
32.3
27.4
32
83%
2
9
4
2
0
4
1
1
4-5
80%
8-12
4-10
67%
45%
4-5
80%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.6
31.7
28.6
16
85%
9
1
1
1
1
1
1
8
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.1
22.6
28.1
2
26%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.8
21.8
24.7
12
55%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-2
0%
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.9
22.9
24.0
11
51%
10
3
1
1
1
4
2
8
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-3
33%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.0
21.9
19.7
13
63%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-3
33%
6-9
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.9
19.7
15.9
8
67%
5
4
2
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
15.7
18.6
8
46%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.9
14.4
11.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.8
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.3
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.5
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
35.7
33.9
24
74%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
5-9
56%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
34.7
32.5
23
53%
7
4
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
9-15
5-11
60%
51%
1-6
17%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
26.3
27.5
15
53%
2
7
3
1
0
5
1
1
1-5
20%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.5
23.3
23.6
19
86%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
3-3
100%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
22.9
16.9
8
57%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
27.0
21.8
13
101%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-6
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.5
22.5
24.5
11
51%
2
9
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.7
21.1
23.1
6
60%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.9
16.5
18.2
5
36%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.6
10.2
10.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
63%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.9
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.3
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.