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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 5, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Suns17%10189
3Spurs83%114103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.2
34.7
33.8
21
59%
5
4
1
1
0
6
0
5
2-2
100%
5-11
5-12
45%
45%
3-6
50%
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 22.0
34.6
20.0
8
41%
1
6
3
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-5
0%
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
32.3
27.9
12
35%
7
1
2
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 35.3
25.5
18.0
3
52%
12
0
0
0
0
3
3
9
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.9
22.4
14.6
11
59%
5
2
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.5
30.9
17.9
10
46%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
39%
1-6
17%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 20.1
23.5
19.2
5
36%
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
21.4
5.3
9
46%
6
2
1
0
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
2-7
0-1
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 24.6
14.7
16.3
10
79%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-3
0%
5-5
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 26.6
20.9
1
1-3
41%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
17.6
1
3-6
51%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.6
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 24.9
Alec Peters
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.5
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.3
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
32.1
23.5
16
47%
3
1
3
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
5-10
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
28.5
26.8
21
51%
3
3
4
2
3
1
1
2
2-4
50%
8-13
5-10
62%
55%
1-6
17%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
27.4
15.2
4
50%
2
7
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
26.0
28.9
4
41%
5
2
3
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
25.0
19.9
15
84%
7
0
0
0
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
2-3
67%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.1
27.1
18.8
12
50%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
60%
2-6
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
19.3
13.8
21
89%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
3-4
75%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.4
17.8
24.0
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
15.4
7.6
3
31%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
10.1
8.8
4
100%
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
8.4
13.3
1
17%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
2.9
5.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
34.5
1
9-17
52%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.