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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 5, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Jazz
91
5Nuggets
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
36
35
15
7
5
1
2
1
1
0
7
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
3-6
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.5
34
32
14
10
1
0
1
3
2
1
9
2-3
67%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 30.3
32
31
9
6
9
2
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.2
23
26
15
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
44%
3-6
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
21
13
10
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
51%
1-4
25%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.2
31
30
12
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-8
75%
45%
2-5
40%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.5
24
24
5
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 26.5
20
15
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-3
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
12
14
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 24.6
8
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.8
15
0
1-2
50%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.5
7
0
1-2
61%
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
0
0
0-0
33%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 25.6
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.0
Erik McCree
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
37
34
13
0
2
3
2
0
3
0
0
0-1
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
56%
1-6
17%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.7
33
33
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.9
33
30
26
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
6-7
86%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
32
34
8
10
4
1
1
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
2-9
5-9
22%
59%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
17
23
9
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-4
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.0
33
24
12
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
2-5
40%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
28
27
26
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
4-5
80%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
4-8
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
17
10
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
10
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
8
0
1-2
55%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
4
0
0-1
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
3
0
0-0
44%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.5
2
0
0-0
56%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Juan Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.