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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks39%104100
17Mavericks61%10896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 22.4
38.5
33.1
29
51%
8
1
0
1
1
2
0
8
8-8
100%
6-20
7-14
30%
48%
3-5
60%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.3
34.7
32.7
11
47%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
25.4
20.0
13
44%
18
1
1
0
0
4
7
11
1-2
50%
6-14
4-8
43%
57%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
25.2
21.0
2
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
25.0
27.6
12
68%
3
8
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 19.4
25.2
21.4
7
44%
7
5
1
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.0
23.8
22.1
9
56%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.8
22.6
16.8
15
86%
11
3
1
0
1
1
2
9
3-4
75%
6-7
3-5
86%
55%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
13.3
12.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
6.3
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.7
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.8
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 22.5
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
36.0
32.8
25
55%
7
3
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
7-17
6-11
41%
51%
3-5
60%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
33.8
34.0
14
52%
1
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
6-8
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
24.6
26.5
11
39%
3
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.6
22.6
22.8
5
30%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
19.1
19.3
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.5
25.6
23.4
11
39%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-5
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.9
22.7
17.3
11
58%
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.6
22.4
10.1
11
87%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
63%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.7
19.0
22.0
6
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
14.3
23.7
2
35%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
3-5
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.9
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.3
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.7
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.