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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 8, 2018
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Spurs68%105107
30Kings32%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
36.3
28.3
31
68%
12
1
0
1
1
1
4
8
5-6
83%
13-18
7-14
72%
51%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
29.6
26.6
12
46%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
28.1
30.6
3
39%
7
2
5
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
24.0
23.9
2
13%
9
2
1
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.6
23.0
13.7
7
35%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
31.2
23.8
28
91%
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
0-1
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
57%
6-9
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.4
27.1
24.1
14
54%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
18.1
15.3
7
51%
6
6
2
1
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
11.6
8.0
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
6.5
3.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
4.5
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.4
20.3
1
2-4
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
8.6
0
1-3
52%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
30.3
25.4
22
71%
9
0
0
1
0
3
2
7
6-8
75%
8-12
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.1
30.1
27.6
11
61%
4
10
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.1
28.2
29.1
10
42%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
2-8
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
25.0
22.0
9
38%
7
0
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
11.8
15.6
1
17%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
33.3
28.7
16
74%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.7
29.9
22.1
16
62%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
2-4
50%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.8
21.6
16.8
6
75%
8
2
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
19.2
18.6
8
68%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.0
10.6
20.6
1
13%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.5
3.6
0
1-1
51%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.8
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.8
Harry Giles
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.7
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.7
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.