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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 9, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat39%10490
7Raptors61%10889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.7
39.5
32.8
24
52%
12
4
1
1
1
1
3
9
3-5
60%
9-18
5-11
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
38.4
35.4
6
23%
6
4
0
1
3
5
1
5
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
0-3
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.6
29.8
22.3
13
40%
15
1
0
1
2
2
6
9
1-1
100%
6-16
5-9
38%
56%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 20.9
28.4
7.9
8
59%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
22.0
30.7
4
40%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
55%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
35.2
30.8
15
44%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
3-12
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.5
32.5
11.8
16
57%
15
3
0
0
5
0
5
10
0-0
-
8-13
1-3
62%
52%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
14.3
23.9
4
33%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.7
32.2
1
3-7
47%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.8
8.3
0
0-1
40%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.8
5.5
0
1-1
44%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.6
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
35.5
35.0
25
41%
4
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
9-26
7-14
35%
49%
1-3
33%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.7
29.4
24.1
13
66%
7
4
1
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
1-2
50%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.5
26.5
19.6
2
33%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
21.6
30.9
11
49%
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-3
67%
3-8
4-8
38%
54%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
20.8
21.1
8
50%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
57%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.6
23.6
4.9
4
25%
6
1
2
0
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.9
19.0
17.9
8
40%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-5
20%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
18.5
15.7
9
64%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
15.3
17.0
2
25%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
15.3
9.7
4
106%
0
0
1
0
4
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
64%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.2
8.7
12.6
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.4
5.7
1.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
2.3
0
0-0
51%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.