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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 10, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Mavericks37%104115
17Hornets63%109111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
37
33
4
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.7
36
26
22
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
7-10
70%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
35
34
25
11
2
0
1
1
0
1
10
4-4
100%
6-8
6-11
75%
49%
3-5
60%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
31
29
15
3
6
0
1
2
1
0
3
7-8
88%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.6
22
23
19
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
3-7
43%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.5
21
24
12
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.9
20
17
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-7
71%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.6
14
13
2
6
2
1
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-2
100%
61%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.9
12
13
4
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
0-2
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
12
21
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
3-5
-
59%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 27.7
37
30
41
3
4
3
1
1
1
0
3
6-6
100%
13-19
4-9
68%
49%
3-9
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.1
35
28
15
12
2
1
1
4
3
3
9
5-18
28%
5-5
6-10
100%
59%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 29.1
32
29
4
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 31.6
29
19
5
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24.3
26
22
11
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.6
22
24
12
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.8
18
26
10
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24.2
17
18
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
12
4
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
2-4
50%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26.3
11
15
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24.6
2
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25.3
19
1
2-4
54%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 29.1
2
0
0-0
53%
Marcus Paige
G · 6'0" 164 · 24.3
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22.4
Mangok Mathiang
F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.