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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 11, 2018
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Celtics
114
1276ers
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
35
21
13
8
7
0
0
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.2
32
32
21
4
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
3-5
60%
6-11
3-7
55%
52%
2-4
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.8
31
34
20
6
7
0
1
0
5
1
5
3-3
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
51%
3-10
30%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.9
24
31
16
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.1
15
20
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
24
23
19
8
2
1
1
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
3-7
43%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
23
29
5
1
2
3
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-6
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
21
20
8
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.8
20
16
6
7
0
2
1
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
3-3
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.3
9
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.8
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 23.8
34
26
14
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
31
27
15
10
5
2
1
1
4
0
10
2-3
67%
5-12
6-11
42%
52%
1-5
20%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.1
30
27
5
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-5
20%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.5
30
27
22
7
3
0
1
1
3
0
7
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
5-9
56%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.5
29
28
16
2
3
2
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
8-12
5-10
67%
52%
0-0
-
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
26
26
12
4
5
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
3-5
55%
51%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
17
14
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
17
19
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
12
13
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6-7
86%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 30.1
10
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.1
4
6
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
15
0
2-3
58%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.5
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.6
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 25.0
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.