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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 11, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers42%11199
3Raptors58%114133
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
32
31
26
3
1
1
1
2
2
0
3
8-10
80%
9-15
6-11
60%
58%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
27
26
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.9
25
19
4
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-9
3-5
22%
48%
0-6
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.3
23
24
10
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
6-7
86%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
19
23
11
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.8
23
22
8
8
1
0
0
1
0
6
2
2-4
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
22
24
13
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.8
19
21
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.0
18
23
4
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
16
13
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
10
5
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
53%
2-2
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
7
11
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.0
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
29
35
13
3
8
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
8-16
25%
50%
3-5
60%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.5
27
22
7
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
1-6
17%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
19
16
16
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
4-7
57%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
19
21
15
18
1
0
0
0
3
6
12
3-4
75%
6-8
4-7
75%
57%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.7
18
26
6
2
4
0
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.6
27
12
14
6
3
0
1
1
3
0
6
0-1
0%
4-10
1-3
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.2
26
11
12
12
0
0
0
3
2
4
8
2-3
67%
5-8
2-3
63%
62%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.9
24
18
22
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
6-8
75%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
24
16
16
8
4
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-3
67%
7-7
2-3
100%
57%
0-3
0%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.4
19
4
6
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
6
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
2-2
100%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
4
12
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
65%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
27
0
4-7
55%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.