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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 11, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs57%10681
25Lakers43%10493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
37.2
27.2
18
70%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
36.7
23.6
9
32%
12
5
0
0
3
3
2
10
0-0
-
3-12
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
35.3
30.8
20
54%
4
1
0
1
1
3
3
1
7-8
88%
5-14
8-15
36%
50%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
28.9
29.4
6
60%
7
1
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
26.4
16.1
14
50%
11
5
3
1
1
1
1
10
0-0
-
7-14
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
21.5
14.6
8
74%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.4
19.8
24.9
0
0%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
16.8
25.8
2
35%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-2
0%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
7.9
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
7.0
4.2
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
2.6
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
16.9
0
3-5
49%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
6.3
0
1-2
51%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 20.4
36.9
28.0
26
56%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-5
40%
9-16
4-9
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.2
35.9
32.4
18
82%
10
6
4
1
0
5
4
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
4-7
57%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
32.3
26.3
10
48%
4
2
5
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 29.8
18.1
18.7
4
34%
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
17.6
26.0
0
0%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-6
5-10
0%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.0
30.4
19.6
14
71%
10
2
2
1
1
2
5
5
2-2
100%
6-9
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
29.9
24.8
10
39%
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
2-9
22%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.6
14.1
19.0
5
28%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
12.7
20.8
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
2-3
67%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
12.1
13.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 31.9
8.2
0
1-1
51%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.8
2.1
0
0-1
52%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.4
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 23.9
Vander Blue
· 6'4" 200 · 25.5
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.