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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 12, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies32%10278
7Nuggets68%10987
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.0
36
33
22
11
2
0
1
1
1
2
9
5-5
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
1-6
17%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
36
21
8
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.3
32
31
12
3
4
2
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.2
29
25
9
2
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
42%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.6
21
30
5
7
0
0
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
52%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
27
26
12
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.6
20
16
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.7
20
23
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.1
12
5
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
54%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.9
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.3
3
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
11
0
2-3
61%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Vincent Hunter
· 6'9" 208 · 23.4
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.3
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.5
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.0
40
28
17
5
3
1
1
1
5
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.9
32
36
11
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
9-10
90%
1-5
5-9
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.7
29
30
8
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
52%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
28
32
14
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
7-8
88%
2-5
5-9
40%
59%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
24
22
4
9
3
0
1
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
29
28
16
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-5
40%
7-9
3-6
78%
51%
0-4
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
24
7
9
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-5
1-1
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
19
1
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
15
7
4
6
0
3
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
55%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
11
0
0-1
53%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
3
0
0-0
51%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
3
0
0-1
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
2
0
0-0
44%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.