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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2018
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs67%10799
27Hawks33%101102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
35
30
25
11
3
1
1
1
2
4
7
2-3
67%
10-19
7-14
53%
51%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
32
27
13
6
1
3
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
29
18
11
2
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
25
15
6
2
4
4
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
50%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
21
25
6
5
4
0
0
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
24
22
10
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
1-2
22%
58%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.4
23
21
13
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
19
24
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
18
16
8
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
6
7
3
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
5
17
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
2
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.5
28
2
5-10
54%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 24.3
33
30
26
5
6
0
1
0
5
0
5
5-6
83%
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 28.5
31
28
10
3
4
4
1
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
28
27
20
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
2-4
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
25
29
2
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
17
18
0
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
26
19
12
10
2
1
0
0
1
3
7
3-3
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
1-3
33%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
22
16
12
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.8
21
17
10
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
20
23
5
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 21.9
14
11
5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 23.5
9
0
1-2
43%
Tyler Cavanaugh
F · 6'9" 238 · 23.9
6
0
0-1
53%
Andrew White
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23.5
Josh Magette
G · 6'1" 160 · 28.1
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.