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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors68%120118
10Cavaliers32%114108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
38.1
34.5
11
37%
16
9
0
2
2
3
3
13
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-5
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
34.8
34.1
32
78%
5
8
3
1
1
3
0
5
10-10
100%
5-10
7-12
50%
58%
4-6
67%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
34.7
35.0
17
71%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
51%
3-6
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
33.4
33.2
23
69%
4
8
2
2
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
4-8
50%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.0
13.7
8.1
6
77%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
59%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.0
24.5
20.3
9
33%
6
3
1
1
0
0
3
3
3-6
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
58%
0-4
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
16.4
14.3
4
41%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.3
13.0
14.9
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
12.5
15.9
5
91%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
12.1
12.2
5
83%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.2
6.8
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.9
13.3
1
2-4
52%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.0
3.8
0
1-1
61%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.8
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.5
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.0
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.0
36.3
34.3
32
67%
8
6
3
1
4
8
2
6
8-13
62%
12-16
8-13
75%
58%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.9
32.0
15.0
19
43%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
7-14
2-5
50%
48%
1-7
14%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
31.6
27.6
8
50%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.4
26.8
28.0
17
76%
7
3
2
1
1
0
0
7
4-5
80%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
21.5
21.6
7
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
25.5
21.3
6
33%
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.0
25.4
13.5
10
36%
7
5
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-12
2-5
42%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.8
20.7
18.6
3
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.8
14.8
21.7
2
25%
8
0
1
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
57%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
1.4
18.0
1
57%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
1.4
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
1.4
5.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.0
1.4
0.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.6
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.