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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 16, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Mavericks37%106102
8Nuggets63%111105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
36
34
17
6
0
2
1
1
0
0
6
6-6
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
35
34
10
4
2
2
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-8
25%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.1
31
31
25
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
11-17
4-10
65%
45%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.6
23
21
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
17
8
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.7
35
32
13
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-5
20%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.5
21
22
4
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
60%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.9
18
18
16
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
4-9
44%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.6
13
12
5
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
62%
0-0
-
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.3
10
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.6
20
0
2-5
47%
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
4
0
0-1
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.9
3
0
0-1
44%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.0
42
29
22
5
6
1
1
1
5
1
4
2-4
50%
7-10
3-7
70%
50%
2-5
40%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.7
38
26
6
8
2
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
37
33
25
0
4
4
1
1
1
0
0
6-8
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
57%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
33
30
29
18
7
2
1
1
5
9
9
7-10
70%
11-21
5-8
52%
58%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.9
31
30
7
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
15
25
3
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
14
22
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.1
14
15
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
14
7
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
13
0
1-1
53%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
11
0
2-3
55%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
4
0
0-1
43%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
4
0
0-1
45%
Juan Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.