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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat45%104106
13Bucks55%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
34.8
32.2
14
44%
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
51%
2-5
40%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.7
33.0
33.9
15
52%
4
5
0
1
0
6
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.6
31.7
22.9
27
85%
14
0
0
1
6
2
1
13
7-9
78%
10-12
5-9
83%
57%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
29.3
23.2
9
35%
7
6
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
2-7
3-5
29%
55%
1-4
25%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 20.9
21.9
7.2
5
53%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
27.7
31.2
11
70%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.8
26.8
15.1
6
60%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.5
18.8
22.5
4
33%
6
5
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
16.1
24.1
15
67%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-5
80%
4-6
3-5
67%
57%
1-3
33%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.8
4.1
0
0-0
42%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
3.9
0
0-1
51%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.6
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.4
40.6
35.6
25
57%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
8-14
5-9
57%
50%
3-8
38%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 23.1
38.4
34.2
22
51%
10
6
2
1
2
1
2
8
8-15
53%
4-12
8-15
33%
57%
2-3
67%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 27.1
33.3
27.1
10
63%
10
1
0
1
1
2
1
9
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.1
30.1
31.5
11
33%
3
5
1
2
0
2
1
2
7-8
88%
2-7
4-9
29%
50%
0-6
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
28.9
34.6
8
46%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 26.2
23.7
19.4
12
120%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
4-5
80%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 27.4
18.1
14.7
8
103%
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
2-2
100%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.9
14.4
16.5
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
12.4
13.2
3
44%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 28.0
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 21.4
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 40.3
1.9
0
0-0
46%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 21.9
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 32.3
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 25.6
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.