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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1676ers40%9789
9Celtics60%10180
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.1
40.2
32.2
5
43%
2
2
1
2
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
34.9
32.0
26
59%
16
6
1
1
2
4
3
13
6-7
86%
10-18
7-13
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 21.5
34.1
27.0
8
44%
7
4
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 23.8
33.8
31.2
16
54%
6
2
3
1
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
25.0
18.0
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
25.6
29.4
15
77%
2
2
3
2
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
16.1
2.9
5
43%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 30.1
14.2
12.0
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
12.6
11.5
4
100%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
3.6
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 19.6
18.1
1
2-5
42%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
8.0
0
0-1
47%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 20.5
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 23.4
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.9
36.8
24.7
11
43%
4
0
2
1
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
34.9
31.6
14
55%
3
3
1
1
2
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
4-7
57%
55%
1-4
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
34.0
26.5
13
59%
5
1
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
43%
1-4
25%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.2
33.9
29.0
12
45%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
53%
2-7
29%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.1
15.3
16.7
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
27.3
21.9
14
65%
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.3
23.2
6.0
8
58%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
20.4
22.4
4
29%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-4
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.8
7.8
17.5
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
3.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
3.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.8
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.5
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.8
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.