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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 18, 2018
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers39%10586
15Trail Blazers61%109100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
37.1
30.5
10
42%
14
3
2
1
0
1
4
10
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
35.7
30.6
23
42%
7
3
1
1
2
2
1
6
4-5
80%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
1-9
11%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
35.7
26.8
23
82%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
5-6
83%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 21.7
33.5
26.7
9
48%
10
3
1
1
1
3
2
8
1-1
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.8
25.5
25.4
8
37%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
26.1
26.7
2
20%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 33.0
13.8
15.5
7
54%
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.7
11.0
13.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
10.4
22.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
9.8
10.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
0.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Ike Anigbogu
C · 6'10" 262 · 19.3
0.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 22.1
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 21.8
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
39.9
34.1
26
53%
5
8
0
1
1
3
1
4
8-8
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
2-8
25%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
36.0
32.7
16
44%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
6-11
25%
49%
4-10
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
32.3
27.4
12
51%
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.4
31.5
22.7
19
62%
17
0
2
1
2
3
4
13
3-3
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
25.4
25.4
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.5
28.9
21.8
13
49%
4
2
2
1
2
2
0
4
3-3
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.2
16.5
19.7
2
50%
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.6
15.7
19.9
8
80%
8
0
0
1
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
57%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
13.8
21.5
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
9.3
0
1-1
55%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
5.4
0
0-1
53%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.4
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
3.1
0
0-0
48%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.1
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.8
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.