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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 19, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat57%10795
25Nets43%105101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
37.1
32.8
12
44%
4
7
3
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.6
32.7
26.1
22
57%
13
2
0
1
4
1
5
8
4-5
80%
9-17
6-10
53%
57%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.7
31.8
33.0
17
44%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-8
63%
6-14
6-11
43%
50%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.9
24.1
25.2
8
51%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 20.9
17.6
13.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
32.7
29.4
10
45%
3
1
2
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.8
25.0
19.8
5
42%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.8
24.7
20.8
12
87%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
2-3
67%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 20.5
14.3
20.8
9
67%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 23.5
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Derrick Walton Jr.
G · 6'1" 185 · 22.8
3.2
0
0-0
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.6
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25.7
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 23.0
32.5
24.6
7
33%
6
4
0
1
2
1
1
5
3-4
75%
2-9
4-9
22%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.5
30.8
29.9
26
92%
6
1
2
1
1
1
4
2
5-5
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
48%
3-5
60%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
29.2
30.6
15
58%
6
3
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
1-5
20%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
26.8
30.3
5
26%
5
4
0
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-6
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
11.4
12.4
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 23.4
27.0
24.7
12
44%
4
5
3
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.3
24.6
20.7
7
122%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-2
100%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 26.4
22.6
26.0
12
102%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
2-3
67%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.9
14.3
28.2
1
9%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
5-10
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 19.7
13.2
17.4
6
80%
7
0
0
0
0
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 22.1
7.5
10.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
6.3
0
0-1
44%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 31.5
2.5
0
0-1
54%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 22.9
James Webb III
F · 6'9" 202 · 24.4
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
Milton Doyle
G · 6'4" 180 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.