FinalWin Prob.pScore
1241%102
106
1759%105
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.39795.8
CHA logo CHA
110.59596.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA106
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)106
94.8%
105
5.2%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Olynyk Free Throw 1 of 2105
83.0%
105
17.0%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAHoward P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Twardoski)105
50.1%
105
49.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)105
57.1%
105
42.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Walker 7' Fadeaway Jumper105
49.8%
105
50.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAHORNETS Rebound105
32.9%
105
67.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup105
51.4%
105
48.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)105
33.3%
105
66.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHABatum Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)102
10.1%
105
89.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (19 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)102
3.8%
105
96.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T7)100
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T4) (S.Twardoski)100
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)100
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 1:03CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Cutting Layup Shot (14 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)100
5.3%
105
94.7%
Q4 - 1:23MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Adebayo 5 AST)100
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 1:35CHABatum 10' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)97
4.7%
103
95.3%
Q4 - 1:49CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
8.2%
101
91.8%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 297
8.7%
101
91.3%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
11.2%
101
88.8%
Q4 - 1:52CHAHoward S.FOUL (P1.T3) (G.Zielinski)96
8.4%
101
91.6%
Q4 - 1:55MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
8.3%
101
91.7%
Q4 - 1:57CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup96
7.1%
101
92.9%
Q4 - 2:12CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)96
5.1%
101
94.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Richardson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot96
6.2%
101
93.8%
Q4 - 2:27CHAWalker P.FOUL (P3.T2) (S.Twardoski)96
9.5%
101
90.5%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
9.5%
101
90.5%
Q4 - 2:35CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 17' Jump Shot96
7.9%
101
92.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAOlynyk 2' Reverse Layup (15 PTS)96
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 3:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 3:11CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
4.1%
101
95.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIAOlynyk Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)94
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 3:24CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)94
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 3:43MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)94
4.7%
101
95.3%
Q4 - 3:50CHABatum P.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Zielinski)91
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 4:03CHAWalker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)91
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 4:26MIAJohnson 10' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 4:38CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)89
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 4:38MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Twardoski)89
2.1%
98
97.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAOlynyk 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)89
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 5:27CHAKaminsky 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)87
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 5:40CHALamb REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)87
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Richardson 4' Layup87
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 5:49CHALamb Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)87
8.2%
94
91.8%
Q4 - 5:50CHALamb REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Richardson 3' Layup87
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 6:11MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 6:13CHAMISS Lamb 17' Jump Shot87
9.1%
94
90.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAEllington 28' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)87
7.2%
94
92.8%
Q4 - 6:46CHALamb 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)84
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 7:04CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)84
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q4 - 7:19CHAGraham 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lamb 3 AST)84
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 7:22CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Olynyk 2' Layup84
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 7:25MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q4 - 7:29MIAKaminsky BLOCK (2 BLK)84
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q4 - 7:45CHAKaminsky 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)84
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q4 - 8:06MIARichardson 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Adebayo 4 AST)84
23.6%
87
76.4%
Q4 - 8:19CHAKaminsky Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)82
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 8:36MIAOlynyk 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)82
15.6%
87
84.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
9.9%
87
90.1%
Q4 - 8:47CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.2%
87
90.8%
Q4 - 8:53MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.T2) (G.Zielinski)79
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 8:56CHACarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAO'Bryant III BLOCK (1 BLK)79
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 9:10CHALamb 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)79
10.9%
87
89.1%
Q4 - 9:10CHALamb REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 9:14CHAMISS Lamb 12' Jump Bank Shot79
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q4 - 9:27MIAWinslow Personal Take Foul (P3.T1) (R.Garretson)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 9:29CHAO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot79
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 9:43MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 9:46CHAMISS Carter-Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q4 - 9:54CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
13.3%
85
86.7%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 10:09CHAO'Bryant III 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)79
17.6%
85
82.4%
Q4 - 10:24CHAO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
22.1%
83
77.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
25.1%
83
74.9%
Q4 - 10:42CHAMISS Lamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 10:59MIAOlynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)79
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q4 - 11:06MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 11:09CHAMISS Kaminsky 14' Fadeaway Jumper76
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 11:34MIAOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Adebayo 3 AST)76
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 11:48CHAMISS Lamb 17' Jump Shot73
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA73
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker STEAL (3 STL)73
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAAdebayo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)73
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0CHAMISS O'Bryant III 4' Layup73
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q3 - 1:01MIAWinslow Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)73
14.6%
80
85.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
17.2%
80
82.8%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Winslow 16' Jump Bank Shot73
15.3%
80
84.7%
Q3 - 1:41CHAKaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)73
17.2%
80
82.8%
Q3 - 2:00CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)73
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot73
24.8%
77
75.2%
Q3 - 2:14CHAKidd-Gilchrist 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)73
27.4%
77
72.6%
Q3 - 2:27CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
30.9%
75
69.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 2:46CHAHoward 1' Dunk (14 PTS)73
35.3%
75
64.7%
Q3 - 3:12MIAEllington 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)73
39.4%
73
60.6%
Q3 - 3:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)71
35.5%
73
64.5%
Q3 - 3:42MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)71
39.4%
71
60.6%
Q3 - 3:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)69
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q3 - 3:51CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q3 - 3:59CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
31.3%
71
68.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
32.6%
71
67.4%
Q3 - 4:21CHAHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)69
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
39.0%
69
61.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q3 - 4:34CHAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T2) (S.Twardoski)67
35.7%
69
64.3%
Q3 - 4:47CHABatum 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
35.7%
69
64.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAJones Jr. Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)67
39.1%
67
60.9%
Q3 - 5:32CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)67
43.5%
67
56.5%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (R.Garretson)67
51.3%
64
48.7%
Q3 - 5:37CHAHORNETS Rebound67
51.3%
64
48.7%
Q3 - 5:37CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
54.4%
64
45.6%
Q3 - 5:41CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
51.3%
64
48.7%
Q3 - 5:47MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot67
52.7%
64
47.3%
Q3 - 6:01CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)67
54.9%
64
45.1%
Q3 - 6:01CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)67
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 6:01CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)67
56.1%
62
43.9%
Q3 - 6:01MIARichardson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Twardoski)67
62.1%
61
37.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones Jr. 1 AST)67
62.2%
61
37.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
55.0%
61
45.0%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Richardson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot64
52.0%
61
48.0%
Q3 - 6:43CHABatum 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
55.0%
61
45.0%
Q3 - 6:47CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
58.5%
59
41.5%
Q3 - 6:51CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q3 - 7:08MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
57.4%
59
42.6%
Q3 - 7:08CHAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T1) (G.Zielinski)63
58.0%
59
42.0%
Q3 - 7:20CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
50.5%
59
49.5%
Q3 - 7:20CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
51.0%
58
49.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (G.Zielinski)61
53.7%
57
46.3%
Q3 - 7:22CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
53.7%
57
46.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIAHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)61
55.0%
57
45.0%
Q3 - 7:42CHAWalker 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)61
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)61
61.2%
55
38.8%
Q3 - 7:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
65.3%
55
34.7%
Q3 - 7:50CHAMISS Walker 1' Running Layup61
64.1%
55
35.9%
Q3 - 7:55MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)61
61.2%
55
38.8%
Q3 - 8:19CHABatum 11' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)61
64.7%
55
35.3%
Q3 - 8:34MIAWhiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)61
67.4%
53
32.6%
Q3 - 8:54CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)59
64.7%
53
35.3%
Q3 - 9:04MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)59
59.7%
53
40.3%
Q3 - 9:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
63.4%
53
36.6%
Q3 - 9:17CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup59
62.3%
53
37.7%
Q3 - 9:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
59.7%
53
40.3%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
60.8%
53
39.2%
Q3 - 9:48CHAHoward 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)59
63.5%
53
36.5%
Q3 - 10:01CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 10:04MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)59
66.5%
51
33.5%
Q3 - 10:23MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q3 - 10:26CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup59
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 10:31MIABatum STEAL (3 STL)59
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 10:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)59
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q3 - 10:43CHAMISS Batum 11' Step Back Jump Shot59
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 10:57MIAEllington 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Whiteside 3 AST)59
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q3 - 11:10CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)57
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T1) (R.Garretson)57
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 11:12MIABatum STEAL (2 STL)57
67.9%
48
32.1%
Q3 - 11:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)57
70.9%
48
29.1%
Q3 - 11:31CHAMISS Walker 1' Running Layup57
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q3 - 11:38CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
67.9%
48
32.1%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot57
68.9%
48
31.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound57
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)57
68.9%
48
31.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAWalker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAAdebayo 1' Dunk (6 PTS)57
72.9%
46
27.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)55
69.3%
46
30.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)55
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHAMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 255
69.1%
46
30.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
67.7%
46
32.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Twardoski)55
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHAHORNETS Rebound55
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup55
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)55
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q2 - 1:00CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 10' Jump Shot55
68.8%
46
31.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAJohnson 1' Layup (10 PTS)55
66.9%
46
33.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
62.6%
46
37.4%
Q2 - 1:33CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot53
62.2%
46
37.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJones Jr. 1' Putback Dunk (3 PTS)53
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
56.5%
46
43.5%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot51
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
56.6%
46
43.4%
Q2 - 2:15CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
55.7%
46
44.3%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWalton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)51
53.7%
46
46.3%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
47.4%
46
52.6%
Q2 - 2:49CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
46.5%
46
53.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)48
43.7%
46
56.3%
Q2 - 3:14CHAHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)46
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWalton Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T4) (R.Garretson)46
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 3:24CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Jones Jr. Free Throw 2 of 246
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 3:27MIAJones Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 3:27CHAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T4) (S.Twardoski)45
47.1%
43
52.9%
Q2 - 3:37CHAHoward 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)45
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 3:37CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
49.6%
41
50.4%
Q2 - 3:43CHAMISS Williams 10' Turnaround Jump Shot45
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 3:54CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Ellington 32' 3PT Jump Shot45
50.7%
41
49.3%
Q2 - 4:18CHABatum 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
52.2%
41
47.8%
Q2 - 4:29MIAWhiteside 2' Dunk (8 PTS)45
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 4:51CHAWalker 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)43
52.2%
39
47.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIABatum STEAL (1 STL)43
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 5:10CHAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 5:10CHAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 243
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T3) (G.Zielinski)43
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T2) (R.Garretson)43
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 5:15CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 5:17CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot43
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 5:20CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 5:25CHAMISS Lamb 7' Jump Shot43
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 5:43MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)43
57.3%
36
42.7%
Q2 - 5:52CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 5:57CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
54.9%
34
45.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
57.2%
34
42.8%
Q2 - 6:20CHAMISS Kaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIAEllington 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)40
53.9%
34
46.1%
Q2 - 6:52CHAO'Bryant III L.B.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Garretson)38
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 6:52MIAHeat Rebound38
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS Walton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
49.5%
34
50.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAHeat Rebound38
51.1%
34
48.9%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
49.2%
34
50.8%
Q2 - 7:16CHALamb 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)38
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 7:21CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q2 - 7:28CHAMISS Lamb 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAdebayo 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)38
53.6%
32
46.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Olynyk 14' Jump Shot36
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 7:56CHAMISS Graham 1' Layup36
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q2 - 7:59CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
48.4%
32
51.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Adebayo 2' Layup36
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 8:19CHAMISS Carter-Williams 3' Driving Layup36
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 8:28CHAO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 8:32CHAMISS Graham 13' Pullup Jump Shot36
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)36
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
50.8%
32
49.2%
Q2 - 8:56CHAMISS Kaminsky 29' 3PT Jump Shot36
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 9:17MIAAdebayo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walton Jr. 1 AST)36
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 9:39CHACarter-Williams P.FOUL (P2.T2) (S.Twardoski)34
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 9:41CHAMISS O'Bryant III 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 9:46CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
42.7%
32
57.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot34
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 10:15CHAO'Bryant III 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)34
45.3%
32
54.7%
Q2 - 10:24CHAO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
49.8%
29
50.2%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Olynyk 7' Turnaround Hook Shot34
50.7%
29
49.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
50.7%
29
49.3%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 10:43CHAMISS Lamb 18' Jump Shot34
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 10:51CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)34
50.7%
29
49.3%
Q2 - 10:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 10:57CHAMISS Lamb 5' Cutting Layup Shot34
51.8%
29
48.2%
Q2 - 11:15MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)34
49.4%
29
50.6%
Q2 - 11:15CHAO'Bryant III S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Twardoski)33
49.5%
29
50.5%
Q2 - 11:27CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 11:27CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
45.2%
28
54.8%
Q2 - 11:27MIAOlynyk S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Twardoski)31
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q2 - 11:31CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Richardson 1' Layup31
47.8%
27
52.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
49.5%
27
50.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHALamb 30' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Olynyk 28' 3PT Jump Shot31
54.5%
24
45.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)31
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAHORNETS Rebound31
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)31
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q1 - 1:07CHACarter-Williams P.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Garretson)28
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q1 - 1:20CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)28
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q1 - 1:20CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 2 of 328
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q1 - 1:20CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)28
47.2%
23
52.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Twardoski)28
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q1 - 1:31MIAOlynyk 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q1 - 1:51CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 1:51CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJones Jr. S.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Garretson)26
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:52CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:54CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q1 - 1:54CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
51.6%
20
48.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)26
52.2%
20
47.8%
Q1 - 2:13CHAKaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)26
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 2:22CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)26
58.8%
17
41.2%
Q1 - 2:50CHAWalker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 3:03CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw 2 of 226
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw 1 of 226
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 3:03CHAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Zielinski)26
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)26
63.9%
15
36.1%
Q1 - 3:18CHAMISS Batum 10' Jump Shot26
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWhiteside 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)26
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)24
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 3:47CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Twardoski)24
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 3:56CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
57.2%
15
42.8%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Winslow 18' Jump Shot24
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
57.8%
15
42.2%
Q1 - 4:10CHAMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup24
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 4:29MIAWhiteside 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)24
55.4%
15
44.6%
Q1 - 4:44CHAHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)22
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q1 - 4:58CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot22
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 5:14CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 5:30MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)22
53.9%
13
46.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 5:41CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot20
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIARichardson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 6:11CHAWalker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
47.7%
13
52.3%
Q1 - 6:26MIARichardson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)18
49.2%
11
50.8%
Q1 - 6:55CHABatum 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 7:13MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)16
48.2%
9
51.8%
Q1 - 7:31CHAWalker 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:42MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
46.5%
7
53.5%
Q1 - 8:02CHABatum 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)11
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)11
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 8:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 8:20CHAMISS Howard 2' Layup9
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 8:39MIAEllington 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)9
43.4%
5
56.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 8:54CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 9:15CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot7
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 9:32CHAKidd-Gilchrist 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)7
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)7
42.9%
3
57.1%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 9:50CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
40.8%
3
59.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIAJohnson 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)4
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 10:18CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
39.5%
3
60.5%
Q1 - 10:18CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 22
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:18MIAJones Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1) (R.Garretson)2
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:32CHAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Ellington 8' Floating Jump Shot2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:50CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup2
40.4%
2
59.6%
Q1 - 10:58CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:12CHAMISS Batum 18' Jump Shot2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup0
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 11:45CHAWalker 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Howard vs. Whiteside: Tip to Walker0
41.5%
0
58.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
CHA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
35
63%
CHA
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIA
8
24
33%
CHA
18
34
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
28
46%
70%
CHA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
7
12
58%
CHA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Ellington2681%13.0 / 16
J. Johnson2279%11.0 / 14
J. Richardson1743%8.5 / 20
K. Olynyk1644%8.0 / 18
H. Whiteside1050%5.0 / 10
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Winslow338%1.5 / 4
D. Walton Jr.350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Batum2681%13.0 / 16
K. Walker2242%11.0 / 26
D. Howard1470%7.0 / 10
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1478%7.0 / 9
F. Kaminsky1267%6.0 / 9
J. Lamb935%4.5 / 13
J. O'Bryant III563%2.5 / 4
T. Graham350%1.5 / 3
M. Williams0-0.0 / 5
M. Carter-Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-14
94
CHA
88
+11
-7
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.13 56.4%
CHA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
109.5
MIA 109.3
CHA 110.5 +1.2
Pace
95.8
98.3
MIA 95.8
CHA 96.2 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.8
MIA 15.0
CHA 15.0 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.8%
MIA 56.9% +7.5%
CHA 49.4%
TO %
14.1%
12.5%
MIA 13.2%
CHA 7.5% +5.7%
ORB %
21.5%
22.1%
MIA 18.6% +1.6%
CHA 17.0%
FTrt
22.9
31.2
MIA 13.8
CHA 23.3 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.4%
MIA 65.1% +11.4%
CHA 53.7%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
MIA 5.2%
CHA 9.5% +4.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.9%
MIA 9.5%
CHA 13.6% +4.1%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
53.7%
MIA 56.4% +4.4%
CHA 52.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.2%
MIA 62.9% +7.7%
CHA 55.2%
Mid FG%
38.4%
38.7%
MIA 33.3%
CHA 52.9% +19.6%
3P %
36.0%
36.9%
MIA 46.4% +20.5%
CHA 25.9%
FT %
75.5%
74.7%
MIA 58.3%
CHA 76.2% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
33.5%
MIA 40.2% +8.0%
CHA 32.2%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
35.1%
MIA 27.6% +10.2%
CHA 37.8%
3P Att. %
35.8%
31.4%
MIA 32.2% +2.2%
CHA 30.0%
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points106105
Rebounds4743
Assists2822
Steals59
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)7 (1)
Fouls1712
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals43-8741-90
At-the-Rim FG22-3516-29
Midrange FG8-2418-34
2-Point FG30-5934-63
3-Point FG13-287-27
Free Throws7-1216-21
Fast Break Pts86
2nd Chance Pts1314
Points in Paint5046
Pts off Turnovers1112
Bench Points2829
Biggest Lead1110

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
36.5
26
81%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
4-5
80%
6-10
60%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.3
17
43%
3
5
1
2
3
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-17
35%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
29.0
22
79%
6
7
0
0
3
3
1
5
3-4
75%
8-10
80%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 29
24.4
10
50%
14
3
0
0
1
3
1
13
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 21
20.1
3
75%
4
1
0
2
2
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
25.4
3
38%
3
0
1
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27
24.1
16
44%
10
3
0
0
1
1
1
9
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
3-8
38%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 21
23.6
6
75%
5
5
2
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 23
20.5
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 38
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
56%
47
28
5
6
14
17
8
39
7-12
58%
30-59
51%
13-28
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.