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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 20, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Raptors38%108109
3Timberwolves62%112115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
34.2
35.3
20
56%
3
5
3
1
1
5
0
3
4-4
100%
5-11
8-16
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.8
33.8
33.2
40
71%
5
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
6-7
86%
8-15
3-5
53%
48%
6-10
60%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
33.0
25.3
13
59%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
1-4
25%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.5
18.2
19.9
7
58%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
11.4
25.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
5-9
0%
55%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.7
28.6
22.2
12
52%
6
6
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.3
22.1
18.6
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
18.4
19.7
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
15.3
21.3
3
21%
0
0
0
1
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-6
17%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.9
14.0
12.6
8
106%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
11.1
4.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
63%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
11.2
0
1-2
48%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.4
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
40.2
33.5
14
66%
8
0
0
1
2
0
3
5
4-6
67%
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
0-0
-
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 22.9
36.4
32.9
29
61%
5
3
0
1
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
48%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.6
33.0
30.0
5
21%
3
10
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
0-2
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 22.2
27.7
35.7
22
100%
10
2
0
1
1
1
3
7
8-9
89%
4-5
6-10
80%
58%
2-2
100%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.7
26.4
9.1
8
42%
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
2-7
1-1
29%
54%
1-2
50%
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 23.8
29.4
2.5
12
44%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
5-8
63%
2-7
0-0
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.0
20.3
17.2
9
75%
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.7
15.0
15.7
9
77%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 25.2
11.6
2.2
7
47%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
5-8
63%
1-4
0-1
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 28.4
36.7
2
6-12
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 37.8
17.6
0
2-5
45%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 33.0
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 29.2
0.6
0
0-0
55%
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 24.7
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 20.6
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.