Final Win Prob. pScore
1622%102
90
278%113
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
96.89388.1
HOU logo Rockets
106.59398.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU90
99
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
99
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Ellington 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot90
99
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
99
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
98
Q4 - 0:14.0MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (L.Wood)90
97
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
97
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
97
Q4 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Whiteside90
97
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)90
97
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUCapela 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)90
97
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
95
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHarden BLOCK (2 BLK)90
95
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)90
95
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
95
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)90
95
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUPaul 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
95
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
93
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Ellington 7' Driving Layup90
93
Q4 - 1:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
93
Q4 - 1:17HOUMISS Harden 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot90
93
Q4 - 1:42MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)90
93
Q4 - 1:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)90
93
Q4 - 1:42HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 1:54MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T2) (J.Capers)90
93
Q4 - 2:04MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P5.T1) (J.Goldenberg)90
93
Q4 - 2:04MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)90
93
Q4 - 2:25HOUHarden 14' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 2:48MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)90
91
Q4 - 3:06HOUHarden 29' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)88
91
Q4 - 3:31HOUROCKETS Rebound88
88
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Ellington 32' 3PT Jump Shot88
88
Q4 - 3:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
88
Q4 - 3:47HOUMISS Harden 8' Driving Layup88
88
Q4 - 4:09HOUSUB: Paul FOR Tucker88
88
Q4 - 4:09HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)88
88
Q4 - 4:09MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)88
88
Q4 - 4:23HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 4:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
86
Q4 - 4:25HOUMISS Tucker 6' Driving Layup86
86
Q4 - 4:46MIAWhiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS)86
86
Q4 - 4:57MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
86
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot84
86
Q4 - 5:15MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Adebayo84
86
Q4 - 5:15HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Paul84
86
Q4 - 5:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)84
86
Q4 - 5:17HOUCapela 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)84
86
Q4 - 5:31MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
84
Q4 - 5:31MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow83
84
Q4 - 5:31MIASUB: Ellington FOR Olynyk83
84
Q4 - 5:31HOUSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Anderson83
84
Q4 - 5:31HOUSUB: Capela FOR Ariza83
84
Q4 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound83
84
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Adebayo Free Throw 1 of 283
84
Q4 - 5:31HOUTucker S.FOUL (P2.T3) (L.Wood)83
84
Q4 - 5:49HOUTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)83
84
Q4 - 5:52HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
81
Q4 - 5:55HOUMISS Paul 3' Driving Layup83
81
Q4 - 6:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
81
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot83
81
Q4 - 6:22MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
81
Q4 - 6:26HOUMISS Anderson 11' Fadeaway Jumper83
81
Q4 - 6:37MIAOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
81
Q4 - 6:37MIAOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)82
81
Q4 - 6:37HOUTucker S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Goldenberg)81
81
Q4 - 6:55HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)81
81
Q4 - 6:55HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
81
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Olynyk 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
81
Q4 - 7:09HOU81
81
Q4 - 7:09HOUAnderson P.FOUL (P3.T1) (J.Capers)81
81
Q4 - 7:09HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)81
81
Q4 - 7:25MIARichardson 23' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
81
Q4 - 7:36HOUSUB: Harden FOR Gordon79
81
Q4 - 7:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)79
81
Q4 - 7:44MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
81
Q4 - 7:49HOUMISS Tucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
81
Q4 - 7:54MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)79
81
Q4 - 8:17HOUPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
81
Q4 - 8:34MIASUB: Jones Jr. FOR Ellington79
78
Q4 - 8:34HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Capela79
78
Q4 - 8:34MIAOlynyk Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T15)79
78
Q4 - 8:53MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
78
Q4 - 8:55HOUMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 9:12MIAOlynyk 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 9:29HOUGordon 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)77
78
Q4 - 9:51MIAAdebayo 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)77
76
Q4 - 9:53MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
76
Q4 - 9:58HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
76
Q4 - 10:18MIAOlynyk 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)75
76
Q4 - 10:34HOUPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
76
Q4 - 10:47HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
73
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Richardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot73
73
Q4 - 11:05HOUGordon 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
73
Q4 - 11:23MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
71
Q4 - 11:41HOUGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)70
71
Q4 - 11:53MIAAdebayo 4' Layup (4 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)70
71
Q4 - 12:0068
71
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU68
71
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound68
71
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Paul 3' Running Layup68
71
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
71
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
71
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUPaul 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
71
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAEllington 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)68
69
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
69
Q3 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Richardson FOR Jones Jr.66
68
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones Jr. P.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Goldenberg)66
67
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAEllington 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)66
67
Q3 - 1:20HOUTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)63
67
Q3 - 1:28MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)63
64
Q3 - 1:32HOUGordon 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 1:49MIAWinslow 3' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)63
62
Q3 - 2:01HOUCapela P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Goldenberg)61
62
Q3 - 2:01MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
62
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Winslow 8' Driving Layup61
62
Q3 - 2:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
62
Q3 - 2:22MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
62
Q3 - 2:26HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 2:36HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
62
Q3 - 2:38MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)61
62
Q3 - 2:52MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
62
Q3 - 2:55HOUMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 3:01HOUSUB: Capela FOR Nene61
62
Q3 - 3:01HOUSUB: Paul FOR Harden61
62
Q3 - 3:01HOUROCKETS Rebound61
62
Q3 - 3:01HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup61
62
Q3 - 3:07HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
62
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Olynyk 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 3:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
62
Q3 - 3:21HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 261
62
Q3 - 3:21MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Whiteside61
62
Q3 - 3:21HOUROCKETS Rebound61
62
Q3 - 3:21HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 261
62
Q3 - 3:21MIAWhiteside Personal Block Foul (P4.PN) (J.Capers)61
62
Q3 - 3:43HOUROCKETS Rebound61
62
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Olynyk 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 3:55MIAHeat Rebound61
62
Q3 - 3:56HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot61
62
Q3 - 4:00HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
62
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 161
62
Q3 - 4:03MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Johnson61
62
Q3 - 4:03HOUNene S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Goldenberg)61
62
Q3 - 4:03MIAWinslow 4' Layup (5 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 4:24HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)59
62
Q3 - 4:27HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
59
Q3 - 4:29HOUMISS Harden 7' Driving Hook Shot59
59
Q3 - 4:41MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (20 PTS)59
59
Q3 - 5:02HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
59
Q3 - 5:02HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 5:02MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Goldenberg)57
57
Q3 - 5:10MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson57
57
Q3 - 5:10MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)57
57
Q3 - 5:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)57
57
Q3 - 5:26HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 5:29HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
57
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 5:45HOUMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)57
57
Q3 - 5:55HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
57
Q3 - 5:55HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 6:04HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
57
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 6:09MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
57
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
57
Q3 - 6:32HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 6:52MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)57
57
Q3 - 6:52HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Capela57
57
Q3 - 6:52HOUSUB: Nene FOR Anderson57
57
Q3 - 6:52HOUSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Paul57
57
Q3 - 6:52HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Ariza57
57
Q3 - 6:52HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)57
57
Q3 - 6:52MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (L.Wood)57
57
Q3 - 6:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
57
Q3 - 6:55HOUMISS Capela 3' Layup57
57
Q3 - 6:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
57
Q3 - 6:59HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 7:05HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
57
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 7:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
57
Q3 - 7:17HOUMISS Paul 10' Pullup Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 7:28MIARichardson 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 7:50HOUPaul 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)55
57
Q3 - 7:59MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)55
55
Q3 - 8:11HOUAnderson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
55
Q3 - 8:11HOUAnderson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (J.Goldenberg)55
55
Q3 - 8:17MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Goldenberg)55
55
Q3 - 8:18MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)55
55
Q3 - 8:34HOUHarden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 8:43HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
52
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Richardson 22' Pullup Jump Shot55
52
Q3 - 9:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
52
Q3 - 9:05HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot55
52
Q3 - 9:11MIARichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
52
Q3 - 9:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
52
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot52
52
Q3 - 9:27HOUCapela P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)52
52
Q3 - 9:43HOUCapela 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)52
52
Q3 - 9:53HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
50
Q3 - 9:56HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 152
50
Q3 - 9:56MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Goldenberg)52
50
Q3 - 9:56HOUCapela 3' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)52
50
Q3 - 10:11HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
48
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
48
Q3 - 10:36HOUHarden 3' Running Layup (17 PTS)52
48
Q3 - 10:42MIACapela STEAL (1 STL)52
46
Q3 - 10:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
46
Q3 - 10:54HOUMISS Anderson 31' 3PT Jump Shot52
46
Q3 - 11:09MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goldenberg)52
46
Q3 - 11:32MIAJones Jr. 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
46
Q3 - 11:45MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
46
Q3 - 11:48HOUMISS Harden 22' Step Back Jump Shot50
46
Q3 - 12:0050
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound50
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot50
46
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
46
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Reverse Layup50
46
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
46
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones Jr. 3' Layup50
46
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
46
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
46
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
46
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Johnson 4' Driving Layup50
46
Q2 - 1:03HOUGordon 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)50
46
Q2 - 1:17MIAWhiteside 3' Cutting Layup Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)50
44
Q2 - 1:31MIASUB: Jones Jr. FOR Richardson48
44
Q2 - 1:31HOUSUB: Paul FOR Harden48
44
Q2 - 1:31HOUSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Tucker48
44
Q2 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound48
44
Q2 - 1:31HOUMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot48
44
Q2 - 1:47MIAWhiteside 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)48
44
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
44
Q2 - 1:56HOUMISS Harden 5' Driving Layup46
44
Q2 - 2:15MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)46
44
Q2 - 2:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
44
Q2 - 2:29HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
44
Q2 - 2:36HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
44
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot44
44
Q2 - 2:54HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)44
44
Q2 - 2:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
41
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot44
41
Q2 - 3:28HOUHarden 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)44
41
Q2 - 3:42MIAJohnson 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)44
39
Q2 - 3:48HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)42
39
Q2 - 4:02MIAWhiteside Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T8)42
39
Q2 - 4:02MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P1) (J.Capers)42
39
Q2 - 4:14HOUAnderson L.B.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Capers)42
39
Q2 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound42
39
Q2 - 4:16HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 4:23HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
39
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot42
39
Q2 - 4:33HOUAriza P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Goldenberg)42
39
Q2 - 4:44MIASUB: Ellington FOR Walton Jr.42
39
Q2 - 4:44HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Paul42
39
Q2 - 4:44MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
39
Q2 - 4:45HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)42
39
Q2 - 4:52MIAHarden STEAL (2 STL)42
36
Q2 - 5:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
36
Q2 - 5:05HOUMISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
36
Q2 - 5:19HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
36
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup42
36
Q2 - 5:42HOUTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)42
36
Q2 - 6:02MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
33
Q2 - 6:18HOUAnderson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)40
33
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalton Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
30
Q2 - 6:43MIAHeat Rebound37
30
Q2 - 6:43MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)37
30
Q2 - 6:59MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Adebayo37
30
Q2 - 6:59MIASUB: Johnson FOR Olynyk37
30
Q2 - 6:59HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)37
30
Q2 - 6:59MIAHeat Rebound37
30
Q2 - 7:00HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 7:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)37
30
Q2 - 7:17MIAHeat Rebound37
30
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Walton Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot37
30
Q2 - 7:41HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Mbah a Moute37
30
Q2 - 7:41HOUMbah a Moute Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)37
30
Q2 - 7:41HOUMbah a Moute OFF.Foul (P1) (L.Wood)37
30
Q2 - 7:55MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)37
30
Q2 - 8:17MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
30
Q2 - 8:20HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 8:45MIAAdebayo 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 8:49HOUPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)35
30
Q2 - 9:01MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington35
30
Q2 - 9:01HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Capela35
30
Q2 - 9:01MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Goldenberg)35
30
Q2 - 9:06HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
30
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 9:12MIAWalton Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 9:31HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Adebayo 4' Driving Reverse Layup35
30
Q2 - 9:56MIAOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
30
Q2 - 9:56HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 235
30
Q2 - 9:56HOUSUB: Harden FOR Gordon35
30
Q2 - 9:56HOUROCKETS Rebound35
30
Q2 - 9:56HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 235
30
Q2 - 9:56HOUPaul Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)35
30
Q2 - 9:56MIAOlynyk T.FOUL (P0.T1) (J.Capers)35
29
Q2 - 9:56MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)35
29
Q2 - 10:03MIAOlynyk 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)35
29
Q2 - 10:15MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
29
Q2 - 10:18HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 10:23HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 10:38HOUGordon P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Capers)35
29
Q2 - 10:45MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29
Q2 - 10:48HOUMISS Anderson 29' 3PT Jump Shot35
29
Q2 - 10:59MIAEllington Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 10:59MIAHeat Rebound34
29
Q2 - 10:59MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw 2 of 334
29
Q2 - 10:59MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)34
29
Q2 - 10:59HOUGordon S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)33
29
Q2 - 11:10HOUMbah a Moute 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)33
29
Q2 - 11:25HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
27
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
27
Q2 - 11:49HOUGordon 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
27
Q2 - 12:0033
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
25
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUPaul Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)33
25
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
25
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Walton Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
25
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
25
Q1 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR Richardson33
24
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
24
Q1 - 0:30.0MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Goldenberg)33
23
Q1 - 0:33.0HOUROCKETS Rebound33
23
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Paul 12' Pullup Jump Shot33
23
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUSUB: Capela FOR Nene33
23
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
23
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
23
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot33
23
Q1 - 1:08MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
23
Q1 - 1:10HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 3' Driving Layup33
23
Q1 - 1:22MIAWinslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walton Jr. 1 AST)33
23
Q1 - 1:47HOUGordon 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
23
Q1 - 1:59MIAOlynyk 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)30
21
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Whiteside28
21
Q1 - 2:11MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington28
21
Q1 - 2:11HOUSUB: Paul FOR Harden28
21
Q1 - 2:11HOUHarden P.FOUL (P2.T3) (L.Wood)28
21
Q1 - 2:25MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21
Q1 - 2:25HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
21
Q1 - 2:39MIAOlynyk 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)28
21
Q1 - 2:43HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)26
21
Q1 - 2:53MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)26
21
Q1 - 3:14HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)26
21
Q1 - 3:19MIATucker STEAL (1 STL)26
18
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)26
18
Q1 - 3:42MIASUB: Walton Jr. FOR Johnson26
17
Q1 - 3:42MIASUB: Olynyk FOR Jones Jr.26
17
Q1 - 3:42MIAJones Jr. S.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Capers)26
17
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden 3' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)26
17
Q1 - 3:51MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Goldenberg)26
15
Q1 - 3:53HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
15
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Jones Jr. 3' Driving Layup26
15
Q1 - 4:12MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson26
15
Q1 - 4:12HOUSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Ariza26
15
Q1 - 4:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)26
15
Q1 - 4:22HOUHarden 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)26
15
Q1 - 4:32MIAWhiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Jones Jr. 1 AST)26
12
Q1 - 4:40MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12
Q1 - 4:42HOUMISS Harden 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot24
12
Q1 - 4:53HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
12
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Shot24
12
Q1 - 5:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
12
Q1 - 5:04HOUMISS Nene 1' Tip Layup Shot24
12
Q1 - 5:04HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
12
Q1 - 5:08HOUMISS Gordon 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot24
12
Q1 - 5:25MIAEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)24
12
Q1 - 5:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12
Q1 - 5:41HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12
Q1 - 5:47HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Jones Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
12
Q1 - 6:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12
Q1 - 6:03HOUMISS Harden 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
12
Q1 - 6:27MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
12
Q1 - 6:31HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Paul18
12
Q1 - 6:31HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Capela18
12
Q1 - 6:31HOUSUB: Nene FOR Anderson18
12
Q1 - 6:31HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
12
Q1 - 6:31HOUPaul P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)18
12
Q1 - 6:38MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 6:40HOUMISS Capela 3' Layup18
12
Q1 - 6:49MIAWhiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)18
12
Q1 - 7:04HOUAriza 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)16
12
Q1 - 7:16MIAJones Jr. 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)16
9
Q1 - 7:33HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 7:33HOUROCKETS Rebound14
8
Q1 - 7:33HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 314
8
Q1 - 7:33HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 7:33MIAJones Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)14
7
Q1 - 7:42MIAWhiteside 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
7
Q1 - 7:55HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
7
Q1 - 7:59MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)12
7
Q1 - 8:03HOUPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
7
Q1 - 8:19MIARichardson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goldenberg)12
7
Q1 - 8:19HOUROCKETS Rebound12
7
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
7
Q1 - 8:37HOUCapela 3' Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)12
7
Q1 - 8:59MIAWhiteside 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)12
5
Q1 - 9:17HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
5
Q1 - 9:39MIAWhiteside 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)10
5
Q1 - 9:56MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 9:56HOUMISS Capela 3' Layup8
5
Q1 - 9:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
5
Q1 - 10:00HOUMISS Capela 7' Driving Layup8
5
Q1 - 10:14HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Jones Jr. Free Throw 1 of 18
5
Q1 - 10:17HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)8
5
Q1 - 10:17MIAJones Jr. 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)8
5
Q1 - 10:18HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
5
Q1 - 10:34MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 10:57HOUHarden 8' Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
5
Q1 - 11:10MIAWhiteside 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
3
Q1 - 11:27HOUPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 11:45MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Whiteside: Tip to Richardson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
HOU
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
31
74%
HOU
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
9
21
43%
HOU
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
30
23%
35%
HOU
15
22.5
37
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
5
9
56%
HOU
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2269%11.0 / 16
W. Ellington1346%6.5 / 14
J. Richardson1250%6.0 / 12
J. Johnson1038%5.0 / 13
K. Olynyk1050%5.0 / 10
J. Winslow758%3.5 / 6
B. Adebayo770%3.5 / 5
D. Jones650%3.0 / 6
D. Walton Jr.350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2852%14.0 / 27
C. Paul1662%8.0 / 13
E. Gordon1647%8.0 / 17
C. Capela1458%7.0 / 12
R. Anderson964%4.5 / 7
P. Tucker990%4.5 / 5
T. Ariza375%1.5 / 2
L. Mbah a Moute250%1.0 / 2
Nene233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+12
-16
89
HOU
79
+11
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
HOU
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
114.6
MIA 96.8
HOU 106.5 +9.7
Pace
95.8
97.6
MIA 88.1
HOU 98.5 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.5
MIA 16.3
HOU 14.6 −1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
55.1%
MIA 51.8%
HOU 53.7% +1.9%
TO %
14.1%
13.5%
MIA 17.3%
HOU 13.6% −3.7%
ORB %
21.5%
21.2%
MIA 23.1% +3.6%
HOU 19.5%
FTrt
22.9
29.8
MIA 11.0
HOU 22.2 +11.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.7%
MIA 46.2%
HOU 55.6% +9.4%
STL %
7.8%
8.7%
MIA 7.5%
HOU 10.8% +3.3%
BLK %
9.3%
8.4%
MIA 9.1% +3.3%
HOU 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
57.6%
MIA 50.6%
HOU 55.0% +4.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
62.3%
MIA 74.2% +15.1%
HOU 59.1%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.2%
MIA 42.9% +6.5%
HOU 36.4%
3P %
36.0%
36.2%
MIA 23.3%
HOU 40.5% +17.2%
FT %
75.5%
78.1%
MIA 55.6%
HOU 66.7% +11.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
34.4%
MIA 37.8% +10.6%
HOU 27.2%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
15.3%
MIA 25.6% −1.6%
HOU 27.2%
3P Att. %
35.8%
50.3%
MIA 36.6%
HOU 45.7% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.48 and 3.48.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points9099
Rebounds4238
Assists1820
Steals710
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)14 (0)
Fouls1815
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)30 (3)
Field Goals39-8236-81
At-the-Rim FG23-3113-22
Midrange FG9-218-22
2-Point FG32-5221-44
3-Point FG7-3015-37
Free Throws5-912-18
Fast Break Pts106
2nd Chance Pts1012
Points in Paint5634
Pts off Turnovers1718
Bench Points2729
Biggest Lead149

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
39.0
13
46%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
3-11
27%
F · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.7
12
50%
3
1
1
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
2-4
50%
C · 7'0" 265 · 29
30.4
22
69%
13
2
3
0
7
5
3
10
0-0
-
11-16
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 210 · 21
29.5
6
50%
5
1
1
3
1
3
3
2
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
28.8
10
38%
3
4
0
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 22
27.9
7
58%
4
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27
19.6
10
50%
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 21
17.3
7
70%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 23
11.0
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 190 · 32
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 24
F · 6'8" 235 · 38
#4 · C · 7'0" 260 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
51%
42
18
7
4
16
18
9
33
5-9
56%
32-52
62%
7-30
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.