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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
January 23, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers
102
4Spurs
114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.1
38.0
35.5
28
51%
9
7
0
1
1
5
2
7
6-10
60%
8-17
7-13
47%
58%
2-6
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
31.6
23.3
13
94%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
3-4
75%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
28.6
27.2
0
0%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.0
27.9
25.5
14
54%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
8-9
89%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.4
26.5
17.2
10
56%
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
11
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.9
19.3
21.6
8
82%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.0
17.5
18.9
12
75%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
16.4
22.6
8
82%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.9
14.3
16.1
3
38%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
13.0
20.2
6
109%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
4-4
100%
1-1
4-8
100%
46%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.6
5.5
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
1.3
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
5.6
0
0-1
48%
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.1
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
40.7
34.8
30
71%
8
3
2
1
1
2
3
5
6-7
86%
12-17
9-17
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
33.7
29.8
10
50%
12
5
1
1
1
0
3
9
0-0
-
5-10
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 21.3
29.8
23.8
19
57%
10
3
7
1
0
4
4
6
3-4
75%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
29.7
23.3
7
32%
5
2
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
29.5
20.7
13
63%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
2-7
29%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
22.6
21.4
8
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
19.7
23.9
9
64%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
18.3
19.2
14
58%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
11.7
4.1
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
3.5
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
1.0
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.5
28.6
0
4-8
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
5.4
0
1-1
51%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.