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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 23, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Celtics69%108107
27Lakers31%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.8
38.4
36.3
33
65%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
9-13
7-13
69%
51%
4-11
36%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
31.8
32.0
13
59%
12
6
0
1
2
1
3
9
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
3-5
60%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.9
30.6
29.9
4
29%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
0-3
4-7
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.2
25.6
33.4
9
41%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.1
10.6
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
33.5
24.4
22
75%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
4-10
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
26.3
24.9
13
57%
7
0
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-1
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
1-4
25%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
23.8
20.9
9
64%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
1-3
33%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.8
15.9
11.7
4
67%
5
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 26.2
3.6
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.3
10.5
1
1-2
47%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
7.0
0
0-0
45%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.8
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.6
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 20.4
33.0
18.9
7
27%
9
4
1
0
1
3
2
7
3-4
75%
2-10
3-6
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
26.2
27.5
14
53%
14
1
1
1
0
2
5
9
2-3
67%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
23.8
24.4
8
41%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 29.8
14.6
15.4
12
53%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
0-4
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
13.6
14.6
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.6
34.4
29.6
22
55%
5
4
2
1
0
2
3
2
6-7
86%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-4
0%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
26.6
20.5
28
77%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-5
60%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
5-7
71%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
26.0
26.9
11
72%
9
2
1
1
0
2
0
9
3-6
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
0-0
-
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
23.1
22.1
4
41%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 23.9
18.7
22.7
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 31.9
19.7
1
2-4
51%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.9
2.4
0
0-1
51%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.5
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.8
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.2
Nigel Hayes
F · 6'7" 254 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.