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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 24, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz48%10098
19Pistons52%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.4
43.3
32.4
15
34%
4
5
2
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-15
5-9
33%
51%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 25.6
38.0
23.8
15
48%
8
1
0
1
4
0
3
5
3-6
50%
6-13
4-6
46%
60%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.3
37.5
27.5
11
62%
10
5
1
1
0
3
1
9
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 30.3
36.0
28.8
13
65%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.5
24.4
28.2
8
36%
10
0
4
1
3
2
3
7
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 36.6
26.1
20.8
11
61%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-4
25%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.9
17.4
14.9
5
28%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
1-4
25%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 24.6
16.8
15.4
5
36%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 26.5
15.1
15.9
9
58%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 25.7
10.5
12.7
6
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 25.3
14.4
0
2-4
45%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
8.4
0
1-1
45%
Erik McCree
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.1
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.0
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 24.6
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.2
40.7
28.5
6
27%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-4
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
40.2
31.3
13
38%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-12
5-9
42%
52%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.5
39.5
32.1
30
67%
24
4
3
1
6
5
8
16
8-12
67%
11-16
5-10
69%
54%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.7
38.9
18.8
7
29%
5
4
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-7
14%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
20.4
15.9
5
36%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
32.5
28.7
14
38%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
1-3
33%
5-14
5-10
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
26.3
19.4
10
48%
10
4
0
1
0
3
3
7
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 29.4
13.5
3.8
4
50%
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
12.9
22.2
6
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
2-3
67%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
24.1
1
2-3
54%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.1
8.6
0
1-1
52%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
8.0
0
1-2
46%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.0
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.7
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.8
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.8
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.