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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 25, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks
118
8Nuggets
130
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.3
34
34
7
5
7
4
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 22.5
27
20
21
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
6-6
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
27
25
20
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
9-13
6-10
69%
57%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.2
26
26
6
2
8
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
12
8
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 25.2
29
6
18
2
11
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
8-10
1-1
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
29
25
21
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
8-10
80%
5-7
6-11
71%
53%
1-1
100%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
20
15
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 19.5
19
17
3
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
15
10
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.1
1
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
1
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.8
15
0
2-4
56%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 22.5
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
39
31
10
4
7
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
35
32
18
7
10
0
1
0
1
1
6
7-9
78%
4-7
6-10
57%
58%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.9
35
32
18
5
5
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
31
35
23
3
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
5-8
50%
57%
4-6
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
24
23
14
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
6-6
3-6
100%
56%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.7
29
31
16
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
2-4
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
22
24
21
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
7-8
3-5
88%
51%
2-4
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
13
10
5
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
9
7
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
7
0
0-1
54%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
6
0
1-2
55%
Juan Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.