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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 26, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Lakers40%108108
23Bulls60%111103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 20.4
33.4
24.7
25
58%
9
5
1
1
0
3
2
7
5-8
63%
10-15
4-8
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
27.5
26.7
14
63%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
0-1
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
23.5
24.0
5
36%
7
2
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 29.8
19.6
15.0
17
61%
6
1
0
0
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
53%
1-3
33%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.4
14.4
14.1
6
43%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 25.6
30.1
31.0
19
54%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
27.4
22.9
9
38%
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
1-5
20%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
22.8
22.3
5
66%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
1-2
50%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.1
21.5
26.2
0
0%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 23.9
19.8
20.6
8
75%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 31.9
12.6
1
1-2
52%
Nigel Hayes
F · 6'7" 254 · 23.1
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.2
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.9
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.5
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.8
34.7
29.0
7
36%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
30.9
26.4
11
51%
11
0
0
1
3
2
2
9
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
3-6
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
30.4
25.7
9
52%
1
8
2
1
0
0
1
0
4-6
67%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
25.8
21.9
10
27%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
1-9
3-6
11%
50%
2-8
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.8
19.4
23.2
8
44%
4
1
0
0
1
3
4
0
0-0
-
4-9
5-9
44%
54%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 24.2
30.1
25.2
16
73%
11
4
0
1
1
2
1
10
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
4-6
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.0
23.8
23.1
18
61%
4
3
0
1
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
4-9
44%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 23.0
21.9
19.7
16
58%
9
1
0
1
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
54%
2-3
67%
David Nwaba
F · 6'4" 209 · 25.0
19.4
19.0
8
58%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
3.6
11.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.9
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 25.6
3.6
0
0-1
58%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.9
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Antonio Blakeney
G · 6'4" 197 · 21.3
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.