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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 30, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers55%110114
20Pistons45%108125
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.1
38
37
21
6
7
0
2
1
4
0
6
1-2
50%
7-13
8-13
54%
59%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.0
33
27
19
3
5
0
1
0
6
0
3
12-13
92%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.9
27
23
8
10
1
0
0
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
57%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
24
30
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-4
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.4
5
27
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.0
28
18
18
8
5
0
1
1
2
2
6
5-9
56%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
27
23
8
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
2-5
40%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.9
24
17
10
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
21
14
20
6
0
0
0
2
1
0
6
4-4
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
4-7
57%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
12
18
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
13
0
2-5
47%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.6
6
0
0-1
45%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.1
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.2
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.7
40
22
26
10
4
2
1
1
4
2
8
5-8
63%
9-17
2-4
53%
44%
1-4
25%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.5
38
33
21
22
7
3
1
3
3
5
17
3-7
43%
9-12
6-11
75%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
37
26
20
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
4
5-5
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
33
29
19
2
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
30
27
22
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
5-9
2-3
56%
55%
4-6
67%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
22
21
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
15
11
11
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.0
11
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
9
10
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.1
6
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
3
0
0-1
48%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 27.7
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.8
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.7
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.6
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.8
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.