FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%104
107
288%121
114
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
117.69189.7
HOU logo HOU
123.99293.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU107
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Hezonja 1' Tip Layup Shot107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Hezonja 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot107
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)107
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2107
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLSimmons P.FOUL (P3.PN) (T.Brown)107
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)107
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Hezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (60 PTS)107
1.0%
113
99.0%
Q4 - 0:45.0ORLHezonja S.FOUL (P3.PN) (D.Taylor)107
0.9%
112
99.1%
Q4 - 1:03HOUROCKETS Rebound107
7.7%
109
92.3%
Q4 - 1:03HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup107
12.1%
109
87.9%
Q4 - 1:07ORLHarden STEAL (4 STL)107
7.9%
109
92.1%
Q4 - 1:22HOUHarden Offensive Foul Turnover (P5.T12)107
14.2%
109
85.8%
Q4 - 1:22HOUHarden Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN) (B.Adams)107
8.0%
109
92.0%
Q4 - 1:37HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
8.4%
109
91.6%
Q4 - 1:41ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot107
10.0%
109
90.0%
Q4 - 1:50HOUHarden 19' Step Back Jump Shot (56 PTS)107
14.2%
109
85.8%
Q4 - 2:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
18.1%
107
81.9%
Q4 - 2:14HOUMISS Harden 31' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot107
25.4%
107
74.6%
Q4 - 2:32ORLSpeights P.FOUL (P4.T4) (B.Adams)107
17.7%
107
82.3%
Q4 - 2:43ORLMagic Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#11)107
17.6%
107
82.4%
Q4 - 2:55HOUCapela P.FOUL (P3.T4) (B.Adams)107
29.3%
107
70.7%
Q4 - 3:06ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)107
29.2%
107
70.8%
Q4 - 3:09HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot107
25.6%
107
74.4%
Q4 - 3:36ORLSpeights 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)107
20.3%
107
79.7%
Q4 - 3:55HOUHarden 9' Floating Jump Shot (54 PTS)105
15.4%
107
84.6%
Q4 - 4:09ORLMack P.FOUL (P1.T3) (T.Brown)105
20.5%
105
79.5%
Q4 - 4:23ORLHezonja 1' Driving Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)105
20.5%
105
79.5%
Q4 - 4:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (52 PTS)103
15.4%
105
84.6%
Q4 - 4:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (51 PTS)103
16.0%
104
84.0%
Q4 - 4:45ORLAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Taylor)103
20.6%
103
79.4%
Q4 - 4:59HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
20.6%
103
79.4%
Q4 - 5:01ORLMISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot103
20.9%
103
79.1%
Q4 - 5:24HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (50 PTS)103
25.4%
103
74.6%
Q4 - 5:37ORLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
31.8%
101
68.2%
Q4 - 5:37ORLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
30.2%
101
69.8%
Q4 - 5:37HOUTucker S.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Brown)101
25.5%
101
74.5%
Q4 - 5:40ORLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
25.5%
101
74.5%
Q4 - 5:44HOUMISS Capela 3' Cutting Layup Shot101
23.5%
101
76.5%
Q4 - 5:57HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
19.3%
101
80.7%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMISS Speights 3PT Jump Shot101
21.1%
101
78.9%
Q4 - 6:21ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
23.9%
101
76.1%
Q4 - 6:26HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
22.0%
101
78.0%
Q4 - 6:41ORLSpeights Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)101
18.1%
101
81.9%
Q4 - 6:41HOUCapela S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Taylor)100
18.8%
101
81.2%
Q4 - 6:55HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (48 PTS)97
8.6%
101
91.4%
Q4 - 7:21ORLAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iwundu 1 AST)97
14.0%
98
86.0%
Q4 - 7:47HOUAnderson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T11)95
11.3%
98
88.7%
Q4 - 7:47HOUAnderson OFF.Foul (P1) (D.Taylor)95
8.5%
98
91.5%
Q4 - 7:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
8.5%
98
91.5%
Q4 - 7:59ORLCapela BLOCK (3 BLK)95
9.3%
98
90.7%
Q4 - 8:17HOUCapela 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)95
11.4%
98
88.6%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMack 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)95
14.4%
96
85.6%
Q4 - 8:56HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (45 PTS)93
11.4%
96
88.6%
Q4 - 9:09HOUROCKETS Rebound93
17.0%
93
83.0%
Q4 - 9:09ORLMISS Speights 29' 3PT Jump Shot93
18.1%
93
81.9%
Q4 - 9:17HOUCapela P.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Brown)93
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 9:34HOUCapela 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)93
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 9:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
25.1%
91
74.9%
Q4 - 9:36HOUMISS Capela 2' Cutting Layup Shot93
28.5%
91
71.5%
Q4 - 9:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)93
25.1%
91
74.9%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Capela 2' Alley Oop Dunk93
28.6%
91
71.4%
Q4 - 10:00HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
25.1%
91
74.9%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot93
25.8%
91
74.2%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
29.1%
91
70.9%
Q4 - 10:09HOUMISS Harden 15' Step Back Jump Shot93
27.7%
91
72.3%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMack 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Speights 2 AST)93
24.4%
91
75.6%
Q4 - 10:31ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
20.7%
91
79.3%
Q4 - 10:36HOUMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 291
20.1%
91
79.9%
Q4 - 10:36HOUGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
17.7%
91
82.3%
Q4 - 10:36ORLSpeights Shooting Block Foul (P3.T1) (T.Brown)91
20.4%
90
79.6%
Q4 - 10:48ORLSpeights 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)91
20.4%
90
79.6%
Q4 - 11:02ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
14.6%
90
85.4%
Q4 - 11:05HOUMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
13.8%
90
86.2%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)88
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 11:42ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
14.6%
90
85.4%
Q4 - 11:45HOUMISS Tucker 3PT Jump Shot88
13.7%
90
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU88
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHarden STEAL (3 STL)88
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUNene P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Taylor)88
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUHarden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (42 PTS)88
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
20.3%
87
79.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUMbah a Moute 1' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)88
23.8%
87
76.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLSpeights 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)88
27.8%
85
72.2%
Q3 - 1:12ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q3 - 1:16HOUMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q3 - 1:28ORLSpeights Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)85
16.6%
85
83.4%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMagic Rebound85
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q3 - 1:33ORLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)85
17.4%
85
82.6%
Q3 - 1:37HOUNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)85
19.5%
85
80.5%
Q3 - 1:57ORLPayton 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
16.6%
85
83.4%
Q3 - 2:09HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (39 PTS)83
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q3 - 2:31ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)83
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q3 - 2:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)80
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q3 - 3:02ORLHezonja Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)80
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q3 - 3:05HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)80
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q3 - 3:12HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q3 - 3:15ORLMISS Fournier 29' 3PT Jump Shot80
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q3 - 3:30HOUTucker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)80
11.7%
83
88.3%
Q3 - 3:44ORLSimmons 7' Driving Layup (15 PTS)80
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 4:00HOUNene P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brown)78
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)78
13.4%
80
86.6%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)78
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q3 - 4:13ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P3.PN) (D.Taylor)78
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 4:32ORLSimmons 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)78
15.2%
78
84.8%
Q3 - 4:51ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q3 - 4:53HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q3 - 5:02ORLHezonja 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)76
11.4%
78
88.6%
Q3 - 5:15HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)73
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 5:39ORLSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)73
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q3 - 5:57HOUTucker 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)70
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q3 - 6:20ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)70
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 6:24ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 6:26HOUMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot67
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 6:40ORLBiyombo 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)67
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 6:41ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Simmons 11' Jump Shot65
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 7:09HOUGreen 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 7:12HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 7:14HOUMISS Green 11' Jump Shot65
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 7:28ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 7:28ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 7:28HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Taylor)63
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 7:41HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (35 PTS)63
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 7:44HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Hezonja 3PT Jump Shot63
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 8:02HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)63
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 8:05HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Payton 1' Layup63
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 8:16HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
8.4%
68
91.6%
Q3 - 8:16HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 8:16ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)63
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 8:35ORLSimmons 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)63
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 8:40HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)61
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q3 - 8:52HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 8:55ORLMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
7.6%
66
92.4%
Q3 - 9:05HOUCapela 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)61
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 9:25ORLSimmons 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 9:44HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)59
8.3%
64
91.7%
Q3 - 10:03ORLHezonja 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)59
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 10:21HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)57
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 10:21HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)57
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 10:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (28 PTS)57
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 10:21ORLPayton S.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Brown)57
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 10:43ORLBiyombo 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)57
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 10:56HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
10.4%
58
89.6%
Q3 - 10:56HOUMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 255
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q3 - 10:56ORLFournier S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Adams)55
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:12HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q3 - 11:13ORLHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)55
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:18HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)55
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 11:18ORLSimmons S.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brown)55
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q3 - 11:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 11:33HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q3 - 11:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 11:42ORLCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)55
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU55
16.1%
54
83.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound55
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 32' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.5%
54
84.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLCapela STEAL (1 STL)55
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Biyombo 14' Jump Shot55
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUGreen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)55
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLHarden STEAL (2 STL)55
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 1:10ORLMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q2 - 1:24ORLMagic Rebound55
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 1:25HOUMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot55
18.4%
52
81.6%
Q2 - 1:37ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)55
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 1:55HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 1:55HOUMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 252
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 1:55ORLSimmons S.FOUL (P1.PN) (B.Adams)52
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 2:10ORLBirch 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)52
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 2:18ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 2:22HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot50
11.9%
51
88.1%
Q2 - 2:33HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 2:33ORLMISS Hezonja 18' Jump Shot50
11.5%
51
88.5%
Q2 - 2:46HOUHarden 1' Layup (24 PTS)50
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 2:58ORLBirch Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)50
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 3:05HOUAnderson 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)50
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 3:25ORLSimmons 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)50
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 3:45HOUCapela 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)48
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 3:58ORLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)48
16.1%
45
83.9%
Q2 - 4:18HOUMbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)45
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 4:30ORLAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)45
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 4:43HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)45
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMack 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 5:06ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 5:07HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot43
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 5:13HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 5:16ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot43
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 5:41ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 5:41HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 143
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 5:41ORLAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Taylor)43
15.2%
40
84.8%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)43
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 6:15HOUAnderson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)40
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 6:20HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Augustin 2' Finger Roll Layup40
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 6:48HOUMISS Tucker 3PT Jump Shot40
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 6:58ORLIwundu P.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brown)40
17.8%
35
82.2%
Q2 - 7:06HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:06ORLMISS Speights 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
18.0%
35
82.0%
Q2 - 7:15ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 7:18HOUMISS Capela 1' Tip Layup Shot40
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)40
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:19HOUMISS Capela 2' Alley Oop Layup40
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:31ORLAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)40
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 7:34ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 7:36HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot40
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 7:47ORLSpeights 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)40
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 7:56HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)38
16.2%
35
83.8%
Q2 - 7:56HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)38
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 7:56ORLSpeights Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2) (T.Brown)38
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:04ORLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)38
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 8:04ORLMISS Mack Free Throw 1 of 237
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 8:04HOUGreen S.FOUL (P2.PN) (T.Brown)37
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 8:27HOUTucker P.FOUL (P2.T4) (B.Adams)37
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 8:27HOUCapela Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 8:46ORLAugustin 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)37
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 8:58HOUTucker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)35
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 9:14ORLSpeights P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Adams)35
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:14ORLHarden STEAL (1 STL)35
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:30HOUTucker Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)35
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 9:30HOUTucker Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (B.Adams)35
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:46ORLAugustin Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)35
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:46ORLAugustin Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)34
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 9:46ORLMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 333
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 9:46HOUMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Brown)33
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 9:59HOUMbah a Moute P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Taylor)33
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:15ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:18HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:34HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 10:37ORLMISS Speights 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot33
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 10:54HOUGreen Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T3)33
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:54HOUGreen OFF.Foul (P1) (B.Adams)33
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 11:02ORLAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)33
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 11:21HOUGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tucker 1 AST)30
11.9%
30
88.1%
Q2 - 11:32HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 11:34ORLMISS Augustin 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot30
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU30
15.3%
27
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound30
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Green 60' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Iwundu 14' Jump Shot30
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Speights 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLMagic Rebound30
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.5%
27
85.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLSpeights 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)30
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Nene 1' Cutting Dunk Shot27
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 1:08ORLAugustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 1:17HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)24
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 1:17HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)24
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q1 - 1:17ORLIwundu S.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brown)24
9.9%
25
90.1%
Q1 - 1:25ORLIwundu 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
9.9%
25
90.1%
Q1 - 1:32ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 1:35HOUMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q1 - 1:43HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 1:46ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.5%
25
91.5%
Q1 - 2:07HOUNene 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)22
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 2:23ORLFournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:39HOUNene 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)19
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 2:57ORLFournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)19
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 3:19HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)16
7.6%
21
92.4%
Q1 - 3:19HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)16
7.7%
20
92.3%
Q1 - 3:19ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Taylor)16
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:35ORLFournier 14' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)16
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:52HOUGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)14
7.6%
19
92.4%
Q1 - 3:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 3:58ORLMISS Augustin 18' Step Back Jump Shot14
9.1%
16
90.9%
Q1 - 4:25HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)14
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 4:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 4:35ORLMISS Iwundu 21' Pullup Jump Shot14
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 4:44HOUGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 4:55ORLPayton P.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Brown)14
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 4:57HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Payton 22' Pullup Jump Shot14
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 5:14HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)14
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:30ORLPayton 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 5:37HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (8 PTS)12
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 5:40HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 5:43ORLCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)12
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 5:53HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)12
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 5:53HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 5:57HOUMISS Gordon 8' Driving Layup12
13.8%
8
86.2%
Q1 - 6:15ORLBiyombo 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
12.8%
8
87.2%
Q1 - 6:16ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 6:18ORLMISS Simmons 10' Turnaround Hook Shot10
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 6:38ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 6:38HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 6:40HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 6:42HOUMISS Green 15' Jump Shot10
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 6:45HOUROCKETS Rebound10
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 6:45HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup10
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 6:53HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 6:55ORLMISS Biyombo 4' Finger Roll Layup10
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 7:03ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 7:06ORLMISS Fournier 21' Jump Shot10
11.3%
8
88.7%
Q1 - 7:19HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 7:19HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 7:19ORLHezonja S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Taylor)10
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 7:29ORLHezonja 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)10
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 7:33ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 7:37HOUMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot8
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 7:46ORLPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Adams)8
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 7:48HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 7:50ORLMISS Payton 4' Jump Shot8
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 8:01ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 8:03HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup8
11.4%
6
88.6%
Q1 - 8:14ORLHezonja P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Adams)8
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 8:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS Biyombo 2' Cutting Layup Shot8
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 8:39HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 8:50HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 8:52ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 9:11HOUAnderson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 9:20ORLBiyombo 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 9:22ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Simmons 2' Driving Layup6
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 9:32ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 9:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 9:48ORLMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 10:05HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 10:18ORLHezonja 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)6
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 10:22ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 10:24HOUMISS Capela 9' Hook Shot4
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 10:45ORLSimmons 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)4
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:55ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 10:58HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 11:16ORLFournier Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)2
11.1%
2
88.9%
Q1 - 11:37HOUCapela 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Biyombo: Tip to Harden0
11.6%
0
88.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.20 60.1%
HOU
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
29
59%
HOU
21
30
70%
Midrange
ORL
10
23
43%
HOU
5
12
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
15
22.5
31
48%
73%
HOU
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
ORL
8
10
80%
HOU
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Hezonja1771%8.5 / 12
M. Speights1777%8.5 / 11
J. Simmons1558%7.5 / 13
S. Mack15107%7.5 / 7
D. Augustin1359%6.5 / 11
E. Fournier1246%6.0 / 13
B. Biyombo857%4.0 / 7
E. Payton433%2.0 / 6
W. Iwundu233%1.0 / 3
A. Afflalo233%1.0 / 3
K. Birch2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden6081%30.0 / 37
C. Capela1243%6.0 / 14
G. Green1146%5.5 / 12
R. Anderson1083%5.0 / 6
P. Tucker990%4.5 / 5
L. Mbah a Moute844%4.0 / 9
Nene450%2.0 / 4
E. Gordon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+8
-10
89
HOU
80
+12
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.20 60.1%
HOU
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
114.6
ORL 117.6
HOU 123.9 +6.3
Pace
97.8
97.6
ORL 89.7
HOU 93.4 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.5
ORL 16.1
HOU 15.4 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
55.1%
ORL 59.6% +0.5%
HOU 59.1%
TO %
14.2%
13.5%
ORL 12.1%
HOU 11.8% +0.3%
ORB %
20.0%
21.2%
ORL 17.9%
HOU 23.5% +5.6%
FTrt
23.8
29.8
ORL 12.0
HOU 36.4 +24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
55.7%
ORL 61.9% +18.3%
HOU 43.6%
STL %
7.7%
8.7%
ORL 6.6% +1.2%
HOU 5.4%
BLK %
8.2%
8.4%
ORL 9.5%
HOU 9.6% +0.1%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
57.6%
ORL 60.1%
HOU 61.3% +1.2%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.3%
ORL 58.6%
HOU 70.0% +11.4%
Mid FG%
38.1%
41.2%
ORL 43.5% +1.8%
HOU 41.7%
3P %
35.1%
36.2%
ORL 48.4% +11.3%
HOU 37.1%
FT %
75.7%
78.1%
ORL 80.0%
HOU 82.1% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
34.4%
ORL 34.9%
HOU 39.0% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
15.3%
ORL 27.7%
HOU 15.6% +12.1%
3P Att. %
34.2%
50.3%
ORL 37.3%
HOU 45.5% +8.1%
Game TotalsORLHOU
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points107114
Rebounds3340
Assists2617
Steals65
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)12 (0)
Fouls2215
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals42-8339-77
At-the-Rim FG17-2921-30
Midrange FG10-235-12
2-Point FG27-5226-42
3-Point FG15-3113-35
Free Throws8-1023-28
Fast Break Pts147
2nd Chance Pts615
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers816
Bench Points5124
Biggest Lead57

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 195 · 28
35.1
15
58%
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 205 · 25
27.1
12
46%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 218 · 23
24.9
17
71%
3
2
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-5
60%
C · 6'9" 255 · 25
21.1
8
57%
6
1
2
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
17.5
4
33%
1
2
2
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 30
28.2
13
59%
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 203 · 28
24.8
15
107%
6
4
0
0
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30
21.0
17
77%
5
2
1
1
1
4
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
F · 6'7" 195 · 23
20.5
2
33%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 32
14.8
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 220 · 25
5.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 22
#31 · G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'10" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'7" 213 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
33
26
6
4
10
22
7
26
8-10
80%
27-52
52%
15-31
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.