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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 30, 2018
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets39%102104
9Spurs61%106106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
38.5
38.2
13
44%
3
2
5
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
35.0
34.2
17
62%
1
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
54%
3-5
60%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 22.9
34.3
34.7
13
59%
7
8
0
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
5-9
6-10
56%
55%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
34.2
33.9
18
63%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
5-5
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
19.1
2.1
10
78%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
0-0
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
25.0
24.9
7
35%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
21.6
14.9
8
44%
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.9
13.8
10.0
14
70%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
7-9
1-3
78%
39%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
13.0
3.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
5.5
3.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.7
20.7
0
2-3
49%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
5.6
0
1-2
52%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Mason Plumlee
F-C · 6'10" 254 · 27.9
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
38.6
29.5
30
63%
5
2
0
1
2
6
3
2
2-2
100%
14-23
7-14
61%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
34.5
25.3
18
75%
4
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
9-12
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 21.4
25.7
26.8
0
0%
13
7
0
1
2
2
3
10
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
25.6
19.3
6
27%
5
3
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-6
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.6
21.8
22.6
18
65%
8
4
0
0
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
23.4
12.8
14
56%
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
20.3
21.5
6
60%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
17.4
17.9
5
63%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
17.2
24.4
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
15.6
22.9
7
70%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
9.1
0
1-3
53%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
2.8
0
0-0
51%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.