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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 2, 2018
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
119
30Kings
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 29.3
37
31
33
4
6
0
1
0
5
0
4
3-3
100%
6-10
6-10
60%
58%
6-7
86%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
36
32
23
5
6
2
2
0
6
1
4
6-6
100%
4-7
4-6
57%
57%
3-10
30%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
35
33
20
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
4-4
4-8
100%
52%
4-8
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
34
32
13
9
6
1
1
1
5
0
9
5-5
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 34.0
22
17
8
13
0
1
1
1
3
5
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 22.3
28
13
0
3
3
3
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 32.7
16
13
12
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
4-6
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.0
11
9
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
63%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
10
8
2
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
10
13
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.9
1
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Chris Boucher
F · 6'10" 200 · 25.1
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 23.1
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 34.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 32.4
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
35
31
13
6
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
6-11
6-13
55%
51%
0-0
-
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
34
21
17
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
48%
2-4
50%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.1
31
27
16
2
6
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-5
80%
6-15
4-9
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
29
25
12
3
6
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
4-7
57%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
28
27
18
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
1-1
100%
7-11
5-12
64%
47%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.8
22
22
0
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 24.1
22
22
16
3
0
3
1
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 41.0
20
17
6
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 31.7
10
22
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
5
28
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.9
4
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.6
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
5
0
0-1
44%
Jack Cooley
C · 6'10" 274 · 26.8
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.9
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 19.8
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.