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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards63%111115
28Magic37%10798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 24.7
32.9
30.6
20
60%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
4-7
4-6
57%
56%
3-8
38%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 24.6
30.7
37.3
18
57%
8
8
2
1
1
3
0
8
2-2
100%
8-13
6-11
62%
52%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
29.3
31.8
16
74%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
50%
0-2
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.3
25.0
24.9
19
96%
3
6
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
3-3
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
24.5
23.8
10
71%
11
1
0
0
2
3
5
6
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.2
26.0
23.6
6
28%
1
1
4
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-4
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
20.0
14.8
9
64%
2
7
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 31.2
18.6
14.6
3
80%
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
15.7
8.5
6
51%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
14.5
2.7
6
51%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.0
2.9
1.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 29.6
17.5
0
3-4
59%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
Devin Robinson
F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
28.8
28.3
11
40%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
51%
1-6
17%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.4
25.7
26.9
15
70%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.9
23.6
23.3
14
47%
4
4
3
1
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-4
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.4
18.2
24.9
4
100%
5
2
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
17.5
17.6
10
51%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.9
29.2
23.6
15
64%
4
2
1
1
1
5
2
2
4-4
100%
1-6
3-5
17%
51%
3-4
75%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
27.6
10.9
4
50%
8
2
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 30.2
25.5
21.7
10
65%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.8
22.5
21.3
11
61%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 23.1
21.5
17.1
4
69%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
15.7
0
3-5
53%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.3
8.4
0
1-1
46%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27.0
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.3
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.