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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2018
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pelicans28%107107
4Timberwolves72%115118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.6
37.1
34.9
9
31%
5
9
1
1
2
3
0
5
3-3
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-3
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 24.9
36.5
36.6
38
59%
9
1
2
1
1
2
5
4
5-5
100%
15-26
9-17
58%
53%
1-4
25%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.9
20.9
25.6
9
75%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.8
19.9
25.3
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
1-3
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 28.9
12.3
30.3
2
25%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 27.0
35.3
13.0
18
59%
12
2
4
0
1
2
6
6
3-5
60%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
3-8
38%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.9
31.5
20.2
9
38%
7
1
0
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
1-7
14%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.9
22.4
26.6
5
63%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 21.4
15.0
9.9
10
51%
10
1
0
0
1
0
4
6
4-4
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
50%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.5
7.5
4.9
2
25%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Charles Cooke
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.6
1.8
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 35.4
0.2
0
0-0
43%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.5
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 19.8
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 29.7
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 22.9
37.7
32.6
15
54%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 28.4
36.7
33.5
30
60%
8
7
2
2
0
2
1
7
6-9
67%
9-17
6-11
53%
51%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
33.3
30.9
12
67%
9
1
0
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
6-9
5-9
67%
56%
0-0
-
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 22.2
32.9
30.8
22
62%
16
1
1
1
0
1
6
10
3-4
75%
5-13
5-9
38%
60%
3-3
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.7
26.8
28.8
5
36%
2
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 37.9
20.7
17.1
8
42%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.7
20.3
16.8
15
76%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
51%
1-2
50%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.0
15.2
15.7
6
60%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.7
14.8
17.6
5
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 23.9
0.8
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 33.1
0.8
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 25.2
4.4
0
1-2
52%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 29.3
1.7
0
0-0
55%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 25.3
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 20.6
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.