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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 4, 2018
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Grizzlies19%9986
3Raptors81%111101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 33.0
37.0
31.3
20
52%
6
5
1
1
2
4
1
5
6-7
86%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
2-5
40%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 23.3
34.6
28.3
8
30%
7
1
1
1
0
4
1
6
2-3
67%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
30.9
28.0
16
62%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
42%
2-5
40%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
26.8
31.4
12
55%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
2-5
40%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 27.6
25.5
18.5
11
53%
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
1
2-3
67%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
1-3
33%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
21.4
12.1
9
57%
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 21.2
19.4
12.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.7
18.0
13.7
2
20%
4
4
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 23.7
17.6
28.5
4
30%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.0
5.3
12.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
3.6
11.1
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
6.7
0
1-2
59%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
Myke Henry
F · 6'6" 210 · 25.1
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.3
Kobi Simmons
G · 6'4" 170 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
26.9
33.0
13
41%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
7-13
42%
50%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.9
26.2
29.8
11
46%
3
2
2
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-6
17%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
24.4
25.8
12
68%
9
3
0
0
1
1
2
7
1-2
50%
4-6
5-9
67%
58%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
22.6
27.7
7
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
55%
1-4
25%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.6
18.8
21.4
6
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
58%
0-4
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.9
28.2
20.1
13
50%
7
8
2
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
25.4
16.9
10
51%
3
3
1
1
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
58%
0-3
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.8
24.7
18.4
15
76%
4
2
4
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.3
23.6
18.6
9
101%
5
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
1-1
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
62%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
14.1
19.7
3
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
5.1
17.9
2
33%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
4.1
0
0-1
65%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
2.5
0
0-0
54%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.4
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.