Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 5, 2018

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Blazers	42%	103	91
	15	Pistons	58%	106	111

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
POR	94.8	96	94.4
DET	115.6	96	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+16

-13

DET

+13

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.92 46.0%

DET

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DET
Q4 - 0:51.0	DET	Felder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	89 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:01	POR	Connaughton 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Layman 1 AST)	89 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:17	POR	Vonleh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	86 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:21	DET	MISS Galloway 27' 3PT Jump Shot	86 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:30	DET	Felder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	86 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:31	DET	MISS Felder 10' Floating Jump Shot	86 0%	109 100%
Q4 - 1:41	POR	Layman 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Connaughton 3 AST)	86 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 1:48	DET	SUB: Galloway FOR Bullock	83 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 1:48	POR	MISS Vonleh 26' 3PT Jump Shot	83 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 2:09	DET	Hearn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bullock 3 AST)	83 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 2:16	DET	Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	83 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:18	POR	MISS Swanigan 3PT Jump Shot	83 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	DET	SUB: Hearn FOR Smith	83 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	DET	SUB: Felder FOR Johnson	83 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	DET	SUB: Reed FOR Tolliver	83 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 3:00	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:02	POR	MISS Layman 4' Driving Layup	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:13	POR	MISS Connaughton 18' Pullup Jump Shot	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:33	DET	Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Griffin 6 AST)	83 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:48	POR	Swanigan 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Connaughton 2 AST)	83 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 3:51	POR	Leonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	POR	SUB: Layman FOR Nurkic	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	POR	SUB: Swanigan FOR Aminu	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	POR	SUB: Connaughton FOR Napier	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	POR	SUB: Vonleh FOR McCollum	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	POR	SUB: Leonard FOR Lillard	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:10	DET	Tolliver 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)	81 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 4:16	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	81 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 4:17	POR	MISS Napier 4' Driving Layup	81 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 4:53	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	81 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 4:55	DET	MISS Smith 11' Pullup Jump Shot	81 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 5:08	POR	McCollum 1' Layup (14 PTS)	81 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 5:11	POR	McCollum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	79 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 5:29	DET	Griffin 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	79 0.1%	99 99.9%
Q4 - 5:38	DET	SUB: Johnson FOR Kennard	79 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 5:38	POR	Lillard P.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)	79 0.2%	97 99.8%
Q4 - 5:38	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	79 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 5:42	POR	MISS McCollum 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 6:07	DET	SUB: Griffin FOR Drummond	78 0.2%	97 99.8%
Q4 - 6:07	DET	Drummond S.FOUL (P4.T1) (J.Goble)	77 0.2%	97 99.8%
Q4 - 6:20	DET	Tolliver 30' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bullock 2 AST)	77 0.2%	97 99.8%
Q4 - 6:56	DET	Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	74 0.3%	94 99.7%
Q4 - 6:56	DET	Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	74 0.2%	93 99.8%
Q4 - 7:10	POR	MISS Lillard 29' 3PT Jump Shot	74 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 7:38	POR	McCollum 8' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)	74 0.3%	89 99.7%
Q4 - 7:49	DET	MISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot	72 0.5%	89 99.5%
Q4 - 8:07	DET	Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	72 0.5%	89 99.5%
Q4 - 8:11	POR	MISS Aminu 6' Driving Layup	72 0.6%	89 99.4%
Q4 - 8:31	POR	Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	72 1.0%	89 99.0%
Q4 - 8:31	DET	Tolliver 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Galloway 5 AST)	72 0.8%	89 99.2%
Q4 - 8:36	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)	72 0.9%	87 99.1%
Q4 - 8:39	POR	MISS McCollum 26' 3PT Jump Shot	72 0.9%	87 99.1%
Q4 - 8:47	DET	MISS Kennard Free Throw 1 of 2	72 1.1%	86 98.9%
Q4 - 8:57	POR	SUB: Aminu FOR Collins	72 1.5%	86 98.5%
Q4 - 8:57	POR	Lillard Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T12)	72 1.8%	86 98.2%
Q4 - 9:13	DET	Kennard 3' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)	72 1.9%	86 98.1%
Q4 - 10:04	POR	McCollum 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)	70 2.8%	82 97.2%
Q4 - 10:17	DET	Galloway Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	67 3.5%	82 96.5%
Q4 - 10:17	DET	Galloway OFF.Foul (P1) (J.DeRosa)	67 2.8%	82 97.2%
Q4 - 10:19	DET	Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	67 4.1%	82 95.9%
Q4 - 10:31	POR	Lillard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	67 2.7%	82 97.3%
Q4 - 10:37	POR	MISS Lillard 11' Floating Jump Shot	67 2.1%	82 97.9%
Q4 - 11:14	POR	Davis Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)	67 2.3%	79 97.7%
Q4 - 11:14	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	67 2.7%	79 97.3%
Q4 - 11:16	POR	MISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot	67 2.3%	79 97.7%
Q4 - 11:18	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	67 3.1%	79 96.9%
Q4 - 11:32	POR	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	67 4.7%	79 95.3%
Q4 - 11:34	DET	MISS Bullock 16' Pullup Jump Shot	67 5.8%	79 94.2%
Q4 - 11:45	DET	Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	67 5.0%	79 95.0%
Q4 - 11:49	POR	MISS Lillard 21' Step Back Jump Shot	67 5.8%	79 94.2%
Q4 - 12:00			67 5.0%	79 95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET		67 5.8%	79 94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	67 5.4%	79 94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Galloway 38' 3PT Jump Shot	67 4.7%	79 95.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0	POR	Lillard Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	67 5.0%	79 95.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0	POR	Lillard 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS)	66 4.7%	79 95.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0	DET	Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)	64 5.5%	79 94.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)	64 5.4%	79 94.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	64 3.7%	79 96.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0	POR	MISS Collins 6' Driving Layup	64 3.0%	79 97.0%
Q3 - 1:11	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	64 3.2%	79 96.8%
Q3 - 1:12	DET	MISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot	64 3.6%	79 96.4%
Q3 - 1:15	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)	64 3.4%	79 96.6%
Q3 - 1:17	DET	MISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot	64 3.0%	79 97.0%
Q3 - 1:32	DET	Kennard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 3.2%	79 96.8%
Q3 - 1:32	POR	MISS Collins 26' 3PT Jump Shot	64 4.3%	79 95.7%
Q3 - 1:45	DET	Galloway 7' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Drummond 3 AST)	64 4.0%	79 96.0%
Q3 - 2:04	POR	Lillard 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)	64 4.0%	77 96.0%
Q3 - 2:11	POR	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	62 3.5%	77 96.5%
Q3 - 2:13	DET	MISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 2	62 3.7%	77 96.3%
Q3 - 2:13	DET	Drummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	62 4.2%	77 95.8%
Q3 - 2:27	POR	Connaughton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)	62 4.8%	76 95.2%
Q3 - 2:37	DET	SUB: Drummond FOR Griffin	59 4.3%	76 95.7%
Q3 - 2:37	DET	Johnson P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Goble)	59 4.7%	76 95.3%
Q3 - 2:44	DET	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	59 4.7%	76 95.3%
Q3 - 2:44	DET	PISTONS Rebound	59 3.3%	75 96.7%
Q3 - 2:44	POR	Davis S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.DeRosa)	59 3.3%	75 96.7%
Q3 - 2:57	POR	Connaughton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	58 3.4%	75 96.6%
Q3 - 2:57	DET	Kennard S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.DeRosa)	57 3.0%	75 97.0%
Q3 - 3:07	POR	SUB: Davis FOR Aminu	57 3.3%	75 96.7%
Q3 - 3:07	POR	Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	57 3.2%	75 96.8%
Q3 - 3:09	DET	Kennard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	57 3.1%	75 96.9%
Q3 - 3:45	DET	Johnson 2' Layup (7 PTS)	57 3.2%	72 96.8%
Q3 - 3:48	DET	MISS Johnson 5' Layup	57 4.4%	70 95.6%
Q3 - 3:59	POR	SUB: Collins FOR Nurkic	57 4.7%	70 95.3%
Q3 - 3:59	POR	SUB: Connaughton FOR Harkless	57 5.3%	70 94.7%
Q3 - 3:59	DET	SUB: Kennard FOR Bullock	57 6.1%	70 93.9%
Q3 - 3:59	DET	SUB: Tolliver FOR Drummond	57 6.9%	70 93.1%
Q3 - 4:08	POR	MISS McCollum 7' Driving Layup	57 6.1%	70 93.9%
Q3 - 4:20	DET	MISS Griffin 28' 3PT Jump Shot	57 6.6%	70 93.4%
Q3 - 4:34	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)	57 7.0%	70 93.0%
Q3 - 4:36	POR	MISS McCollum 11' Pullup Jump Shot	57 7.9%	70 92.1%
Q3 - 4:48	DET	Drummond 3' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Griffin 5 AST)	57 7.5%	70 92.5%
Q3 - 4:56	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	57 6.9%	68 93.1%
Q3 - 4:59	POR	MISS Harkless 28' 3PT Jump Shot	57 7.9%	68 92.1%
Q3 - 5:26	POR	Aminu 3' Layup (9 PTS)	57 9.5%	66 90.5%
Q3 - 5:28	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	55 11.3%	66 88.7%
Q3 - 5:42	POR	Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	55 12.9%	66 87.1%
Q3 - 5:45	DET	Smith 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)	55 11.3%	66 88.7%
Q3 - 6:05	POR	MISS Aminu 18' Jump Shot	55 11.3%	64 88.7%
Q3 - 6:20	DET	MISS Smith 5' Layup	55 13.5%	64 86.5%
Q3 - 6:25	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)	55 14.1%	64 85.9%
Q3 - 6:28	POR	MISS McCollum 26' 3PT Jump Shot	55 15.6%	64 84.4%
Q3 - 6:30	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	55 14.9%	64 85.1%
Q3 - 6:32	POR	MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot	55 13.4%	64 86.6%
Q3 - 6:47	DET	Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	55 14.1%	64 85.9%
Q3 - 6:57	POR	Harkless L.B.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)	55 14.1%	61 85.9%
Q3 - 6:57	POR	Bullock STEAL (2 STL)	55 20.0%	61 80.0%
Q3 - 7:12	DET	PISTONS Rebound	55 20.0%	61 80.0%
Q3 - 7:14	POR	MISS Aminu 2' Driving Layup	55 23.3%	61 76.7%
Q3 - 7:19	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	55 22.3%	61 77.7%
Q3 - 7:20	DET	MISS Griffin 7' Layup	55 20.3%	61 79.7%
Q3 - 7:40	POR	Lillard 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)	55 23.3%	61 76.7%
Q3 - 7:49	POR	Nurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 22.3%	61 77.7%
Q3 - 8:05	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	53 20.2%	61 79.8%
Q3 - 8:08	POR	MISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 18.2%	61 81.8%
Q3 - 8:22	DET	Griffin Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	53 17.4%	61 82.6%
Q3 - 8:22	DET	Griffin Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (S.Wall)	53 16.2%	61 83.8%
Q3 - 8:33	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	53 18.7%	61 81.3%
Q3 - 8:36	POR	MISS McCollum 2' Finger Roll Layup	53 16.2%	61 83.8%
Q3 - 8:56	POR	Nurkic 3' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Harkless 2 AST)	53 16.9%	59 83.1%
Q3 - 9:18	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	51 20.6%	57 79.4%
Q3 - 9:39	DET	Bullock 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	49 18.9%	57 81.1%
Q3 - 9:54	POR	Aminu 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Nurkic 2 AST)	49 21.0%	54 79.0%
Q3 - 10:44	DET	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	45 21.6%	52 78.4%
Q3 - 10:44	DET	Smith 4' Layup (2 PTS)	45 21.5%	51 78.5%
Q3 - 11:00	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	45 29.4%	49 70.6%
Q3 - 11:01	DET	MISS Griffin 4' Driving Layup	45 28.5%	49 71.5%
Q3 - 11:28	DET	Drummond P.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Wall)	43 28.6%	49 71.4%
Q3 - 11:34	DET	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 24.2%	49 75.8%
Q3 - 11:52	DET	MISS Bullock Free Throw Technical	43 24.2%	49 75.8%
Q3 - 11:52	POR	McCollum T.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Goble)	43 23.4%	49 76.6%
Q3 - 11:52	POR	McCollum P.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Goble)	43 21.6%	49 78.4%
Q3 - 12:00			43 21.6%	49 78.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	43 21.6%	47 78.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0	POR	MISS Aminu 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot	43 24.2%	47 75.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	43 27.6%	47 72.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0	DET	MISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot	43 28.1%	47 71.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0	POR	Smith STEAL (2 STL)	43 28.8%	47 71.2%
Q2 - 1:05	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	43 27.5%	45 72.5%
Q2 - 1:07	DET	MISS Bullock 4' Driving Layup	43 29.5%	45 70.5%
Q2 - 1:22	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 33.5%	45 66.5%
Q2 - 1:25	POR	MISS Lillard 27' 3PT Jump Shot	43 34.5%	45 65.5%
Q2 - 1:31	DET	Drummond Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)	43 33.9%	45 66.1%
Q2 - 1:58	DET	Bullock 9' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)	40 33.5%	45 66.5%
Q2 - 2:13	POR	Harkless 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)	40 26.9%	43 73.1%
Q2 - 2:25	DET	MISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 27.7%	43 72.3%
Q2 - 2:42	POR	Lillard 5' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	38 25.4%	43 74.6%
Q2 - 2:55	DET	Griffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	36 25.4%	43 74.6%
Q2 - 3:07	POR	MISS Lillard 2' Driving Layup	36 23.0%	43 77.0%
Q2 - 3:19	POR	Nurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	36 21.4%	43 78.6%
Q2 - 3:24	DET	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	36 22.1%	43 77.9%
Q2 - 3:41	POR	Lillard Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T7)	36 23.7%	43 76.3%
Q2 - 3:47	POR	Nurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 23.0%	43 77.0%
Q2 - 3:47	DET	MISS Drummond 1' Hook Shot	36 21.3%	43 78.7%
Q2 - 3:48	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	36 23.7%	43 76.3%
Q2 - 3:49	DET	MISS Johnson 5' Driving Layup	36 23.0%	43 77.0%
Q2 - 4:03	POR	Aminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	36 23.0%	43 77.0%
Q2 - 4:03	DET	SUB: Drummond FOR Kennard	35 21.9%	43 78.1%
Q2 - 4:03	POR	Aminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	35 21.4%	43 78.6%
Q2 - 4:16	DET	MISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot	34 20.0%	43 80.0%
Q2 - 4:37	POR	Lillard 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	34 19.5%	43 80.5%
Q2 - 4:41	POR	Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	32 18.2%	43 81.8%
Q2 - 4:45	DET	MISS Griffin 1' Driving Layup	32 16.6%	43 83.4%
Q2 - 5:02	POR	Nurkic 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Lillard 4 AST)	32 16.1%	43 83.9%
Q2 - 5:25	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 14.1%	43 85.9%
Q2 - 5:28	POR	MISS Nurkic 5' Driving Layup	30 12.7%	43 87.3%
Q2 - 5:47	DET	Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kennard 4 AST)	30 13.1%	43 86.9%
Q2 - 5:58	POR	MISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot	30 16.8%	40 83.2%
Q2 - 6:07	POR	SUB: Lillard FOR McCollum	30 17.4%	40 82.6%
Q2 - 6:41	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 20.5%	38 79.5%
Q2 - 7:00	POR	SUB: Aminu FOR Collins	30 20.5%	38 79.5%
Q2 - 7:00	POR	SUB: Nurkic FOR Davis	30 21.2%	38 78.8%
Q2 - 7:00	DET	Drummond L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Goble)	30 22.8%	38 77.2%
Q2 - 7:00	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	30 22.8%	38 77.2%
Q2 - 7:02	POR	MISS McCollum 26' 3PT Jump Shot	30 21.9%	38 78.1%
Q2 - 7:06	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	30 23.2%	38 76.8%
Q2 - 7:09	DET	MISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot	30 22.6%	38 77.4%
Q2 - 7:16	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	30 21.3%	38 78.7%
Q2 - 7:19	POR	MISS Napier 16' Running Jump Shot	30 21.8%	38 78.2%
Q2 - 7:37	DET	Galloway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kennard 3 AST)	30 23.2%	38 76.8%
Q2 - 7:55	POR	Napier 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)	30 26.9%	35 73.1%
Q2 - 8:01	POR	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 25.2%	35 74.8%
Q2 - 8:04	DET	MISS Kennard 19' Step Back Jump Shot	28 24.6%	35 75.4%
Q2 - 8:11	DET	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 23.2%	35 76.8%
Q2 - 8:14	POR	Drummond BLOCK (3 BLK)	28 23.8%	35 76.2%
Q2 - 8:41	DET	Kennard 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)	28 25.2%	35 74.8%
Q2 - 8:57	POR	Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Connaughton 1 AST)	28 27.1%	33 72.9%
Q2 - 9:13	DET	Tolliver 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	25 23.6%	33 76.4%
Q2 - 9:24	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	25 25.2%	31 74.8%
Q2 - 9:28	POR	MISS Napier 10' Jump Shot	25 25.9%	31 74.1%
Q2 - 9:50	DET	Drummond 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Galloway 4 AST)	25 27.4%	31 72.6%
Q2 - 10:05	POR	Davis 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)	25 29.3%	29 70.7%
Q2 - 10:05	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	23 27.6%	29 72.4%
Q2 - 10:13	POR	MISS McCollum 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot	23 26.1%	29 73.9%
Q2 - 10:28	DET	Kennard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Galloway 3 AST)	23 27.6%	29 72.4%
Q2 - 10:32	DET	Jump Ball Johnson vs. McCollum: Tip to	23 29.3%	27 70.7%
Q2 - 10:34	DET	MISS Johnson 6' Layup	23 31.0%	27 69.0%
Q2 - 10:34	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	23 29.3%	27 70.7%
Q2 - 10:36	POR	MISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 30.0%	27 70.0%
Q2 - 10:43	DET	Drummond Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	23 31.7%	27 68.3%
Q2 - 10:48	POR	Drummond STEAL (1 STL)	23 29.3%	27 70.7%
Q2 - 11:05	DET	Drummond 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Galloway 2 AST)	23 31.5%	27 68.5%
Q2 - 11:27	POR	Napier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McCollum 1 AST)	23 33.6%	25 66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Bullock 44' 3PT Jump Shot	20 33.6%	22 66.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	POR	Davis 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)	20 33.6%	22 66.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	18 35.1%	22 64.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0	POR	MISS Davis 1' Tip Layup Shot	18 33.8%	22 66.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	18 31.2%	22 68.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0	POR	MISS Lillard 3' Driving Layup	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	18 31.2%	22 68.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0	DET	MISS Galloway 10' Floating Jump Shot	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0	POR	Davis Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	18 31.2%	22 68.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0	POR	Davis Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4) (J.Goble)	18 30.8%	22 69.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	18 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0	POR	Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	MISS Davis 1' Tip Layup Shot	18 30.8%	22 69.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 29.7%	22 70.3%
Q1 - 1:04	POR	MISS Napier 3' Layup	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 1:13	POR	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 1:15	DET	MISS Drummond 10' Turnaround Hook Shot	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 1:23	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 31.3%	22 68.7%
Q1 - 1:27	POR	MISS Napier 9' Jump Shot	18 30.9%	22 69.1%
Q1 - 1:31	POR	Connaughton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 29.8%	22 70.2%
Q1 - 1:35	POR	Drummond BLOCK (1 BLK)	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 1:54	DET	SUB: Drummond FOR Griffin	18 30.2%	22 69.8%
Q1 - 2:35	POR	Trail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	16 29.8%	22 70.2%
Q1 - 2:48	POR	Connaughton 30' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lillard 2 AST)	16 27.8%	19 72.2%
Q1 - 3:07	DET	Griffin 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Kennard 1 AST)	13 31.8%	19 68.2%
Q1 - 3:21	POR	SUB: Napier FOR Aminu	13 28.2%	17 71.8%
Q1 - 3:21	POR	McCollum P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.DeRosa)	13 29.7%	17 70.3%
Q1 - 3:30	POR	Bullock STEAL (1 STL)	13 29.7%	17 70.3%
Q1 - 3:38	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	13 31.9%	17 68.1%
Q1 - 3:40	DET	MISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot	13 31.2%	17 68.8%
Q1 - 4:07	POR	McCollum 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)	13 29.7%	17 70.3%
Q1 - 4:11	POR	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 28.2%	17 71.8%
Q1 - 4:14	DET	MISS Griffin 7' Hook Shot	11 27.6%	17 72.4%
Q1 - 4:27	DET	Tolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 26.2%	17 73.8%
Q1 - 4:30	POR	MISS Davis 5' Layup	11 26.8%	17 73.2%
Q1 - 4:51	DET	Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	11 28.2%	17 71.8%
Q1 - 5:01	DET	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 31.9%	14 68.1%
Q1 - 5:04	POR	MISS Harkless 3PT Jump Shot	11 32.5%	14 67.5%
Q1 - 5:22	DET	Griffin 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	11 33.8%	14 66.2%
Q1 - 5:32	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	11 35.6%	12 64.4%
Q1 - 5:36	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	11 36.2%	12 63.8%
Q1 - 5:39	POR	MISS Aminu 26' 3PT Jump Shot	11 37.6%	12 62.4%
Q1 - 5:46	POR	Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 37.0%	12 63.0%
Q1 - 5:49	DET	MISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot	11 35.6%	12 64.4%
Q1 - 6:42	POR	Harkless 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	9 35.7%	9 64.3%
Q1 - 6:57	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	7 35.1%	9 64.9%
Q1 - 7:08	POR	Smith STEAL (1 STL)	7 35.7%	9 64.3%
Q1 - 7:30	DET	Bullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 39.6%	6 60.4%
Q1 - 7:40	DET	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	7 39.0%	6 61.0%
Q1 - 7:45	DET	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 39.6%	6 60.4%
Q1 - 7:48	POR	MISS Nurkic 7' Layup	7 41.1%	6 58.9%
Q1 - 8:15	DET	Drummond 3' Layup (4 PTS)	7 42.7%	6 57.3%
Q1 - 8:17	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	7 44.2%	4 55.8%
Q1 - 8:50	DET	Griffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 41.5%	2 58.5%
Q1 - 8:59	DET	Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 40.7%	2 59.3%
Q1 - 9:10	POR	Lillard Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)	4 43.0%	2 57.0%
Q1 - 9:22	DET	Bullock Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 43.4%	2 56.6%
Q1 - 9:22	DET	Bullock Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 43.9%	1 56.1%
Q1 - 9:36	POR	Lillard 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	4 43.0%	0 57.0%
Q1 - 9:41	POR	Lillard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 42.3%	0 57.7%
Q1 - 9:45	DET	MISS Griffin 11' Fadeaway Jumper	2 40.7%	0 59.3%
Q1 - 9:57	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 41.4%	0 58.6%
Q1 - 10:07	DET	Drummond Violation:Kicked Ball (J.DeRosa)	2 42.7%	0 57.3%
Q1 - 10:26	DET	Drummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 40.7%	0 59.3%
Q1 - 10:39	DET	Drummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 41.3%	0 58.7%
Q1 - 10:42	POR	MISS Lillard 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 42.8%	0 57.2%
Q1 - 10:50	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 42.1%	0 57.9%
Q1 - 10:52	DET	MISS Griffin 5' Hook Shot	2 40.7%	0 59.3%
Q1 - 11:29	POR	Aminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 38.3%	0 61.7%
Q1 - 11:32	DET	MISS Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot	0 37.1%	0 62.9%
Q1 - 11:47	POR	Aminu Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)	0 38.8%	0 61.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.92 46.0%

DET

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

58%

DET

55%

Midrange

POR

22%

DET

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

15.0

30%

45%

DET

22.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

POR

88%

DET

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	20	56%	10.0 / 18
C. McCollum	14	47%	7.0 / 15
P. Connaughton	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Nurkić	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Aminu	9	38%	4.5 / 12
S. Napier	8	33%	4.0 / 12
M. Harkless	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Layman	5	63%	2.5 / 4
E. Davis	4	40%	2.0 / 5
Z. Collins	2	13%	1.0 / 8
C. Swanigan	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Vonleh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Griffin	21	50%	10.5 / 21
A. Drummond	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Tolliver	15	83%	7.5 / 9
R. Bullock	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Galloway	13	81%	6.5 / 8
L. Kennard	12	75%	6.0 / 8
S. Johnson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
I. Smith	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Hearn	3	150%	1.5 / 1
W. Reed	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Ellenson	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Felder	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+16

-13

DET

+13

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.92 46.0%

DET

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	109.0 107.2	POR 94.8 +20.8 DET 115.6
Pace	96.6 96.2	POR 94.4 DET 97.6 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15.3 15.0	POR 15.2 DET 14.8 +0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.1% 51.2%	POR 44.7% DET 58.5% +13.8%
TO %	13.5% 13.2%	POR 11.8% +1.2% DET 13.0%
ORB %	23.2% 22.6%	POR 24.1% +0.3% DET 23.8%
FTrt	24.0 22.7	POR 8.5 DET 13.6 +5.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	49.6% 58.2%	POR 48.6% DET 81.8% +33.2%
STL %	7.2% 7.9%	POR 9.4% +2.1% DET 7.3%
BLK %	8.7% 7.1%	POR 8.6% +2.0% DET 6.6%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.7% 52.9%	POR 46.0% DET 58.4% +12.4%
Rim FG%	56.2% 57.6%	POR 57.9% +2.7% DET 55.2%
Mid FG%	41.7% 39.7%	POR 21.7% DET 44.8% +23.1%
3P %	36.6% 37.3%	POR 30.3% DET 50.0% +19.7%
FT %	80.0% 74.5%	POR 87.5% +20.8% DET 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.2% 34.0%	POR 40.4% +7.5% DET 33.0%
Mid Att. %	32.4% 32.7%	POR 24.5% +8.5% DET 33.0%
3P Att. %	32.4% 33.3%	POR 35.1% +1.0% DET 34.1%

Game Totals	POR	DET
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	91	111
Rebounds	45	51
Assists	18	36
Steals	9	7
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	14	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	41 (1)
Field Goals	37-94	44-88
At-the-Rim FG	22-38	16-29
Midrange FG	5-23	13-29
2-Point FG	27-61	29-58
3-Point FG	10-33	15-30
Free Throws	7-8	8-12
Fast Break Pts	8	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	10
Points in Paint	50	42
Pts off Turnovers	14	12
Bench Points	32	45
Biggest Lead	4	26

BOXSCORES

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10 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 195 · 28	38.0	20	56%	5	5	2	1	5	2	1	4	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 26	29.9	14	47%	2	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 27	29.3	9	38%	14	1	2	1	2	1	2	12	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Jusuf Nurkic C · 7'0" 290 · 23	25.8	10	50%	5	2	1	2	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 25	23.7	6	60%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 27	25.9	8	33%	1	3	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-6	33%
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 25	18.2	11	110%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29	17.1	4	40%	10	0	0	0	2	3	6	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Zach Collins F-C · 6'11" 250 · 20	15.4	2	13%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 22	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 26	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jake Layman F · 6'9" 210 · 24	4.2	5	63%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Caleb Swanigan F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21	4.2	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Wade Baldwin IV #2 · G · 6'4" 202 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Evan Turner #1 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
CJ Wilcox #23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	46%	45	18	9	5	13	14	13	32	7-8	88%	27-61	44%	10-33	30%

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10 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 195 · 28	38.0	20	56%	5	5	2	1	5	2	1	4	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	1-5	20%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 26	29.9	14	47%	2	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 27	29.3	9	38%	14	1	2	1	2	1	2	12	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%
Jusuf Nurkic C · 7'0" 290 · 23	25.8	10	50%	5	2	1	2	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 25	23.7	6	60%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 27	25.9	8	33%	1	3	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-6	33%
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 25	18.2	11	110%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29	17.1	4	40%	10	0	0	0	2	3	6	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Zach Collins F-C · 6'11" 250 · 20	15.4	2	13%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 22	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 26	4.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jake Layman F · 6'9" 210 · 24	4.2	5	63%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Caleb Swanigan F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21	4.2	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Wade Baldwin IV #2 · G · 6'4" 202 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Evan Turner #1 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
CJ Wilcox #23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	46%	45	18	9	5	13	14	13	32	7-8	88%	27-61	44%	10-33	30%

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15 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Reggie Bullock G · 6'7" 205 · 27	34.3	13	72%	6	3	3	0	0	0	0	6	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 24	33.9	17	61%	17	5	1	3	4	4	5	12	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Stanley Johnson F · 6'7" 245 · 22	33.5	8	36%	4	4	1	1	3	3	1	3	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Blake Griffin F · 6'10" 251 · 29	30.1	21	50%	9	6	0	0	2	2	1	8	0-0	-	6-14	43%	3-7	43%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 30	28.4	7	44%	2	7	2	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 33	26.9	15	83%	7	1	0	0	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Luke Kennard G · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.8	12	75%	2	4	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Langston Galloway G · 6'2" 200 · 26	18.8	13	81%	1	6	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Henry Ellenson F · 6'11" 245 · 21	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 28	2.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Reggie Hearn G · 6'5" 210 · 26	2.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kay Felder G · 5'9" 176 · 23	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Eric Moreland F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26
Dwight Buycks #20 · G · 6'3" 190 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jon Leuer #30 · F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brice Johnson #13 · F · 6'10" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Reggie Jackson #1 · G · 6'3" 208 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	51	36	7	4	14	14	10	41	8-12	67%	29-58	50%	15-30	50%

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Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.