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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 5, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Trail Blazers
91
17Pistons
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
38
35
20
5
5
2
1
1
5
1
4
3-3
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
1-5
20%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
30
33
14
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
2-6
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.4
29
30
9
14
1
2
1
1
2
2
12
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.5
26
25
10
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
24
18
6
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.6
26
22
8
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
2-6
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
18
19
11
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
3-3
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
17
19
4
10
0
0
0
0
2
6
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 20.2
15
15
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-3
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.9
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.9
4
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.9
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
34
32
13
6
3
3
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
3-5
60%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.5
34
33
17
17
5
1
2
3
4
5
12
3-4
75%
7-12
6-11
58%
55%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.7
34
32
8
4
4
1
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.9
30
34
21
9
6
0
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
6-14
5-11
43%
51%
3-7
43%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
28
32
7
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
27
26
15
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
55%
3-6
50%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
24
14
12
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
19
13
13
1
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
3-5
60%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 27.7
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.1
4
0
0-1
52%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.7
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.6
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.