Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 5, 2018

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Wizards	54%	107	111
	22	Pacers	46%	106	102

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	116.8	95	95.3
IND	107.4	95	94.7

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-14

IND

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 61.0%

IND

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND
Q4 - 0:55.0	WAS	Satoransky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	111 100%	100 0%
Q4 - 0:55.0	IND	MISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	111 99.9%	100 0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	111 99.9%	100 0.1%
Q4 - 1:00	WAS	Turner BLOCK (1 BLK)	111 99.9%	100 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	111 99.9%	100 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	111 99.9%	99 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	WAS	Satoransky Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN) (E.Lewis)	111 99.9%	98 0.1%
Q4 - 1:27	WAS	Oubre Jr. 1' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Satoransky 6 AST)	111 99.9%	98 0.1%
Q4 - 1:47	IND	Joseph 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)	109 99.9%	98 0.1%
Q4 - 1:55	WAS	Satoransky Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	109 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 1:55	IND	Turner S.FOUL (P5.T4) (T.Ford)	108 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 1:55	WAS	Satoransky 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)	108 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 2:18	IND	MISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 2	106 99.7%	96 0.3%
Q4 - 2:18	IND	Joseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	106 99.8%	96 0.2%
Q4 - 2:18	WAS	SUB: Satoransky FOR Mahinmi	106 99.8%	95 0.2%
Q4 - 2:33	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	106 99.5%	95 0.5%
Q4 - 2:37	WAS	MISS Beal 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot	106 99.4%	95 0.6%
Q4 - 2:56	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	106 99.2%	95 0.8%
Q4 - 3:03	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	106 99.3%	95 0.7%
Q4 - 3:30	IND	Stephenson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)	106 99.4%	95 0.6%
Q4 - 3:35	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	106 99.5%	93 0.5%
Q4 - 3:39	WAS	MISS Porter Jr. 29' 3PT Jump Shot	106 99.4%	93 0.6%
Q4 - 3:57	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	106 99.3%	93 0.7%
Q4 - 4:00	IND	MISS Young 3PT Jump Shot	106 99.0%	93 1.0%
Q4 - 4:13	WAS	Mahinmi 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)	106 99.2%	93 0.8%
Q4 - 4:19	IND	Turner P.FOUL (P4.T3) (T.Ford)	104 99.1%	93 0.9%
Q4 - 4:32	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	104 99.4%	93 0.6%
Q4 - 4:35	IND	MISS Bogdanovic Free Throw 2 of 2	104 99.4%	93 0.6%
Q4 - 4:35	IND	Bogdanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)	104 99.2%	93 0.8%
Q4 - 4:49	IND	PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)	104 98.9%	92 1.1%
Q4 - 4:49	WAS	Mahinmi 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Oubre Jr. 2 AST)	104 98.8%	92 1.2%
Q4 - 5:05	IND	Sabonis Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T16)	102 98.6%	92 1.4%
Q4 - 5:21	IND	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	102 98.9%	92 1.1%
Q4 - 5:37	IND	MISS Young Free Throw 1 of 1	102 97.5%	92 2.5%
Q4 - 5:37	WAS	SUB: Porter Jr. FOR Frazier	102 96.4%	92 3.6%
Q4 - 5:37	IND	Young 2' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)	102 96.8%	92 3.2%
Q4 - 5:37	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	102 97.5%	90 2.5%
Q4 - 5:39	IND	MISS Bogdanovic 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	102 97.4%	90 2.6%
Q4 - 5:42	WAS	Stephenson STEAL (2 STL)	102 96.9%	90 3.1%
Q4 - 6:02	WAS	Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	102 98.2%	90 1.8%
Q4 - 6:02	WAS	Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	101 98.6%	90 1.4%
Q4 - 6:20	IND	Young 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)	100 98.7%	90 1.3%
Q4 - 6:25	IND	SUB: Young FOR Jefferson	100 97.3%	87 2.7%
Q4 - 6:25	WAS	Mahinmi P.FOUL (P4.T4) (T.Ford)	100 97.1%	87 2.9%
Q4 - 7:06	IND	Jefferson S.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Ford)	97 98.0%	87 2.0%
Q4 - 7:06	WAS	Mahinmi 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Meeks 3 AST)	97 98.0%	87 2.0%
Q4 - 7:22	IND	Bogdanovic 28' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Stephenson 6 AST)	95 97.5%	87 2.5%
Q4 - 7:54	WAS	Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	93 95.2%	84 4.8%
Q4 - 8:08	WAS	MISS Meeks 28' 3PT Jump Shot	93 92.8%	82 7.2%
Q4 - 8:15	IND	SUB: Joseph FOR Young	93 95.6%	81 4.4%
Q4 - 8:15	WAS	Scott Shooting Block Foul (P1.T3) (S.Twardoski)	93 94.5%	80 5.5%
Q4 - 8:21	IND	Bogdanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	93 94.7%	80 5.3%
Q4 - 8:24	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot	93 95.1%	80 4.9%
Q4 - 8:25	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	93 95.8%	80 4.2%
Q4 - 8:41	WAS	Scott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	93 95.9%	80 4.1%
Q4 - 8:44	IND	MISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot	93 96.1%	80 3.9%
Q4 - 9:19	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	90 97.0%	80 3.0%
Q4 - 9:21	IND	MISS Stephenson 5' Jump Shot	90 97.5%	80 2.5%
Q4 - 9:41	WAS	Meeks Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T13)	90 97.0%	80 3.0%
Q4 - 9:53	WAS	Scott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	90 97.5%	80 2.5%
Q4 - 9:56	IND	MISS Sabonis 8' Hook Shot	90 97.3%	80 2.7%
Q4 - 10:08	WAS	MISS Scott 15' Jump Shot	90 96.1%	80 3.9%
Q4 - 10:23	IND	MISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 1	90 94.0%	80 6.0%
Q4 - 10:23	WAS	Mahinmi S.FOUL (P3.T2) (T.Ford)	90 93.5%	80 6.5%
Q4 - 10:23	IND	Jefferson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	90 94.0%	80 6.0%
Q4 - 10:37	WAS	Stephenson STEAL (1 STL)	90 91.3%	78 8.7%
Q4 - 10:37	IND	Jump Ball Stephenson vs. Frazier: Tip to Jefferson	90 91.9%	78 8.1%
Q4 - 10:46	WAS	Scott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	90 93.1%	78 6.9%
Q4 - 10:49	IND	MISS Stephenson 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot	90 92.9%	78 7.1%
Q4 - 11:15	WAS	Scott 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)	90 91.9%	78 8.1%
Q4 - 11:29	IND	Bogdanovic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)	88 94.4%	77 5.6%
Q4 - 11:44	WAS	Oubre Jr. 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)	88 95.2%	74 4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		86 92.2%	74 7.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	IND		86 92.4%	74 7.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0	WAS	Oubre Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	85 95.8%	71 4.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0	IND	MISS Sabonis 27' 3PT Jump Shot	84 94.8%	71 5.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0	WAS	Scott 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Frazier 6 AST)	84 95.9%	71 4.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0	IND	Young 29' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Sabonis 1 AST)	82 95.8%	71 4.2%
Q3 - 1:07	WAS	MISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2	82 95.1%	68 4.9%
Q3 - 1:07	WAS	SUB: Meeks FOR Beal	82 94.8%	68 5.2%
Q3 - 1:07	WAS	Wizards Rebound	81 94.1%	68 5.9%
Q3 - 1:07	WAS	Scott T.FOUL (P0.PN) (S.Twardoski)	81 92.8%	68 7.2%
Q3 - 1:20	IND	Sabonis 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)	81 94.5%	68 5.5%
Q3 - 1:33	WAS	Scott 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)	81 95.0%	66 5.0%
Q3 - 1:44	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	79 93.5%	66 6.5%
Q3 - 1:46	IND	MISS Jefferson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	79 94.6%	66 5.4%
Q3 - 2:27	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	79 94.4%	66 5.6%
Q3 - 2:27	IND	SUB: Jefferson FOR Turner	79 95.3%	65 4.7%
Q3 - 2:27	IND	MISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2	79 94.4%	65 5.6%
Q3 - 2:27	WAS	Mark Morris S.FOUL (P3.PN) (E.Lewis)	79 94.1%	65 5.9%
Q3 - 2:44	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	79 93.6%	65 6.4%
Q3 - 2:50	WAS	SUB: Frazier FOR Gortat	79 93.9%	65 6.1%
Q3 - 2:50	WAS	Wizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	79 93.1%	65 6.9%
Q3 - 2:52	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot	79 93.6%	65 6.4%
Q3 - 3:00	WAS	Oubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	79 93.9%	65 6.1%
Q3 - 3:17	WAS	MISS Satoransky 10' Pullup Jump Shot	79 94.7%	65 5.3%
Q3 - 3:27	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	79 93.9%	65 6.1%
Q3 - 3:27	WAS	SUB: Oubre Jr. FOR Porter Jr.	79 94.7%	64 5.3%
Q3 - 3:27	IND	SUB: Sabonis FOR Young	79 93.8%	64 6.2%
Q3 - 3:27	IND	PACERS Rebound	79 93.0%	64 7.0%
Q3 - 3:27	IND	MISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2	79 93.3%	64 6.7%
Q3 - 3:27	WAS	Porter Jr. S.FOUL (P4.PN) (E.Lewis)	79 94.1%	64 5.9%
Q3 - 3:39	WAS	MISS Gortat 2' Reverse Layup	79 94.4%	64 5.6%
Q3 - 3:55	IND	Stephenson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)	79 93.7%	64 6.3%
Q3 - 4:23	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	76 94.4%	62 5.6%
Q3 - 4:26	IND	MISS Young 3PT Jump Shot	76 95.0%	62 5.0%
Q3 - 4:58	IND	Stephenson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T14)	76 93.6%	62 6.4%
Q3 - 5:05	WAS	Mark Morris P.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Ford)	76 93.2%	62 6.8%
Q3 - 5:11	WAS	Gortat 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)	76 92.4%	62 7.6%
Q3 - 5:11	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	74 93.6%	62 6.4%
Q3 - 5:14	WAS	MISS Mark Morris 10' Jump Shot	74 91.7%	62 8.3%
Q3 - 5:34	IND	MISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup	74 91.7%	62 8.3%
Q3 - 5:46	WAS	Gortat 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	74 90.5%	62 9.5%
Q3 - 6:02	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	72 89.4%	62 10.6%
Q3 - 6:04	IND	MISS Young 29' 3PT Jump Shot	72 90.6%	62 9.4%
Q3 - 6:14	IND	SUB: Stephenson FOR Bogdanovic	72 90.1%	62 9.9%
Q3 - 6:14	IND	PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	72 88.9%	62 11.1%
Q3 - 6:16	WAS	Porter Jr. 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Satoransky 5 AST)	72 86.6%	62 13.4%
Q3 - 6:44	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	70 82.5%	62 17.5%
Q3 - 6:48	WAS	MISS Beal 19' Pullup Jump Shot	70 81.8%	62 18.2%
Q3 - 7:22	WAS	Satoransky Personal Block Foul (P1.T3) (E.Lewis)	70 82.6%	59 17.4%
Q3 - 7:34	WAS	Porter Jr. P.FOUL (P3.T2) (T.Ford)	70 81.8%	59 18.2%
Q3 - 7:42	WAS	Porter Jr. 11' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)	70 85.7%	59 14.3%
Q3 - 7:56	IND	Turner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)	68 85.7%	59 14.3%
Q3 - 8:09	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	68 85.7%	59 14.3%
Q3 - 8:36	WAS	Porter Jr. 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)	68 84.0%	59 16.0%
Q3 - 8:43	IND	Turner Violation:Kicked Ball (S.Twardoski)	66 81.1%	59 18.9%
Q3 - 8:56	IND	Young 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bogdanovic 2 AST)	66 83.6%	59 16.4%
Q3 - 9:32	IND	Bogdanovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	66 79.1%	57 20.9%
Q3 - 9:32	IND	Bogdanovic 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)	66 80.4%	56 19.6%
Q3 - 9:43	WAS	Porter Jr. Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Mark Morris 2 AST)	66 82.8%	54 17.2%
Q3 - 9:55	IND	Joseph 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)	64 86.4%	54 13.6%
Q3 - 10:34	IND	Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)	62 84.8%	52 15.2%
Q3 - 10:56	WAS	Mark Morris 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Porter Jr. 3 AST)	62 84.8%	49 15.2%
Q3 - 10:58	WAS	Wizards Rebound	60 84.3%	49 15.7%
Q3 - 11:05	WAS	Porter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	60 87.5%	49 12.5%
Q3 - 11:26	WAS	Mark Morris 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Satoransky 4 AST)	60 86.1%	49 13.9%
Q3 - 11:41	IND	Young Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)	58 85.7%	49 14.3%
Q3 - 11:45	WAS	Bogdanovic STEAL (1 STL)	58 83.8%	49 16.2%
Q3 - 11:47	IND	Joseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	58 82.0%	49 18.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		58 79.8%	49 20.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0	IND	MISS Stephenson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	58 82.0%	49 18.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0	IND	Stephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)	56 79.8%	49 20.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0	WAS	Beal Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)	56 80.9%	49 19.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	56 80.5%	49 19.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0	IND	MISS Sabonis Free Throw 2 of 2	56 79.6%	49 20.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0	WAS	Gortat S.FOUL (P2.PN) (T.Ford)	56 76.6%	48 23.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0	IND	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	56 76.6%	48 23.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0	IND	MISS Sabonis 1' Layup	56 76.4%	48 23.6%
Q2 - 1:04	IND	Bogdanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56 74.8%	48 25.2%
Q2 - 1:06	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2	56 75.5%	48 24.5%
Q2 - 1:06	WAS	Oubre Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	56 77.3%	48 22.7%
Q2 - 1:06	IND	Joseph P.FOUL (P3.PN) (T.Ford)	55 78.4%	48 21.6%
Q2 - 1:23	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55 77.2%	48 22.8%
Q2 - 1:25	WAS	Gortat S.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Ford)	55 78.8%	48 21.2%
Q2 - 1:36	WAS	Mark Morris Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T4)	55 75.8%	46 24.2%
Q2 - 1:36	WAS	Mark Morris OFF.Foul (P1) (T.Ford)	55 74.2%	46 25.8%
Q2 - 1:44	IND	Bogdanovic 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)	55 79.2%	46 20.8%
Q2 - 1:52	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	55 80.3%	43 19.7%
Q2 - 2:47	IND	Bogdanovic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)	55 80.3%	40 19.7%
Q2 - 2:58	WAS	SUB: Gortat FOR Mahinmi	55 84.8%	40 15.2%
Q2 - 2:58	IND	Bogdanovic Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)	55 85.1%	40 14.9%
Q2 - 2:58	WAS	Wizards T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Oubre Jr. ) (T.Ford)	55 85.4%	39 14.6%
Q2 - 3:14	WAS	Beal 11' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)	55 88.3%	39 11.7%
Q2 - 3:25	WAS	Oubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53 89.5%	39 10.5%
Q2 - 3:37	IND	Bogdanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	53 88.3%	39 11.7%
Q2 - 3:40	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. 10' Pullup Jump Shot	53 88.6%	39 11.4%
Q2 - 3:43	WAS	Porter Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	53 88.6%	39 11.4%
Q2 - 3:45	WAS	MISS Mark Morris 28' 3PT Jump Shot	53 87.6%	39 12.4%
Q2 - 3:59	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53 87.1%	39 12.9%
Q2 - 4:01	IND	MISS Young 15' Fadeaway Jumper	53 86.0%	39 14.0%
Q2 - 4:20	IND	PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	53 86.5%	39 13.5%
Q2 - 4:27	WAS	Oubre Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Porter Jr. 2 AST)	53 87.6%	39 12.4%
Q2 - 4:42	IND	Stephenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	50 87.6%	39 12.4%
Q2 - 4:42	IND	Stephenson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN) (S.Twardoski)	50 86.4%	39 13.6%
Q2 - 4:53	WAS	Mark Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oubre Jr. 1 AST)	50 85.5%	39 14.5%
Q2 - 5:10	IND	SUB: Sabonis FOR Turner	47 82.5%	39 17.5%
Q2 - 5:10	IND	Turner Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	47 80.7%	39 19.3%
Q2 - 5:37	WAS	SUB: Porter Jr. FOR Scott	45 76.9%	39 23.1%
Q2 - 5:37	WAS	SUB: Mark Morris FOR Frazier	45 74.6%	39 25.4%
Q2 - 5:37	IND	SUB: Bogdanovic FOR Sabonis	45 74.6%	39 25.4%
Q2 - 5:57	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	42 70.1%	39 29.9%
Q2 - 6:14	WAS	SUB: Beal FOR Meeks	42 65.5%	39 34.5%
Q2 - 6:14	WAS	Mahinmi Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	42 64.6%	39 35.4%
Q2 - 6:26	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	42 65.5%	37 34.5%
Q2 - 6:51	IND	Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Young 2 AST)	42 67.3%	37 32.7%
Q2 - 7:01	IND	PACERS Rebound	42 70.3%	34 29.7%
Q2 - 7:12	WAS	Frazier 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)	42 75.2%	34 24.8%
Q2 - 7:28	IND	PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	40 71.8%	34 28.2%
Q2 - 7:31	WAS	Oubre Jr. 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Frazier 4 AST)	39 69.7%	34 30.3%
Q2 - 7:38	IND	MISS Bogdanovic 21' Jump Shot	37 65.1%	34 34.9%
Q2 - 7:49	WAS	Oubre Jr. Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)	37 62.5%	34 37.5%
Q2 - 7:49	IND	SUB: Young FOR Jefferson	36 64.3%	34 35.7%
Q2 - 7:49	WAS	Wizards Rebound	36 62.5%	34 37.5%
Q2 - 7:49	WAS	Oubre Jr. Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)	36 62.1%	34 37.9%
Q2 - 7:49	IND	Moore S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Twardoski)	35 64.1%	34 35.9%
Q2 - 8:02	IND	MISS Young 19' Pullup Jump Shot	35 60.2%	34 39.8%
Q2 - 8:05	IND	Moore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 59.1%	34 40.9%
Q2 - 8:08	WAS	MISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot	35 57.3%	34 42.7%
Q2 - 8:13	WAS	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 58.1%	34 41.9%
Q2 - 8:15	IND	MISS Bogdanovic 1' Layup	35 60.0%	34 40.0%
Q2 - 8:21	WAS	Mahinmi P.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Twardoski)	35 59.2%	34 40.8%
Q2 - 8:46	IND	Bogdanovic 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)	33 57.3%	34 42.7%
Q2 - 9:36	WAS	Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Frazier 3 AST)	31 57.4%	29 42.6%
Q2 - 9:56	IND	PACERS Rebound	28 54.9%	29 45.1%
Q2 - 9:57	WAS	MISS Scott 20' Jump Shot	28 52.2%	29 47.8%
Q2 - 10:17	IND	Sabonis 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)	28 53.0%	29 47.0%
Q2 - 10:35	IND	PACERS Rebound	28 54.9%	27 45.1%
Q2 - 10:37	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. 19' Pullup Jump Shot	28 57.0%	27 43.0%
Q2 - 10:43	IND	Jefferson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Ford)	28 57.8%	27 42.2%
Q2 - 11:02	IND	Bogdanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	28 59.4%	25 40.6%
Q2 - 11:06	IND	MISS Sabonis 27' 3PT Jump Shot	28 61.6%	25 38.4%
Q2 - 11:13	WAS	Mahinmi L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Ford)	28 63.2%	25 36.8%
Q2 - 11:14	IND	MISS Bogdanovic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup	28 61.6%	25 38.4%
Q2 - 11:25	IND	Sabonis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 63.2%	25 36.8%
Q2 - 11:27	WAS	MISS Frazier 19' Pullup Jump Shot	28 61.6%	25 38.4%
Q2 - 11:46	IND	Young 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogdanovic 1 AST)	28 62.3%	25 37.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND	MISS Young 35' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	28 66.1%	23 33.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0	WAS	Beal 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)	28 66.1%	23 33.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0	IND	Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)	26 67.6%	23 32.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0	IND	Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 63.4%	20 36.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0	IND	Sabonis 8' Hook Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)	26 68.1%	20 31.9%
Q1 - 1:02	WAS	Beal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	26 69.6%	18 30.4%
Q1 - 1:02	WAS	Beal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	25 72.0%	18 28.0%
Q1 - 1:15	IND	Sabonis 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)	24 71.3%	18 28.7%
Q1 - 1:59	WAS	Frazier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 69.7%	16 30.3%
Q1 - 2:01	IND	MISS Jefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	22 72.0%	16 28.0%
Q1 - 2:22	WAS	Scott 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Frazier 2 AST)	22 69.7%	16 30.3%
Q1 - 2:35	IND	Jefferson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	19 67.9%	16 32.1%
Q1 - 3:11	WAS	SUB: Frazier FOR Mark Morris	17 65.9%	14 34.1%
Q1 - 3:11	IND	Stephenson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	17 63.6%	14 36.4%
Q1 - 3:26	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 65.4%	12 34.6%
Q1 - 3:28	WAS	MISS Oubre Jr. 3PT Jump Shot	17 66.1%	12 33.9%
Q1 - 3:49	IND	Sabonis 5' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)	17 67.6%	12 32.4%
Q1 - 4:01	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 68.9%	10 31.1%
Q1 - 4:03	WAS	MISS Mark Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 69.6%	10 30.4%
Q1 - 4:11	IND	Turner P.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Ford)	17 71.1%	10 28.9%
Q1 - 4:14	WAS	Oubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 71.1%	10 28.9%
Q1 - 4:18	IND	MISS Turner 21' Jump Shot	17 70.5%	10 29.5%
Q1 - 4:27	IND	SUB: Young FOR Young	17 69.0%	10 31.0%
Q1 - 4:27	IND	PACERS Rebound	17 69.6%	10 30.4%
Q1 - 4:28	WAS	MISS Mark Morris 20' Jump Shot	17 71.1%	10 28.9%
Q1 - 4:58	WAS	SUB: Oubre Jr. FOR Porter Jr.	17 72.6%	8 27.4%
Q1 - 5:02	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 73.1%	8 26.9%
Q1 - 5:05	IND	MISS Young 2' Reverse Layup	17 71.9%	8 28.1%
Q1 - 5:16	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	17 72.4%	8 27.6%
Q1 - 5:19	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	17 73.7%	8 26.3%
Q1 - 5:35	WAS	Wizards Rebound	17 73.1%	8 26.9%
Q1 - 5:37	IND	MISS Joseph 27' 3PT Jump Shot	17 72.0%	8 28.0%
Q1 - 5:46	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	17 71.5%	8 28.5%
Q1 - 6:06	WAS	Beal 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)	14 68.0%	6 32.0%
Q1 - 6:15	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 67.5%	6 32.5%
Q1 - 6:18	IND	MISS Bogdanovic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup	12 66.2%	6 33.8%
Q1 - 6:22	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 66.8%	6 33.2%
Q1 - 6:25	WAS	MISS Porter Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12 68.0%	6 32.0%
Q1 - 6:27	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	12 66.8%	6 33.2%
Q1 - 6:30	WAS	MISS Gortat 12' Jump Shot	12 68.0%	6 32.0%
Q1 - 6:45	IND	Joseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	12 68.4%	6 31.6%
Q1 - 6:45	IND	Joseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	12 68.7%	5 31.3%
Q1 - 6:48	IND	Joseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 70.2%	4 29.8%
Q1 - 6:49	WAS	MISS Beal 19' Pullup Jump Shot	12 70.9%	4 29.1%
Q1 - 7:03	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	12 70.3%	4 29.7%
Q1 - 7:06	IND	MISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot	12 69.1%	4 30.9%
Q1 - 7:32	WAS	Gortat 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 67.7%	4 32.3%
Q1 - 8:07	IND	PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	10 69.4%	2 30.6%
Q1 - 8:15	WAS	Beal 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 67.9%	2 32.1%
Q1 - 8:27	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	8 67.4%	2 32.6%
Q1 - 8:27	IND	MISS Young 1' Putback Layup	8 66.0%	2 34.0%
Q1 - 8:30	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	8 67.4%	2 32.6%
Q1 - 8:30	IND	MISS Turner 12' Jump Shot	8 66.0%	2 34.0%
Q1 - 8:53	IND	Turner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	6 62.4%	2 37.6%
Q1 - 9:25	IND	Turner Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 61.5%	2 38.5%
Q1 - 9:25	IND	Turner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 61.9%	1 38.1%
Q1 - 9:42	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 63.2%	0 36.8%
Q1 - 9:45	WAS	MISS Porter Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot	4 64.7%	0 35.3%
Q1 - 9:49	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 63.2%	0 36.8%
Q1 - 10:05	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 63.9%	0 36.1%
Q1 - 10:08	IND	MISS Joseph 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	4 62.5%	0 37.5%
Q1 - 10:38	IND	Stephenson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)	2 58.9%	0 41.1%
Q1 - 10:43	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 59.5%	0 40.5%
Q1 - 10:45	WAS	MISS Beal 3PT Jump Shot	2 60.9%	0 39.1%
Q1 - 10:59	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 60.2%	0 39.8%
Q1 - 11:01	IND	MISS Young 1' Layup	2 59.0%	0 41.0%
Q1 - 11:04	IND	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 60.2%	0 39.8%
Q1 - 11:05	IND	MISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	2 59.0%	0 41.0%
Q1 - 11:17	WAS	Beal Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)	2 60.7%	0 39.3%
Q1 - 11:21	WAS	Mark Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 60.2%	0 39.8%
Q1 - 11:24	IND	MISS Turner 22' Step Back Jump Shot	2 59.0%	0 41.0%
Q1 - 11:48	WAS	Porter Jr. 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)	2 57.0%	0 43.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 61.0%

IND

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

81%

IND

57%

Midrange

WAS

58%

IND

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

10.5

28%

42%

IND

18.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

WAS

82%

IND

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	21	62%	10.5 / 17
K. Oubre	15	63%	7.5 / 12
O. Porter Jr.	13	59%	6.5 / 11
I. Mahinmi	12	100%	6.0 / 6
M. Morris	11	42%	5.5 / 13
M. Gortat	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Scott	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Meeks	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Satoransky	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Frazier	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic	29	85%	14.5 / 17
J. Young	17	85%	8.5 / 10
D. Sabonis	15	58%	7.5 / 13
L. Stephenson	13	38%	6.5 / 17
A. Jefferson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Joseph	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Young	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Turner	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-14

IND

+11

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.22 61.0%

IND

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.8 109.3	WAS 116.8 +9.5 IND 107.4
Pace	97.1 96.2	WAS 95.3 +0.7 IND 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14.9 14.8	WAS 15.1 +0.1 IND 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.5% 52.5%	WAS 59.1% +5.3% IND 53.8%
TO %	14.4% 13.3%	WAS 13.5% +1.5% IND 15.0%
ORB %	23.5% 22.7%	WAS 20.6% +2.4% IND 18.2%
FTrt	25.4 22.2	WAS 20.7 IND 31.3 +10.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	63.1% 54.4%	WAS 64.4% +13.0% IND 51.4%
STL %	8.1% 9.1%	WAS 8.4% +2.1% IND 6.3%
BLK %	7.8% 7.7%	WAS 2.0% IND 3.5% +1.5%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.7% 54.3%	WAS 61.0% +4.3% IND 56.7%
Rim FG%	61.1% 60.1%	WAS 81.0% +24.3% IND 56.7%
Mid FG%	42.5% 42.8%	WAS 58.3% +20.2% IND 38.1%
3P %	37.5% 36.9%	WAS 28.0% IND 41.4% +13.4%
FT %	77.2% 77.9%	WAS 82.4% +18.4% IND 64.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	31.0% 35.3%	WAS 25.6% IND 37.5% +11.9%
Mid Att. %	38.0% 36.3%	WAS 43.9% IND 26.3% +17.7%
3P Att. %	31.0% 28.4%	WAS 30.5% IND 36.3% +5.8%

Game Totals	WAS	IND
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	111	102
Rebounds	43	35
Assists	29	19
Steals	8	6
Blocks	1	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	23	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	27 (3)
Field Goals	45-82	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-21	17-30
Midrange FG	21-36	8-21
2-Point FG	38-57	25-51
3-Point FG	7-25	12-29
Free Throws	14-17	16-25
Fast Break Pts	18	9
2nd Chance Pts	0	12
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	0	11
Bench Points	50	40
Biggest Lead	0	1

BOXSCORES

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16 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 25	36.2	21	62%	1	3	0	0	6	1	0	1	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	29.1	11	42%	10	2	1	0	3	3	2	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 25	25.1	13	59%	2	3	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Tomas Satoransky G · 6'7" 210 · 26	22.0	5	83%	2	6	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 34	20.9	11	69%	9	1	0	0	1	3	3	6	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 203 · 22	32.4	15	63%	7	2	1	1	0	1	0	7	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 31	24.4	12	100%	7	1	2	0	2	6	1	6	4-5	80%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 30	19.3	11	55%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 27	18.8	2	50%	1	6	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 30	11.8	10	83%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 23
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Wall #2 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Devin Robinson #7 · F · 6'8" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	61%	43	29	8	1	14	23	7	36	14-17	82%	38-57	67%	7-25	28%

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16 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 25	36.2	21	62%	1	3	0	0	6	1	0	1	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	29.1	11	42%	10	2	1	0	3	3	2	8	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 25	25.1	13	59%	2	3	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Tomas Satoransky G · 6'7" 210 · 26	22.0	5	83%	2	6	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 34	20.9	11	69%	9	1	0	0	1	3	3	6	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 203 · 22	32.4	15	63%	7	2	1	1	0	1	0	7	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 31	24.4	12	100%	7	1	2	0	2	6	1	6	4-5	80%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 30	19.3	11	55%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 27	18.8	2	50%	1	6	2	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 30	11.8	10	83%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 32
Chris McCullough F · 6'9" 215 · 23
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
John Wall #2 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Devin Robinson #7 · F · 6'8" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	61%	43	29	8	1	14	23	7	36	14-17	82%	38-57	67%	7-25	28%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 27	37.7	13	38%	9	6	2	0	6	4	0	9	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-7	14%
Bojan Bogdanovic F · 6'8" 230 · 29	36.6	29	85%	4	2	2	1	1	0	1	3	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	5-7	71%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 26	35.6	7	39%	2	4	0	0	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 30	30.3	7	35%	7	2	1	0	2	0	4	3	0-1	0%	2-8	25%	1-2	50%
Myles Turner C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.6	6	50%	5	0	0	1	3	5	2	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Joe Young G · 6'2" 185 · 26	27.7	17	85%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Domantas Sabonis F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22	26.6	15	58%	4	2	0	0	3	2	1	3	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 33	16.4	8	57%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ben Moore F · 6'8" 220 · 23	6.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
TJ Leaf F · 6'10" 230 · 21
Alex Poythress F · 6'9" 235 · 24
Ike Anigbogu #13 · C · 6'10" 262 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darren Collison #2 · G · 6'2" 185 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Edmond Sumner #5 · G · 6'5" 188 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Victor Oladipo #4 · G · 6'4" 210 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Glenn Robinson III #40 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	35	19	6	2	16	18	8	27	16-25	64%	25-51	49%	12-29	41%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.