FinalWin Prob.pScore
2827%101
111
1273%109
109
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
115.696101.3
MIA logo MIA
112.49792.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)111
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot111
99.6%
109
0.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)111
99.2%
109
0.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLSUB: Payton FOR Speights111
93.3%
109
6.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Augustin111
90.7%
109
9.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLSUB: Speights FOR Biyombo111
74.8%
109
25.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMagic Rebound111
90.2%
109
9.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLAdebayo BLOCK (2 BLK)111
80.3%
109
19.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)111
84.0%
109
16.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)111
60.7%
109
39.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Hezonja 27' 3PT Jump Shot111
65.6%
109
34.4%
Q4 - 1:13ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)111
71.6%
109
28.4%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot111
66.5%
109
33.5%
Q4 - 1:31ORLSimmons 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)111
52.8%
109
47.2%
Q4 - 1:37ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)109
41.3%
109
58.7%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup109
37.2%
109
62.8%
Q4 - 1:53MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)109
29.1%
109
70.9%
Q4 - 1:55ORLMISS Payton 5' Finger Roll Layup109
32.4%
109
67.6%
Q4 - 2:08ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)109
40.9%
109
59.1%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Winslow 14' Pullup Jump Shot109
36.3%
109
63.7%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)109
26.4%
109
73.6%
Q4 - 2:35ORLMISS Fournier 28' 3PT Jump Shot109
30.4%
109
69.6%
Q4 - 2:53MIARichardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)109
40.4%
109
59.6%
Q4 - 3:15ORLAdebayo STEAL (1 STL)109
47.1%
107
52.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWinslow 1' Tip Layup Shot (16 PTS)109
56.3%
107
43.7%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)109
64.4%
105
35.6%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot109
70.6%
105
29.4%
Q4 - 4:01ORLSimmons 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)109
65.2%
105
34.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAAdebayo P.FOUL (P2.T3) (G.Zielinski)107
57.3%
105
42.7%
Q4 - 4:23MIARichardson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)107
57.4%
105
42.6%
Q4 - 4:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)107
65.8%
103
34.2%
Q4 - 4:45ORLMISS Hezonja 27' 3PT Jump Shot107
68.6%
103
31.4%
Q4 - 5:04ORLSUB: Payton FOR Speights107
68.3%
103
31.7%
Q4 - 5:04MIARichardson 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)107
74.5%
103
25.5%
Q4 - 5:09ORLAdebayo BLOCK (1 BLK)107
80.8%
101
19.2%
Q4 - 5:12ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
74.8%
101
25.2%
Q4 - 5:39ORLSUB: Simmons FOR Afflalo107
89.2%
99
10.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington107
85.3%
99
14.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIADragic Offensive Charge Foul (P5.T2) (G.Zielinski)107
85.4%
99
14.6%
Q4 - 5:45MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)107
85.7%
99
14.3%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Afflalo 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot107
84.3%
99
15.7%
Q4 - 6:01ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
81.0%
99
19.0%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
82.6%
99
17.4%
Q4 - 6:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)107
85.9%
99
14.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)107
85.3%
99
14.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWinslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)107
93.8%
98
6.2%
Q4 - 6:56ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)107
93.2%
96
6.8%
Q4 - 6:56ORLMagic Rebound107
91.4%
96
8.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Dragic 3' Layup107
93.2%
96
6.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)107
88.8%
96
11.2%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Winslow 1' Reverse Layup107
89.7%
96
10.3%
Q4 - 7:06MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
91.6%
96
8.4%
Q4 - 7:11ORLMISS Speights 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
91.4%
96
8.6%
Q4 - 7:34MIAAdebayo 1' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)107
94.9%
95
5.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)107
96.2%
93
3.8%
Q4 - 7:47ORLMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot107
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 7:53ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
93.4%
93
6.6%
Q4 - 8:17ORLAugustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Mack 5 AST)107
89.4%
93
10.6%
Q4 - 8:26MIADragic P.FOUL (P4.T1) (C.Washington)104
89.4%
93
10.6%
Q4 - 8:44MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)104
91.7%
93
8.3%
Q4 - 8:44ORLSpeights S.FOUL (P3.T1) (G.Zielinski)104
91.7%
91
8.3%
Q4 - 8:48MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)104
91.8%
91
8.2%
Q4 - 8:50ORLMISS Speights 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot104
91.2%
91
8.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson104
89.8%
91
10.2%
Q4 - 10:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)102
88.0%
89
12.0%
Q4 - 10:08ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)102
82.5%
89
17.5%
Q4 - 10:12ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Adebayo 1' Tip Layup Shot99
78.8%
89
21.2%
Q4 - 10:15MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Richardson 7' Floating Jump Shot99
78.8%
89
21.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
80.0%
89
20.0%
Q4 - 10:27ORLMISS Speights 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
82.6%
89
17.4%
Q4 - 10:33ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Adebayo 5' Jump Shot99
78.9%
89
21.1%
Q4 - 11:15MIARichardson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)96
73.2%
89
26.8%
Q4 - 12:0093
64.1%
87
35.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL93
64.1%
87
35.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
62.5%
87
37.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
58.2%
87
41.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Mack 3' Driving Layup93
61.7%
87
38.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
58.3%
87
41.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Mack 1' Driving Layup93
61.8%
87
38.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
60.3%
87
39.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot93
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic91
49.9%
87
50.1%
Q3 - 1:28MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)91
44.9%
87
55.1%
Q3 - 1:39MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
45.6%
87
54.4%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 191
49.9%
87
50.1%
Q3 - 2:05ORLMagic Rebound89
38.9%
87
61.1%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q3 - 2:14MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
35.8%
87
64.2%
Q3 - 2:23ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
39.0%
87
61.0%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q3 - 2:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup89
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q3 - 2:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Dragic 5' Putback Layup89
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q3 - 2:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q3 - 2:38MIAMISS Dragic 4' Turnaround Jump Shot89
37.6%
87
62.4%
Q3 - 2:51ORLSimmons 4' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
34.5%
87
65.5%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)87
30.4%
87
69.6%
Q3 - 3:10ORLSUB: Speights FOR Payton87
30.2%
86
69.8%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)87
38.1%
86
61.9%
Q3 - 3:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
38.7%
84
61.3%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 287
40.9%
84
59.1%
Q3 - 3:31ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
38.4%
84
61.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIAHEAT Rebound86
41.0%
82
59.0%
Q3 - 4:08ORLMISS Hezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
42.4%
82
57.6%
Q3 - 4:12ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
45.9%
82
54.1%
Q3 - 4:15MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
44.4%
82
55.6%
Q3 - 4:34ORLHezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)86
41.1%
82
58.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAJohnson 3' Layup (3 PTS)83
33.7%
82
66.3%
Q3 - 4:59ORLFournier L.B.FOUL (P4.T3) (G.Zielinski)83
37.1%
80
62.9%
Q3 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound83
37.1%
80
62.9%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
40.3%
80
59.7%
Q3 - 5:22ORLFournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)83
36.5%
80
63.5%
Q3 - 5:30MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN) (G.Zielinski)80
29.6%
80
70.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)80
29.6%
80
70.4%
Q3 - 5:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)80
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q3 - 5:52ORLMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
37.8%
77
62.2%
Q3 - 6:07MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)80
39.6%
77
60.4%
Q3 - 6:29ORLFournier 9' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
47.0%
74
53.0%
Q3 - 6:35ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
43.5%
74
56.5%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Bank Shot78
42.3%
74
57.7%
Q3 - 6:52ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)78
39.4%
74
60.6%
Q3 - 7:05MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)75
31.9%
74
68.1%
Q3 - 7:23ORLMack 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)75
34.7%
72
65.3%
Q3 - 7:28ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
31.9%
72
68.1%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot73
30.7%
72
69.3%
Q3 - 7:48ORLHezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)73
28.2%
72
71.8%
Q3 - 8:02MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)70
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound70
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 8:21ORLMISS Hezonja 19' Jump Shot70
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMickey Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)70
31.5%
69
68.5%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMickey Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T4) (C.Washington)70
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 8:41ORLSimmons P.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Guthrie)70
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 8:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)70
27.9%
69
72.1%
Q3 - 8:46ORLMISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot70
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)70
31.5%
69
68.5%
Q3 - 9:09ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)70
27.4%
69
72.6%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P4.T3) (D.Guthrie)69
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)67
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q3 - 9:20ORLHezonja S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Guthrie)67
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q3 - 10:04ORLSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q3 - 10:04ORLSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P3.T2) (C.Washington)63
26.3%
64
73.7%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS Fournier 1' Layup63
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 10:22ORLBiyombo 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Hezonja 3 AST)63
24.5%
64
75.5%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMickey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 10:47ORLMISS Payton 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot61
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)61
22.6%
62
77.4%
Q3 - 11:30ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMickey S.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Guthrie)59
25.6%
60
74.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 11:42ORLMickey BLOCK (1 BLK)59
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Putback Layup59
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 11:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)59
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup59
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Adebayo 74' 3PT Jump Shot59
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)59
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWhiteside 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)56
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)56
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLIwundu 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)53
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q2 - 1:13ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q2 - 1:13MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Dragic50
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 1:13ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Guthrie)49
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Whiteside 22' Jump Shot49
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q2 - 1:38ORLMISS Payton 7' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot49
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)49
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)49
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup49
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q2 - 2:10MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)49
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 2:1049
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q2 - 2:14ORLMISS Simmons 2' Jump Shot49
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 2:30MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q2 - 2:30ORLSUB: Simmons FOR Birch49
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q2 - 2:30ORLSUB: Payton FOR Augustin49
14.3%
53
85.7%
Q2 - 2:30ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Fournier49
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)49
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 2:30ORLFournier T.FOUL (P3.PN) (D.Guthrie)49
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 2:30ORLFournier P.FOUL (P3.PN) (D.Guthrie)49
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 2:48ORLFournier 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 3:03ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 3:12ORLMISS Birch 9' Hook Shot47
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWhiteside 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)47
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 3:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:36ORLMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 3:51ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 247
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAHEAT Rebound47
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 247
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 3:53ORLAugustin S.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Guthrie)47
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHEAT Rebound47
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 4:10ORLMISS Birch 1' Tip Layup Shot47
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 4:11ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 4:12ORLMISS Iwundu 8' Floating Jump Shot47
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 4:28ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Bank Shot47
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot47
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 4:46ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 4:54ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup47
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 5:16ORLFournier 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Birch 1 AST)47
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIADragic 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)45
16.0%
50
84.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
17.3%
48
82.7%
Q2 - 5:35ORLMISS Birch 1' Layup45
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 5:41ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 5:43ORLMISS Augustin 22' Fadeaway Jumper45
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWinslow 1' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)45
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 6:20ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 6:34ORLFournier 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 6:53ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Adebayo40
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson40
14.2%
46
85.8%
Q2 - 7:20ORLBirch Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN) (C.Washington)38
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 7:37ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)38
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson37
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 235
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 7:59ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Mack35
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 7:59ORLBirch S.FOUL (P1.PN) (C.Washington)35
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 8:24ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
12.4%
42
87.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Adebayo Free Throw 1 of 133
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 8:28ORLAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Guthrie)33
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 8:54ORLMagic Rebound33
12.4%
40
87.6%
Q2 - 9:02ORLMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot33
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 9:10ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot33
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 9:30ORLAfflalo 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)33
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 9:46ORLSUB: Birch FOR Speights31
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 9:46ORLSpeights Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3) (D.Guthrie)31
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 131
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 10:01ORLAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Washington)31
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 10:09ORLSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 10:09MIAEllington S.FOUL (P1.T1) (G.Zielinski)29
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Adebayo 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot29
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 10:49MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 11:02ORLIwundu 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)29
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllington Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)26
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)26
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)26
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 11:43ORL26
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 11:43ORLAugustin S.FOUL (P1.T1) (C.Washington)26
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
10.7%
35
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Adebayo 3PT Jump Shot26
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 126
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)26
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIARichardson 22' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
9.8%
35
90.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)24
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 1:05MIARichardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q1 - 1:26ORLHezonja 11' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 1:44MIAJohnson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q1 - 1:57ORLHezonja Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
10.1%
29
89.9%
Q1 - 1:57ORLHezonja Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4) (G.Zielinski)17
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q1 - 2:09MIAAdebayo 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
9.3%
29
90.7%
Q1 - 2:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMISS Speights 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 2:27ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot17
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 2:47ORLSpeights 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)17
10.1%
27
89.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q1 - 3:13ORLPayton S.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)15
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 3:29ORLMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 3:29ORLMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q1 - 3:29MIAAdebayo S.FOUL (P1.T3) (C.Washington)13
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAAdebayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 3:44ORLMack S.FOUL (P1.PN) (C.Washington)13
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Hezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:11ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.1%
22
87.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 213
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 4:13MIASUB: Adebayo FOR Winslow13
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 4:35ORLSUB: Speights FOR Biyombo13
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 4:45MIAHEAT Rebound13
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Biyombo: Tip to Winslow13
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Driving Reverse Layup13
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 5:06ORLMISS Payton 10' Floating Jump Shot13
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIASUB: Johnson FOR Olynyk13
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound13
13.4%
20
86.6%
Q1 - 5:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 213
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 5:23ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q1 - 5:26ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson10
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 5:41ORLBiyombo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 6:10ORLPayton 11' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
11.6%
18
88.4%
Q1 - 7:11ORLSUB: Mack FOR Fournier6
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 7:13ORLWinslow STEAL (1 STL)6
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHEAT Rebound6
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 26
13.3%
13
86.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
13.6%
13
86.4%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 7:49MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:55ORLMISS Fournier 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
17.1%
11
82.9%
Q1 - 8:22ORLPayton 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
16.2%
9
83.8%
Q1 - 8:25ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.4%
9
84.6%
Q1 - 8:27ORLMISS Simmons 6' Jump Shot4
16.2%
9
83.8%
Q1 - 8:42ORLMagic Rebound4
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.1%
9
84.9%
Q1 - 8:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot4
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 9:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 9:07ORLMISS Hezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.2%
9
83.8%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Dunk (9 PTS)4
17.0%
9
83.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 9:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 9:27ORLMISS Fournier 9' Jump Shot4
18.3%
7
81.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhiteside 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)4
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:06MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 10:46ORLRichardson STEAL (1 STL)0
19.1%
2
80.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
20.3%
1
79.7%
Q1 - 11:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 11:15ORLMISS Biyombo 10' Hook Shot0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 11:27ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup0
20.3%
0
79.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 11:40ORLMISS Fournier 1' Driving Layup0
21.5%
0
78.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
25
52%
MIA
26
46
57%
Midrange
ORL
15
29
52%
MIA
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
MIA
3
4.5
23
13%
20%
Free Throws
ORL
16
19
84%
MIA
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Hezonja2067%10.0 / 15
J. Simmons1680%8.0 / 10
D. Augustin1673%8.0 / 11
E. Fournier1350%6.5 / 13
M. Speights1260%6.0 / 10
E. Payton1050%5.0 / 10
B. Biyombo975%4.5 / 6
S. Mack660%3.0 / 5
W. Iwundu583%2.5 / 3
A. Afflalo225%1.0 / 4
K. Birch225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2067%10.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1953%9.5 / 18
B. Adebayo1860%9.0 / 15
J. Winslow1673%8.0 / 11
G. Dragic1343%6.5 / 15
T. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
J. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
W. Ellington525%2.5 / 10
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
85
+7
-11
92
MIA
85
+21
-12
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.19 59.7%
MIA
1.03 51.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
106.6
ORL 115.6 +3.3
MIA 112.4
Pace
97.8
95.8
ORL 101.3 +9.0
MIA 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.3
ORL 14.2 +1.4
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
52.0%
ORL 56.5% +11.9%
MIA 44.6%
TO %
14.2%
14.1%
ORL 10.6%
MIA 10.0% +0.6%
ORB %
20.0%
21.5%
ORL 12.2%
MIA 33.3% +21.1%
FTrt
23.8
22.9
ORL 22.6
MIA 37.6 +15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
58.5%
ORL 61.0% +8.5%
MIA 52.5%
STL %
7.7%
7.8%
ORL 8.3% +3.1%
MIA 5.2%
BLK %
8.2%
9.3%
ORL 7.1%
MIA 7.4% +0.3%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
53.5%
ORL 59.7% +8.3%
MIA 51.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
60.6%
ORL 52.0%
MIA 56.5% +4.5%
Mid FG%
38.1%
38.4%
ORL 51.7% +5.9%
MIA 45.8%
3P %
35.1%
36.0%
ORL 43.3% +30.3%
MIA 13.0%
FT %
75.7%
75.5%
ORL 84.2% +9.9%
MIA 74.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
35.8%
ORL 29.8%
MIA 49.5% +19.7%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
28.4%
ORL 34.5%
MIA 25.8% +8.7%
3P Att. %
34.2%
35.8%
ORL 35.7% +11.0%
MIA 24.7%
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes22.725.2
Points111109
Rebounds3953
Assists2521
Steals85
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2619
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)36 (3)
Field Goals41-8440-93
At-the-Rim FG13-2526-46
Midrange FG15-2911-24
2-Point FG28-5437-70
3-Point FG13-303-23
Free Throws16-1926-35
Fast Break Pts1110
2nd Chance Pts411
Points in Paint4462
Pts off Turnovers1016
Bench Points4341
Biggest Lead1412

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 23
31.6
20
67%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
F · 6'6" 195 · 28
26.8
16
80%
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
25.2
10
50%
2
7
1
0
1
3
1
1
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 205 · 25
25.1
13
50%
4
1
1
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 255 · 25
23.8
9
75%
5
1
1
2
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 203 · 28
26.8
6
60%
2
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 30
22.8
16
73%
1
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
F · 6'7" 195 · 23
17.9
5
83%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 31
16.9
12
60%
5
1
0
1
4
5
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 32
15.8
2
25%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 220 · 25
7.3
2
25%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 22
#1 · F · 6'10" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'7" 213 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
39
25
8
5
11
26
5
34
16-19
84%
28-54
52%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.