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All Games Monday, February 5, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Hornets
38%108
104
11
Nuggets
62%112
121
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
113.09292.1
DEN logo DEN
130.19392.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADEN
Q4 - 1:20DENCraig REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)104
0%
119
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.18 59.1%
DEN
1.38 68.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
20
24
83%
DEN
21
28
75%
Midrange
CHA
8
27
30%
DEN
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
DEN
18
27.0
34
53%
79%
Free Throws
CHA
15
24
63%
DEN
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2063%10.0 / 16
D. Howard1973%9.5 / 13
N. Batum1558%7.5 / 13
J. Lamb1458%7.0 / 12
T. Graham1179%5.5 / 7
F. Kaminsky950%4.5 / 9
C. Zeller8100%4.0 / 4
M. Carter-Williams650%3.0 / 6
M. Kidd-Gilchrist233%1.0 / 3
J. O'Bryant III0-0.0 / 2
M. Monk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2796%13.5 / 14
W. Barton1882%9.0 / 11
J. Murray1860%9.0 / 15
N. Jokić1563%7.5 / 12
E. Mudiay1286%6.0 / 7
T. Lyles1161%5.5 / 9
D. Arthur10100%5.0 / 5
T. Craig650%3.0 / 6
W. Chandler225%1.0 / 4
M. Beasley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
82
+6
-10
88
DEN
82
+6
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.18 59.1%
DEN
1.38 68.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
112.3
CHA 113.0
DEN 130.1 +17.1
Pace
98.3
97.0
CHA 92.1
DEN 92.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.0
CHA 15.6
DEN 15.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
53.6%
CHA 57.8%
DEN 67.9% +10.1%
TO %
12.5%
14.6%
CHA 10.3% +1.0%
DEN 11.3%
ORB %
22.1%
25.6%
CHA 12.2%
DEN 13.9% +1.7%
FTrt
31.2
25.8
CHA 31.2 +15.2
DEN 16.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.4%
61.7%
CHA 53.8%
DEN 65.2% +11.4%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
CHA 7.6%
DEN 10.8% +3.2%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
CHA 2.1%
DEN 3.9% +1.8%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
55.7%
CHA 59.1%
DEN 68.8% +9.7%
Rim FG%
59.2%
60.1%
CHA 83.3% +8.3%
DEN 75.0%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.1%
CHA 29.6%
DEN 36.8% +7.2%
3P %
36.9%
37.1%
CHA 42.3%
DEN 52.9% +10.6%
FT %
74.7%
76.6%
CHA 62.5%
DEN 84.6% +22.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
38.5%
CHA 31.2%
DEN 34.6% +3.4%
Mid Att. %
35.1%
25.8%
CHA 35.1%
DEN 23.5% +11.6%
3P Att. %
31.4%
35.7%
CHA 33.8%
DEN 42.0% +8.2%
Game TotalsCHADEN
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points104121
Rebounds3641
Assists2130
Steals710
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1615
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)36 (2)
Field Goals39-7746-81
At-the-Rim FG20-2421-28
Midrange FG8-277-19
2-Point FG28-5128-47
3-Point FG11-2618-34
Free Throws15-2411-13
Fast Break Pts615
2nd Chance Pts89
Points in Paint4852
Pts off Turnovers1514
Bench Points3941
Biggest Lead619

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 28
33.3
20
63%
3
4
1
0
2
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
3-6
50%
Nicolas Batum
G · 6'8" 230 · 29
31.1
15
58%
4
5
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 24
28.2
2
33%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
27.9
19
73%
7
1
0
1
2
3
0
7
1-5
20%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F · 7'0" 242 · 25
22.3
9
50%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 24
25.7
11
79%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 26
25.4
14
58%
3
2
2
0
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 25
17.0
8
100%
10
1
0
0
2
2
3
7
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 26
16.6
6
50%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 25
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Dwayne Bacon
F · 6'7" 221 · 22
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 29
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Marcus Paige
#4 · G · 6'0" 164 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Marvin Williams
#2 · F · 6'9" 237 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mangok Mathiang
#9 · F-C · 6'10" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
59%
36
21
7
1
10
16
5
31
15-24
63%
28-51
55%
11-26
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.