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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 6, 2018
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Cavaliers64%11698
25Magic36%111116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.1
33
34
25
10
5
1
1
0
6
1
9
3-4
75%
8-13
7-12
62%
60%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.0
30
27
11
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
1-6
17%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.9
27
25
12
9
0
0
0
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
6-9
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
26
27
12
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
4-6
67%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
26
24
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
24
19
12
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.9
23
16
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
2-7
29%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.1
22
21
11
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
3-6
50%
1-1
4-7
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
15
14
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
10
18
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.4
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.6
5
0
0-1
47%
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.1
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25.3
37
27
19
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-9
44%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
1-6
17%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 28.4
36
26
34
7
2
1
1
1
3
2
5
8-9
89%
10-13
3-7
77%
51%
2-4
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.9
26
28
10
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.0
23
24
10
2
8
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 25.4
22
22
11
8
2
0
0
2
2
3
5
3-5
60%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.8
26
23
4
7
5
1
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 30.2
25
23
8
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
18
14
8
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
0-0
-
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 23.1
13
18
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 30.5
7
17
7
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.3
6
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
12
0
2-4
53%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.3
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27.0
Jamel Artis
G · 6'7" 213 · 25.1
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.