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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 6, 2018
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics36%10291
3Raptors64%107111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 21.3
27.1
31.7
11
81%
6
2
0
1
1
4
0
6
2-4
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
51%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
24.4
30.5
2
20%
6
3
0
1
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.9
21.9
34.3
17
64%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
4-6
6-12
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 19.9
20.8
31.9
4
22%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.2
20.0
20.0
6
38%
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
29.6
10.6
12
43%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
24.2
32.6
18
65%
5
4
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
42%
4-5
80%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 25.8
22.0
19.2
10
79%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
19.8
23.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
14.3
19.0
5
36%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
44%
1-1
100%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 22.1
10.7
4.9
4
72%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
5.1
3.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.9
Jabari Bird
G · 6'6" 198 · 23.6
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.3
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
29.4
30.5
15
43%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-11
6-13
36%
48%
2-6
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.9
25.2
28.3
23
72%
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
5-7
71%
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
6-11
55%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
22.4
25.5
8
80%
5
1
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
20.6
25.2
2
13%
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
56%
0-2
0%
OG Anunoby
F · 6'8" 235 · 20.6
15.3
20.1
4
67%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.9
30.6
23.1
10
85%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
25.1
19.9
6
75%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.8
24.9
20.7
14
59%
3
3
3
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 22.3
23.6
20.3
4
50%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
15.4
17.1
20
107%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
5-7
71%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 24.7
3.7
13.3
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-1
100%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
3.7
3.3
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
64%
0-0
-
Malcolm Miller
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.4
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.