FinalWin Prob.pScore
259%107
109
1441%104
101
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
122.58989.4
MIA logo MIA
113.58988.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)109
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup109
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)109
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0HOUTucker S.FOUL (P3.T1) (J.Goldenberg)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)107
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Paul 1' Driving Layup107
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:15MIADragic 18' Step Back Jump Shot (30 PTS)107
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 1:26HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T9)107
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)107
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)107
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 2:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot104
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 2:50HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)104
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 3:05HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Johnson 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot101
97.3%
94
2.7%
Q4 - 3:25HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
96.9%
94
3.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow100
95.5%
94
4.5%
Q4 - 3:25MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Goldenberg)99
94.9%
94
5.1%
Q4 - 4:07HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)98
93.8%
92
6.2%
Q4 - 4:07MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson97
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 4:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
91.6%
90
8.4%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Johnson 1' Reverse Layup97
93.9%
90
6.1%
Q4 - 4:55HOUPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)97
95.3%
90
4.7%
Q4 - 5:34HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
92.2%
87
7.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIASUB: Dragic FOR Winslow94
93.0%
87
7.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)94
94.5%
87
5.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
90.6%
87
9.4%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
92.5%
87
7.5%
Q4 - 6:39HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)94
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 6:40HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
88.3%
87
11.7%
Q4 - 6:40HOUMISS Mbah a Moute Reverse Layup92
85.6%
87
14.4%
Q4 - 6:45HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
88.3%
87
11.7%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot92
87.2%
87
12.8%
Q4 - 7:02HOUPaul 15' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
83.2%
87
16.8%
Q4 - 7:15HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
79.4%
87
20.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
77.9%
87
22.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
74.0%
87
26.0%
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup90
75.8%
87
24.2%
Q4 - 7:34HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
79.5%
87
20.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Richardson 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
77.9%
87
22.1%
Q4 - 8:01HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)90
73.3%
87
26.7%
Q4 - 8:08MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T2) (E.Lewis)87
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 8:14HOUAdebayo BLOCK (2 BLK)87
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 8:29MIAWinslow Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)87
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 8:46HOUHarden Driving Dunk (30 PTS)87
56.1%
87
43.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIASUB: Winslow FOR Richardson85
49.5%
87
50.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
63.9%
84
36.1%
Q4 - 9:29HOUMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
67.9%
84
32.1%
Q4 - 9:53MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
74.2%
82
25.8%
Q4 - 9:55HOUMISS Paul 3PT Jump Shot85
76.5%
82
23.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)85
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)85
82.7%
80
17.3%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 10:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot85
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 10:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
81.4%
80
18.6%
Q4 - 10:43HOUMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot85
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 10:52HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 11:23HOUMbah a Moute 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)85
79.2%
80
20.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
74.2%
80
25.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA83
75.5%
80
24.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Rebound83
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOURichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)83
72.1%
80
27.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAAdebayo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T10)83
74.9%
80
25.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAAdebayo OFF.Foul (P2) (S.Wall)83
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
70.9%
80
29.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)80
61.7%
80
38.3%
Q3 - 1:14HOUPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
70.4%
77
29.6%
Q3 - 1:14HOURockets Rebound79
70.6%
77
29.4%
Q3 - 1:14HOUMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 279
70.1%
77
29.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (E.Lewis)79
70.6%
77
29.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
70.6%
77
29.4%
Q3 - 1:27MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)79
71.4%
76
28.6%
Q3 - 1:27HOUBrown P.FOUL (P4.PN) (S.Wall)79
74.3%
75
25.7%
Q3 - 1:34HOUTucker P.FOUL (P2.T4) (E.Lewis)79
74.3%
75
25.7%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
74.3%
75
25.7%
Q3 - 1:36HOUMISS Paul 11' Pullup Jump Shot79
75.5%
75
24.5%
Q3 - 2:00HOUBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
78.0%
75
22.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot79
76.0%
75
24.0%
Q3 - 2:18HOUPaul 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
73.5%
75
26.5%
Q3 - 2:38HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
66.0%
75
34.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
64.6%
75
35.4%
Q3 - 3:00HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
61.5%
75
38.5%
Q3 - 3:06HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
62.9%
75
37.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot76
66.0%
75
34.0%
Q3 - 3:27HOURockets Rebound76
64.7%
75
35.3%
Q3 - 3:27HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)76
61.6%
75
38.4%
Q3 - 3:28HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
66.0%
75
34.0%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (13 PTS)76
63.0%
75
37.0%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)76
66.0%
73
34.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot76
69.6%
73
30.4%
Q3 - 4:08HOUMISS Harden 11' Turnaround Jump Shot76
69.1%
73
30.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIASUB: Richardson FOR Jones Jr.76
70.3%
73
29.7%
Q3 - 4:32HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
73.2%
73
26.8%
Q3 - 4:38HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
70.4%
73
29.6%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Dragic 1' Finger Roll Layup76
73.2%
73
26.8%
Q3 - 4:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
72.0%
73
28.0%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot76
69.1%
73
30.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
69.1%
73
30.9%
Q3 - 5:05HOUSUB: Brown FOR Mbah a Moute76
72.0%
73
28.0%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot76
68.9%
73
31.1%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)76
71.5%
73
28.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot74
65.7%
73
34.3%
Q3 - 5:55HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (28 PTS)74
64.4%
73
35.6%
Q3 - 6:02HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
61.4%
73
38.6%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot72
58.2%
73
41.8%
Q3 - 6:12MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow72
56.9%
73
43.1%
Q3 - 6:12HOUCapela Personal Block Foul (P3.T3) (E.Lewis)72
53.9%
73
46.1%
Q3 - 6:25HOUCapela 2' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)72
53.9%
73
46.1%
Q3 - 6:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
50.4%
73
49.6%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Shot70
49.0%
73
51.0%
Q3 - 6:47HOURockets Rebound69
46.0%
73
54.0%
Q3 - 6:47HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 269
46.4%
73
53.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Goldenberg)69
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q3 - 7:24HOUPaul Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)69
46.9%
71
53.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)69
50.1%
71
49.9%
Q3 - 8:20MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)67
61.6%
68
38.4%
Q3 - 8:38HOUMISS Capela 7' Hook Shot67
65.0%
65
35.0%
Q3 - 8:40HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
66.2%
65
33.8%
Q3 - 8:42HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot67
68.9%
65
31.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)67
66.2%
65
33.8%
Q3 - 9:15HOUMISS Harden 13' Jump Shot67
74.0%
62
26.0%
Q3 - 9:41MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
74.9%
62
25.1%
Q3 - 9:41HOUMbah a Moute S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)67
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)63
81.2%
57
18.8%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
79.2%
57
20.8%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
76.6%
57
23.4%
Q3 - 11:07MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goldenberg)61
75.8%
57
24.2%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Jones Jr. 3PT Jump Shot61
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
73.3%
57
26.7%
Q3 - 12:0061
72.2%
57
27.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Paul 10' Pullup Jump Shot61
71.3%
57
28.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)61
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)61
72.2%
56
27.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHEAT Rebound61
73.4%
55
26.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 361
73.9%
55
26.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0HOUTucker S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wall)61
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUPaul 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
76.7%
53
23.3%
Q2 - 1:27MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)59
73.4%
53
26.6%
Q2 - 1:27MIASUB: Jones Jr. FOR Johnson59
76.5%
52
23.5%
Q2 - 1:27HOUNene S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wall)59
76.8%
52
23.2%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
78.7%
50
21.3%
Q2 - 2:03HOUHarden S.FOUL (P2.T4) (E.Lewis)59
82.7%
49
17.3%
Q2 - 2:03MIADragic 10' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)59
83.5%
49
16.5%
Q2 - 2:28HOUSUB: Paul FOR Mbah a Moute58
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 358
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2) (E.Lewis)57
86.7%
47
13.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIAWhiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)57
87.6%
47
12.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)55
85.2%
45
14.8%
Q2 - 3:33HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T6)55
85.9%
43
14.1%
Q2 - 3:37HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
84.7%
43
15.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
86.0%
43
14.0%
Q2 - 4:02HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot55
87.5%
43
12.5%
Q2 - 4:19HOUSUB: Nene FOR Capela55
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q2 - 4:19HOUSUB: Green FOR Paul55
86.0%
43
14.0%
Q2 - 4:19MIASUB: Richardson FOR Winslow55
86.0%
43
14.0%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
88.1%
41
11.9%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
89.3%
41
10.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)55
88.2%
41
11.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
88.5%
39
11.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
89.3%
39
10.7%
Q2 - 5:18HOUHarden 2' Driving Hook Shot (23 PTS)55
90.3%
39
9.7%
Q2 - 5:46MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)53
90.8%
39
9.2%
Q2 - 6:14HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)53
89.2%
36
10.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot50
90.6%
36
9.4%
Q2 - 6:40MIASUB: Dragic FOR Adebayo50
88.9%
36
11.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Richardson50
88.4%
36
11.6%
Q2 - 6:49HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
87.5%
36
12.5%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot48
86.5%
36
13.5%
Q2 - 7:11HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)48
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q2 - 7:41HOUCapela 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)46
83.2%
36
16.8%
Q2 - 8:01MIAAdebayo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)44
78.2%
36
21.8%
Q2 - 8:01HOUSUB: Harden FOR Brown44
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 8:01HOUBrown S.FOUL (P3.T2) (J.Goldenberg)44
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Winslow 8' Floating Jump Shot44
83.7%
33
16.3%
Q2 - 8:14MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Winslow 6' Turnaround Hook Shot44
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 8:24MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
82.7%
33
17.3%
Q2 - 8:27HOUMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
83.2%
33
16.8%
Q2 - 8:44MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Adebayo 2 AST)44
84.2%
33
15.8%
Q2 - 9:01HOUPaul 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
86.2%
30
13.8%
Q2 - 9:08HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
85.1%
30
14.9%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Winslow 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot42
84.7%
30
15.3%
Q2 - 9:35HOUGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
83.7%
30
16.3%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
80.9%
30
19.1%
Q2 - 10:06HOUCapela 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)39
78.7%
30
21.3%
Q2 - 10:10HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Floating Jump Shot37
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 10:25HOUMISS Paul 12' Pullup Jump Shot37
75.9%
30
24.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Adebayo 1 AST)37
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 10:59HOUGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
80.3%
27
19.7%
Q2 - 10:59HOUGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
80.1%
27
19.9%
Q2 - 10:59MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goldenberg)35
79.0%
27
21.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 11:14MIAHEAT Rebound35
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 11:16HOUAdebayo BLOCK (1 BLK)35
77.3%
27
22.7%
Q2 - 11:28MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
78.5%
27
21.5%
Q2 - 11:41HOUCapela L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (E.Lewis)35
81.5%
24
18.5%
Q2 - 11:42HOUMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
82.0%
24
18.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA35
81.5%
24
18.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
81.5%
24
18.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
81.6%
24
18.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
81.3%
24
18.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAAdebayo Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) (S.Wall)34
81.0%
24
19.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot32
77.6%
24
22.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUNene 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)32
76.7%
24
23.3%
Q1 - 1:02HOURockets Rebound30
74.6%
24
25.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
74.2%
24
25.8%
Q1 - 1:16HOUGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)30
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q1 - 1:31MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)27
68.9%
24
31.1%
Q1 - 1:38HOUBrown P.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wall)27
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q1 - 1:49HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)27
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q1 - 1:50HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
74.6%
21
25.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot27
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAAdebayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.0%
21
27.0%
Q1 - 2:08HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 3 of 327
73.3%
21
26.7%
Q1 - 2:08HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)27
74.6%
21
25.4%
Q1 - 2:08HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)26
74.4%
21
25.6%
Q1 - 2:08HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIADragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
73.1%
21
26.9%
Q1 - 2:49HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Jones Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
67.6%
19
32.4%
Q1 - 3:09HOUMISS Nene 1' Cutting Layup Shot22
69.1%
19
30.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
68.9%
19
31.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAHEAT Rebound22
69.7%
18
30.3%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 222
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
70.4%
18
29.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup22
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
70.4%
18
29.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup22
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
69.5%
18
30.5%
Q1 - 3:50HOUSUB: Brown FOR Mbah a Moute22
71.0%
18
29.0%
Q1 - 3:50HOURockets Rebound22
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 3:50HOUMISS Tucker 8' Floating Jump Shot22
71.0%
18
29.0%
Q1 - 3:51HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Mbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot22
70.9%
18
29.1%
Q1 - 4:06HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 4:30MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)20
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
65.0%
16
35.0%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
65.6%
16
34.4%
Q1 - 5:08HOUMISS Harden 6' Floating Jump Shot18
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 5:44HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)18
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 5:50HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
68.1%
13
31.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson16
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 6:11HOUTucker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)16
67.9%
13
32.1%
Q1 - 6:19HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
66.7%
13
33.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Jones Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
67.2%
13
32.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 6:34HOUMISS Green 10' Jump Shot16
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 6:45MIARichardson 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)16
71.3%
13
28.7%
Q1 - 6:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
69.7%
11
30.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup16
69.6%
11
30.4%
Q1 - 7:03HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)16
69.3%
11
30.7%
Q1 - 7:03HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)15
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 7:11HOUSUB: Green FOR Paul13
66.7%
11
33.3%
Q1 - 7:12HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Jones Jr. 1' Tip Layup Shot13
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 7:15MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Jump Shot13
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 7:37HOUPaul 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
65.8%
9
34.2%
Q1 - 8:13MIAJones Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
65.2%
9
34.8%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJones Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
66.5%
9
33.5%
Q1 - 8:20HOURichardson STEAL (1 STL)11
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIARichardson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
68.4%
9
31.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
63.3%
7
36.7%
Q1 - 9:11MIAHEAT Rebound8
64.9%
7
35.1%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
63.4%
7
36.6%
Q1 - 9:26HOUHarden 5' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
62.0%
7
38.0%
Q1 - 9:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 9:54HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 10:41HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Richardson 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot3
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 10:56HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:56HOURockets Rebound2
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:56HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 22
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 11:07HOUPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Jones Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:28HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 11:28HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
59.9%
2
40.1%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWhiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 11:57HOUCapela Violation:Jump Ball (J.Goldenberg)0
63.4%
0
36.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.24 61.9%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
25
72%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
HOU
8
18
44%
MIA
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
MIA
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
Free Throws
HOU
21
26
81%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4168%20.5 / 30
C. Paul2460%12.0 / 20
C. Capela1372%6.5 / 9
G. Green1260%6.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute956%4.5 / 8
Nene758%3.5 / 6
P. Tucker375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson3075%15.0 / 20
G. Dragic3079%15.0 / 19
H. Whiteside1647%8.0 / 17
J. Johnson938%4.5 / 12
J. Winslow536%2.5 / 7
B. Adebayo5125%2.5 / 2
D. Jones321%1.5 / 7
T. Johnson321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+8
-9
88
MIA
76
+17
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.24 61.9%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.6
106.6
HOU 122.5 +9.0
MIA 113.5
Pace
97.6
95.8
HOU 89.4 +0.9
MIA 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.3
HOU 16.1 +0.2
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.1%
52.0%
HOU 59.5% +7.8%
MIA 51.7%
TO %
13.5%
14.1%
HOU 10.5% +1.7%
MIA 12.2%
ORB %
21.2%
21.5%
HOU 13.3%
MIA 32.6% +19.3%
FTrt
29.8
22.9
HOU 35.1 +21.5
MIA 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
58.5%
HOU 42.1%
MIA 59.0% +16.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.8%
HOU 9.0% +5.6%
MIA 3.4%
BLK %
8.4%
9.3%
HOU 10.7% +3.7%
MIA 7.0%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
53.5%
HOU 61.9% +7.6%
MIA 54.3%
Rim FG%
62.3%
60.6%
HOU 72.0% +13.4%
MIA 58.6%
Mid FG%
41.2%
38.4%
HOU 44.4% +11.1%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
36.2%
36.0%
HOU 38.7%
MIA 40.6% +1.9%
FT %
78.1%
75.5%
HOU 80.8%
MIA 83.3% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
35.8%
HOU 33.8% +0.8%
MIA 33.0%
Mid Att. %
15.3%
28.4%
HOU 24.3% +6.4%
MIA 30.7%
3P Att. %
50.3%
35.8%
HOU 41.9% +5.5%
MIA 36.4%
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points109101
Rebounds3541
Assists1623
Steals83
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1617
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals38-7439-88
At-the-Rim FG18-2517-29
Midrange FG8-189-27
2-Point FG26-4326-56
3-Point FG12-3113-32
Free Throws21-2610-12
Fast Break Pts72
2nd Chance Pts514
Points in Paint4044
Pts off Turnovers2111
Bench Points1917
Biggest Lead174

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 245 · 33
41.0
3
75%
5
1
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 230 · 31
36.6
9
56%
1
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 175 · 33
36.4
24
60%
7
7
1
0
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
7-11
64%
3-8
38%
G · 6'5" 220 · 28
36.4
41
68%
4
6
3
1
4
2
0
4
10-12
83%
8-13
62%
5-12
42%
C · 6'10" 256 · 24
29.1
13
72%
8
0
0
3
2
3
2
6
1-2
50%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32
25.7
12
60%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35
18.9
7
58%
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 33
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26
#5 · F · 6'7" 218 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 185 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
62%
35
16
8
6
9
16
4
31
21-26
81%
26-43
60%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.