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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 7, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Timberwolves61%116138
18Cavaliers39%113140
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 28.4
46.5
34.2
35
78%
5
6
2
2
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
4-5
80%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.0
39.9
34.0
19
68%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
6-12
60%
50%
4-8
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.7
38.7
27.7
14
58%
3
15
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 22.2
36.9
31.2
30
109%
10
1
1
1
2
3
1
9
4-4
100%
4-6
6-9
67%
59%
6-6
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
35.1
31.3
9
53%
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 37.9
20.1
18.2
16
62%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
47%
2-5
40%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.7
17.5
16.6
5
50%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-4
25%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 28.1
16.1
15.6
10
63%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.7
14.3
18.2
0
0%
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 25.2
3.6
0
1-1
51%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 33.1
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 29.3
1.5
0
0-0
56%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 25.3
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 23.9
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 20.7
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 33.1
48.3
33.2
37
81%
10
15
1
1
1
5
1
9
0-2
0%
11-15
7-12
73%
59%
5-7
71%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
36.1
26.5
20
71%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
6-11
55%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.0
31.3
28.0
13
73%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.9
28.9
25.5
17
76%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
3-5
60%
7-9
3-6
78%
57%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
23.6
24.7
10
74%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
29.3
20.9
13
75%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.8
21.4
3.6
9
77%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
19.9
13.7
4
22%
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-6
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.9
18.8
19.4
14
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
4-6
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.3
7.4
14.3
3
39%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.4
3.2
0
0-0
48%
Ante Zizic
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 21.1
1.7
0
0-0
52%
John Holland
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 27.6
London Perrantes
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.3
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 36.1
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.