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All Games Wednesday, February 7, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Spurs
79%110
129
30
Suns
21%99
81
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
127.710195.6
PHX logo PHX
80.2101107.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASPHX
Q4 - 0:06.0PHXHouse 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Reed 2 AST)129
100%
81
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.23 61.4%
PHX
0.76 38.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
30
63%
PHX
22
33
67%
Midrange
SAS
11
31
35%
PHX
8
32
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
16
24.0
32
50%
75%
PHX
3
4.5
32
9%
14%
Free Throws
SAS
21
27
78%
PHX
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2377%11.5 / 15
P. Mills18100%9.0 / 9
D. Green1794%8.5 / 9
D. Murray1458%7.0 / 12
T. Parker1365%6.5 / 10
D. White1083%5.0 / 6
D. Bertans950%4.5 / 9
M. Ginobili880%4.0 / 5
B. Forbes735%3.5 / 10
P. Gasol525%2.5 / 10
B. Paul338%1.5 / 4
J. Lauvergne250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Len1470%7.0 / 10
J. Jackson1336%6.5 / 18
D. Bender1275%6.0 / 8
T. Warren1150%5.5 / 11
J. Gray926%4.5 / 17
M. Chriss735%3.5 / 10
D. House638%3.0 / 8
T. Daniels536%2.5 / 7
D. Reed214%1.0 / 7
A. Peters214%1.0 / 7
T. Ulis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
89
+16
-12
105
PHX
90
+16
-11
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.23 61.4%
PHX
0.76 38.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
103.7
SAS 127.7
PHX 80.2 +47.5
Pace
95.3
100.1
SAS 95.6
PHX 107.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
14.0
SAS 15.1
PHX 13.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
49.5%
SAS 58.1% +22.5%
PHX 35.6%
TO %
13.3%
15.0%
SAS 10.3%
PHX 9.5% +0.8%
ORB %
23.6%
22.5%
SAS 29.8% +11.2%
PHX 18.6%
FTrt
24.5
27.5
SAS 29.0 +10.4
PHX 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
55.3%
SAS 56.5% +11.0%
PHX 45.5%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
SAS 5.9%
PHX 7.9% +2.0%
BLK %
9.7%
7.5%
SAS 9.2% +2.6%
PHX 6.6%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.1%
SAS 61.4% +23.2%
PHX 38.2%
Rim FG%
61.2%
58.4%
SAS 63.3%
PHX 66.7% +3.4%
Mid FG%
40.7%
38.1%
SAS 35.5% +10.5%
PHX 25.0%
3P %
35.2%
33.4%
SAS 50.0% +40.6%
PHX 9.4%
FT %
77.2%
74.0%
SAS 77.8% +11.1%
PHX 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
37.3%
SAS 32.3%
PHX 34.0% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
39.5%
30.7%
SAS 33.3%
PHX 33.0% +0.3%
3P Att. %
28.2%
32.0%
SAS 34.4% +1.4%
PHX 33.0%
Game TotalsSASPHX
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points12981
Rebounds6244
Assists2615
Steals68
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1723
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)48 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals46-9333-97
At-the-Rim FG19-3022-33
Midrange FG11-318-32
2-Point FG30-6130-65
3-Point FG16-323-32
Free Throws21-2712-18
Fast Break Pts1212
2nd Chance Pts1617
Points in Paint4646
Pts off Turnovers1413
Bench Points6638
Biggest Lead530

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
7 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33
27.7
23
77%
13
4
0
2
0
2
6
7
3-5
60%
10-13
77%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C · 6'10" 210 · 25
26.2
9
50%
6
2
1
0
2
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G · 6'6" 215 · 31
21.9
17
94%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24
19.4
0
0%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 21
13.2
14
58%
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38
22.9
5
25%
11
4
1
3
2
1
2
9
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25
21.9
7
35%
5
1
0
0
1
5
0
5
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 36
17.1
13
65%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29
17.0
18
100%
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 41
15.4
8
80%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26
14.4
2
50%
4
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
12.0
10
83%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
10.9
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
#22 · F · 6'8" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Matt Costello
#10 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Darrun Hilliard
#24 · G · 6'6" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · F · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
61%
62
26
6
6
12
17
14
48
21-27
78%
30-61
49%
16-32
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.