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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 7, 2018
10:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs79%110129
30Suns21%9981
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
27.7
33.0
23
71%
13
4
0
1
2
0
6
7
3-5
60%
10-13
8-16
77%
52%
0-1
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 25.2
26.2
18.1
9
51%
6
2
1
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
58%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
21.9
27.5
17
94%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 24.4
19.4
25.3
0
0%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 21.4
13.2
23.7
14
56%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
7-12
4-8
58%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 37.6
22.9
20.6
5
25%
11
4
1
0
3
2
2
9
1-2
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
21.9
17.9
7
34%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.7
17.1
19.1
13
63%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
17.0
22.4
18
95%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
5-7
71%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 40.5
15.4
20.3
8
82%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
14.4
3.4
2
53%
4
2
0
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.6
12.0
2.2
10
85%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
3-3
100%
Brandon Paul
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
10.9
1.5
3
39%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.5
Matt Costello
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.0
33.0
29.4
13
36%
6
0
0
1
2
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
0-4
0%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 20.2
31.5
29.4
12
75%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
2-4
50%
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
29.1
18.9
7
35%
10
1
1
1
0
3
1
9
5-7
71%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-4
0%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.4
28.7
33.4
11
49%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-10
7-14
40%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 22.1
9.4
21.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Gray
G · 6'1" 182 · 24.4
31.5
11.4
9
27%
4
7
4
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-11
1-2
36%
41%
0-5
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 24.6
18.0
12.2
14
65%
5
3
1
0
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
6-9
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.7
16.7
2.7
2
14%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
15.1
9.9
6
38%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-4
0%
Alec Peters
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
11.7
3.4
2
14%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
9.7
22.2
5
36%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
1-4
25%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 32.6
5.8
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 26.2
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 35.4
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 25.0
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 206 · 21.3
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.