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All Games Thursday, February 8, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Mavericks
15%102
103
1
Warriors
85%117
121
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
107.39693.2
GSW logo GSW
124.797100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALGSW
Q4 - 0:27.0GSWMcCaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)101
0%
118
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.01 50.5%
GSW
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
20
70%
GSW
21
35
60%
Midrange
DAL
17
35
49%
GSW
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
9
13.5
37
24%
36%
GSW
14
21.0
29
48%
72%
Free Throws
DAL
14
17
82%
GSW
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Smith Jr.2261%11.0 / 18
D. Powell1890%9.0 / 10
W. Matthews1747%8.5 / 18
D. Nowitzki1673%8.0 / 11
S. Mejri1050%5.0 / 10
Y. Ferrell945%4.5 / 10
J. Barea630%3.0 / 10
M. Kleber217%1.0 / 6
K. Collinsworth225%1.0 / 4
J. Jones125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2480%12.0 / 15
S. Curry2083%10.0 / 12
K. Thompson1860%9.0 / 15
D. Green1232%6.0 / 19
D. West1071%5.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia880%4.0 / 5
K. Looney675%3.0 / 4
S. Livingston660%3.0 / 5
N. Young660%3.0 / 5
A. Iguodala583%2.5 / 3
J. McGee467%2.0 / 3
P. McCaw225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
86
+16
-10
102
GSW
81
+19
-16
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.01 50.5%
GSW
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
113.3
DAL 107.3
GSW 124.7 +17.5
Pace
95.8
99.9
DAL 93.2
GSW 100.1 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.2
DAL 15.5
GSW 14.4 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.3%
56.9%
DAL 48.4%
GSW 59.1% +10.7%
TO %
12.2%
15.0%
DAL 10.8% +3.4%
GSW 14.2%
ORB %
18.0%
21.1%
DAL 21.4%
GSW 41.9% +20.5%
FTrt
21.7
23.9
DAL 18.5
GSW 22.7 +4.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
68.5%
DAL 47.5%
GSW 82.2% +34.7%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
DAL 15.6% +9.4%
GSW 6.2%
BLK %
7.0%
12.3%
DAL 11.9%
GSW 12.7% +0.8%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
58.8%
DAL 50.5%
GSW 60.5% +10.0%
Rim FG%
59.9%
66.5%
DAL 70.0% +10.0%
GSW 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.9%
46.7%
DAL 48.6% +6.9%
GSW 41.7%
3P %
36.0%
39.1%
DAL 24.3%
GSW 48.3% +24.0%
FT %
76.3%
81.5%
DAL 82.4%
GSW 85.0% +2.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
31.3%
DAL 21.7%
GSW 39.8% +18.0%
Mid Att. %
31.6%
34.8%
DAL 38.0%
GSW 27.3% +10.8%
3P Att. %
38.2%
34.0%
DAL 40.2% +7.3%
GSW 33.0%
Game TotalsDALGSW
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points103121
Rebounds3451
Assists1937
Steals156
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)16 (0)
Fouls1618
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals40-9245-88
At-the-Rim FG14-2021-35
Midrange FG17-3510-24
2-Point FG31-5531-59
3-Point FG9-3714-29
Free Throws14-1717-20
Fast Break Pts1722
2nd Chance Pts1717
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers2013
Bench Points2439
Biggest Lead1221

BOXSCORES

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21 Dallas Mavericks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwight Powell
C · 6'10" 240 · 27
31.4
18
90%
6
2
2
0
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20
30.3
22
61%
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
Wesley Matthews
F · 6'5" 220 · 31
28.9
17
47%
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
2-9
22%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 34
28.2
6
30%
0
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-5
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
F · 7'0" 245 · 40
27.9
16
73%
11
1
5
2
0
1
0
11
3-3
100%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25
30.7
9
45%
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 26
20.1
2
17%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26
19.1
2
25%
0
1
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 32
16.6
10
50%
5
1
0
2
1
5
3
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 25
6.8
1
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 31
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 23
Seth Curry
#30 · G · 6'2" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dorian Finney-Smith
#10 · F · 6'7" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Doug McDermott
#20 · F · 6'6" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Nerlens Noel
#3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Harrison Barnes
#40 · F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
51%
34
19
15
7
10
16
9
25
14-17
82%
31-55
56%
9-37
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.