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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 9, 2018
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets27%107104
2Rockets73%116130
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 27.1
28
34
6
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 21.0
26
31
6
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
23
34
8
1
3
0
2
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
55%
0-7
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
23
22
11
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
22
33
14
7
5
2
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
5-7
5-10
71%
55%
1-1
100%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
28
22
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
51%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.3
27
23
24
7
4
0
0
0
1
0
7
7-7
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
50%
1-5
20%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
22
2
10
2
6
3
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
0-0
80%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.2
17
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
17
3
6
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
48%
0-4
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
7
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
4
0
1-1
52%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 37.6
3
0
0-0
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 33.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.8
30
34
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
29
29
23
25
0
0
1
2
1
7
18
5-11
45%
9-15
6-10
60%
64%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 28.5
27
34
28
7
11
0
2
0
5
1
6
9-11
82%
2-5
5-10
40%
53%
5-11
45%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
24
33
14
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
3-3
2-3
100%
53%
2-2
100%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.8
22
31
11
0
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
53%
0-4
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.8
30
14
9
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
3-3
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.1
27
16
12
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 32.0
26
23
16
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
4-9
44%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
16
3
8
5
0
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
9
8
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.4
16
1
3-5
58%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 32.6
10
0
0-1
54%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.3
Zhou Qi
F-C · 7'1" 210 · 22.1
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 21.3
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.