Final Win Prob. pScore
827%107
104
273%116
130
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
106.198103.5
HOU logo Rockets
130.010094.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU104
130
Q4 - 0:14.0DENBlack STEAL (1 STL)104
130
Q4 - 0:17.0DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
130
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Green 1' Driving Layup104
130
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)104
130
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)103
130
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUBlack S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Williams)102
130
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUBlack P.FOUL (P2.T4) (R.Mott)102
130
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUBrown 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)102
130
Q4 - 1:00DENHernangomez 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Morris 6 AST)102
127
Q4 - 1:09HOUGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tucker 2 AST)100
127
Q4 - 1:14HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
124
Q4 - 1:16HOUMISS Tucker 21' Step Back Jump Shot100
124
Q4 - 1:37DENMorris 11' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)100
124
Q4 - 1:50DENBeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
124
Q4 - 1:53HOUMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot98
124
Q4 - 2:14DENBeasley 2' Running Dunk (7 PTS)98
124
Q4 - 2:20HOUBlack Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)96
124
Q4 - 2:31DENLyles Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)96
124
Q4 - 2:31HOUBrown S.FOUL (P2.T3) (J.Williams)95
124
Q4 - 2:31DENLyles 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Morris 5 AST)95
124
Q4 - 2:40HOUGreen 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)93
124
Q4 - 3:02HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
122
Q4 - 3:02DENMISS Hernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
122
Q4 - 3:12DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
122
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
122
Q4 - 3:24DENHernangomez 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)93
122
Q4 - 3:25DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
122
Q4 - 3:26DENMISS Morris 1' Driving Reverse Layup91
122
Q4 - 3:36DENNuggets Rebound91
122
Q4 - 3:36DENBlack BLOCK (2 BLK)91
122
Q4 - 3:40DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
122
Q4 - 3:41HOUMISS Green 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot91
122
Q4 - 4:01DENHernangomez 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)91
122
Q4 - 4:01DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
122
Q4 - 4:02DENMISS Craig 1' Cutting Layup Shot89
122
Q4 - 4:25DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)89
122
Q4 - 4:26HOUBlack 1' Tip Dunk Shot (8 PTS)89
122
Q4 - 4:26HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
120
Q4 - 4:27HOUMISS Green 14' Pullup Jump Shot89
120
Q4 - 4:38HOUROCKETS Rebound89
120
Q4 - 4:38DENMISS Hernangomez 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
120
Q4 - 4:52HOUBlack Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)89
120
Q4 - 4:57HOUROCKETS Rebound89
118
Q4 - 4:57HOUMISS Green 2' Driving Layup89
118
Q4 - 5:06HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
118
Q4 - 5:08DENMISS Lyles 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
118
Q4 - 5:19DENNuggets Rebound89
118
Q4 - 5:22HOUMISS Tucker 3PT Jump Shot89
118
Q4 - 5:27HOUROCKETS Rebound89
118
Q4 - 5:27DENMISS Craig 8' Jump Shot89
118
Q4 - 5:31HOUBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)89
118
Q4 - 5:32HOUBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
118
Q4 - 5:33DENBlack BLOCK (1 BLK)89
118
Q4 - 5:51HOUGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
118
Q4 - 5:51HOUGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
117
Q4 - 5:51DENLyles S.FOUL (P3.T2) (J.Williams)89
116
Q4 - 6:00DENMorris 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)89
116
Q4 - 6:14HOUBlack Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)87
116
Q4 - 6:28DENLyles Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
114
Q4 - 6:28DENLyles Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
114
Q4 - 6:28DENBeasley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)85
114
Q4 - 6:28HOUGreen T.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Goble)84
114
Q4 - 6:28HOUGreen S.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Goble)84
114
Q4 - 6:42HOUTucker 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)84
114
Q4 - 7:00DENCraig 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lyles 4 AST)84
111
Q4 - 7:16DENMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
111
Q4 - 7:19HOUMISS Brown 3' Hook Shot82
111
Q4 - 7:40DENLyles Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
111
Q4 - 7:40DENLyles Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
111
Q4 - 7:40HOUBrown S.FOUL (P1.T1) (R.Mott)80
111
Q4 - 7:53HOUBlack 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)80
111
Q4 - 8:08DENLyles 2' Cutting Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Morris 4 AST)80
111
Q4 - 8:17DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
111
Q4 - 8:19HOUMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
111
Q4 - 8:32DENCraig 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Morris 3 AST)78
111
Q4 - 8:58HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Capela76
111
Q4 - 8:58HOUSUB: Brown FOR Gordon76
111
Q4 - 8:58HOUSUB: Black FOR Paul76
111
Q4 - 8:58DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)76
111
Q4 - 8:59HOUPaul 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
111
Q4 - 9:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:7 Def:18)76
109
Q4 - 9:19DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)76
109
Q4 - 9:38HOUGreen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)76
109
Q4 - 9:56DENBeasley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Morris 2 AST)76
106
Q4 - 10:06HOUPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)74
106
Q4 - 10:06HOUPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)74
105
Q4 - 10:06HOUPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)74
104
Q4 - 10:06DENHernangomez S.FOUL (P1.T1) (R.Mott)74
103
Q4 - 10:29DENLyles 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)74
103
Q4 - 10:37HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)72
103
Q4 - 10:54HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
100
Q4 - 10:55DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
100
Q4 - 11:01DENCraig REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
100
Q4 - 11:04HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
100
Q4 - 11:18DENMorris 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
100
Q4 - 11:30HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)70
100
Q4 - 11:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:7 Def:17)70
97
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup70
97
Q4 - 12:0070
97
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
97
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)70
97
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
94
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
94
Q3 - 0:26.0DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
94
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot70
94
Q3 - 0:41.0HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
94
Q3 - 0:41.0DENMISS Hernangomez 1' Cutting Layup Shot70
94
Q3 - 0:42.0DENCraig REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
94
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Lyles 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot70
94
Q3 - 1:02HOUPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
94
Q3 - 1:02HOUPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
93
Q3 - 1:02DENMorris P.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Williams)70
92
Q3 - 1:16DENLyles 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)70
92
Q3 - 1:31HOUSUB: Black FOR Capela68
92
Q3 - 1:35DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
92
Q3 - 1:37HOUMISS Capela 3' Hook Shot68
92
Q3 - 1:45HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:7 Def:16)68
92
Q3 - 1:47DENMISS Lyles 1' Driving Layup68
92
Q3 - 2:04HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
92
Q3 - 2:04HOUSUB: Paul FOR Harden68
91
Q3 - 2:04HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)68
91
Q3 - 2:04DENLyles S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Williams)68
90
Q3 - 2:04HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15)68
90
Q3 - 2:05HOUMISS Gordon 14' Pullup Jump Shot68
90
Q3 - 2:20DENLyles 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)68
90
Q3 - 2:26HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)66
90
Q3 - 2:38HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
90
Q3 - 2:38DENMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
90
Q3 - 2:48DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
90
Q3 - 2:48HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
90
Q3 - 3:09DENMorris 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Hernangomez 1 AST)66
90
Q3 - 3:12HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)64
90
Q3 - 3:18DENBeasley 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)64
90
Q3 - 3:31HOUGordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)62
90
Q3 - 3:38HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)62
87
Q3 - 3:39DENMISS Craig 11' Fadeaway Jumper62
87
Q3 - 3:51HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)62
87
Q3 - 3:51HOUSUB: Green FOR Mbah a Moute62
86
Q3 - 3:51HOUROCKETS Rebound62
86
Q3 - 3:51HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 262
86
Q3 - 3:51DENCraig S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Goble)62
86
Q3 - 4:14DENLyles 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)62
86
Q3 - 4:28HOUHarden Offensive Foul Turnover (P3.T7)60
86
Q3 - 4:28HOUHarden OFF.Foul (P2) (J.Williams)60
86
Q3 - 4:41DENLyles 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)60
86
Q3 - 5:04DENSUB: Beasley FOR Murray58
86
Q3 - 5:04DENSUB: Lyles FOR Chandler58
86
Q3 - 5:04DENSUB: Hernangomez FOR Harris58
86
Q3 - 5:04DENSUB: Morris FOR Barton58
86
Q3 - 5:04DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)58
86
Q3 - 5:06HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (27 PTS)58
86
Q3 - 5:12HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)58
84
Q3 - 5:15DENMISS Murray 1' Layup58
84
Q3 - 5:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
84
Q3 - 5:30HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 258
84
Q3 - 5:30HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Tucker58
84
Q3 - 5:30HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
84
Q3 - 5:30DENBarton S.FOUL (P2.T4) (R.Mott)58
83
Q3 - 5:32HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)58
83
Q3 - 5:33HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot58
83
Q3 - 5:55HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
83
Q3 - 5:56DENMISS Barton 1' Driving Bank Hook Shot58
83
Q3 - 6:09HOUJump Ball Mbah a Moute vs. Chandler: Tip to Murray58
83
Q3 - 6:15DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
83
Q3 - 6:16HOUMISS Capela 6' Hook Shot58
83
Q3 - 6:28DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
83
Q3 - 6:28DENSUB: Craig FOR Jokic57
83
Q3 - 6:28HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Paul57
83
Q3 - 6:28DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
83
Q3 - 6:28HOUPaul S.FOUL (P3.T3) (J.Goble)56
83
Q3 - 6:30DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
83
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
83
Q3 - 6:41HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)56
83
Q3 - 6:42DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
83
Q3 - 6:59HOUPaul 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
83
Q3 - 7:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
81
Q3 - 7:18DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
81
Q3 - 7:40HOUMbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tucker 1 AST)56
81
Q3 - 7:59DENJokic 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (14 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)56
78
Q3 - 8:11DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)54
78
Q3 - 8:12HOUHarden 27' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)54
78
Q3 - 8:23HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
75
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 254
75
Q3 - 8:23DENNuggets Rebound54
75
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 254
75
Q3 - 8:23HOUCapela S.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)54
75
Q3 - 8:44HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)54
75
Q3 - 8:44HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)54
74
Q3 - 8:44DENHarris S.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Mott)54
73
Q3 - 8:56DENJokic 6' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)54
73
Q3 - 9:13DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
73
Q3 - 9:13HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 152
73
Q3 - 9:13DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
73
Q3 - 9:13DENJokic S.FOUL (P4.T2) (J.Goble)52
73
Q3 - 9:13HOUCapela 1' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)52
73
Q3 - 9:23DEN52
71
Q3 - 9:24DENHarris 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)52
71
Q3 - 9:44HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)50
71
Q3 - 9:50HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)50
68
Q3 - 9:51DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
68
Q3 - 10:15HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (18 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)50
68
Q3 - 10:26DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
66
Q3 - 10:26DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
66
Q3 - 10:26HOUPaul S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Goble)48
66
Q3 - 10:39HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
66
Q3 - 10:39HOUROCKETS Rebound48
65
Q3 - 10:39HOUMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 248
65
Q3 - 10:39DENJokic S.FOUL (P3.T1) (R.Mott)48
65
Q3 - 10:51DENJokic 5' Putback Layup (10 PTS)48
65
Q3 - 10:51DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
65
Q3 - 10:53DENMISS Jokic 5' Layup46
65
Q3 - 10:59DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
65
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot46
65
Q3 - 11:19HOUTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
65
Q3 - 11:22DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
65
Q3 - 11:42HOUCapela Dunk (16 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)46
65
Q3 - 12:0046
63
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
63
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
63
Q2 - 0:09.0DENChandler 18' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
60
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)44
60
Q2 - 0:53.0DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
58
Q2 - 0:53.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
58
Q2 - 0:53.0HOUTucker S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Goble)42
58
Q2 - 1:08HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
58
Q2 - 1:08HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
57
Q2 - 1:08DENCraig S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Goble)42
56
Q2 - 1:20DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)42
56
Q2 - 1:26DENSUB: Craig FOR Jokic39
56
Q2 - 1:26HOUMbah a Moute P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Goble)39
56
Q2 - 1:36DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
56
Q2 - 1:37HOUMISS Anderson 14' Fadeaway Jumper39
56
Q2 - 2:01DENHarris 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
56
Q2 - 2:09DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
56
Q2 - 2:11HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 2:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
56
Q2 - 2:32DENMISS Murray 19' Step Back Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 2:48HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)37
56
Q2 - 2:48HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)37
55
Q2 - 2:48HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)37
54
Q2 - 2:48DENHarris S.FOUL (P1.PN) (R.Mott)37
53
Q2 - 2:51HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Capela37
53
Q2 - 2:51HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
53
Q2 - 2:51HOUROCKETS Rebound37
53
Q2 - 2:53HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
53
Q2 - 3:07DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)37
53
Q2 - 3:22HOUCapela 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)35
53
Q2 - 3:47DENMurray Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)35
51
Q2 - 3:52DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
51
Q2 - 3:56DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot35
51
Q2 - 4:07HOUMbah a Moute 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)35
51
Q2 - 4:11HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
49
Q2 - 4:13DENCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)35
49
Q2 - 4:28HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)35
49
Q2 - 4:28HOUROCKETS Rebound35
49
Q2 - 4:28HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot35
49
Q2 - 4:34HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
49
Q2 - 4:35HOUMISS Harden 12' Driving Layup35
49
Q2 - 4:53HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)35
49
Q2 - 4:54DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
49
Q2 - 5:02DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
49
Q2 - 5:04HOUMISS Tucker 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
49
Q2 - 5:13HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)35
49
Q2 - 5:16DENGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)35
49
Q2 - 5:26DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
49
Q2 - 5:26HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 235
49
Q2 - 5:26HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
49
Q2 - 5:26DENJokic S.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Williams)35
48
Q2 - 5:27HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)35
48
Q2 - 5:28HOUMISS Harden 12' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot35
48
Q2 - 5:35HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)35
48
Q2 - 5:39DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot35
48
Q2 - 5:56HOUMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)35
48
Q2 - 5:56DENSUB: Harris FOR Lyles35
47
Q2 - 5:56DENChandler S.FOUL (P2.T3) (R.Mott)35
47
Q2 - 5:56HOUMbah a Moute 1' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)35
47
Q2 - 6:08DENMurray 9' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)35
45
Q2 - 6:20HOUGordon 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)33
45
Q2 - 6:28DENChandler Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)33
43
Q2 - 6:41DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
43
Q2 - 6:42HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 6:50DENLyles Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
43
Q2 - 6:50DENSUB: Jokic FOR Arthur30
43
Q2 - 6:50HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Green30
43
Q2 - 6:50HOUSUB: Harden FOR Paul30
43
Q2 - 6:50DENLyles Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 6:50HOUGreen S.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)29
43
Q2 - 7:08HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)29
43
Q2 - 7:08HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)29
41
Q2 - 7:09HOUMISS Tucker 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot29
41
Q2 - 7:32DENBarton 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)29
41
Q2 - 7:41DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
41
Q2 - 7:43HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 7:57DENBarton Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)27
41
Q2 - 8:10DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
41
Q2 - 8:11HOUMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 8:20DENMurray 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)27
41
Q2 - 8:43DENSUB: Murray FOR Morris27
41
Q2 - 8:43DENSUB: Chandler FOR Craig27
41
Q2 - 8:43HOUSUB: Mbah a Moute FOR Anderson27
41
Q2 - 8:43HOUSUB: Tucker FOR Gordon27
41
Q2 - 8:43DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
41
Q2 - 8:43HOUCapela 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)27
41
Q2 - 8:51DENPaul STEAL (2 STL)27
39
Q2 - 8:58DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
39
Q2 - 8:58HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup27
39
Q2 - 9:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)27
39
Q2 - 9:22DENMISS Barton 20' Pullup Jump Shot27
39
Q2 - 9:38HOUPaul P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goble)27
39
Q2 - 9:39HOUGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
39
Q2 - 9:43HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
39
Q2 - 9:46HOUMISS Green 1' Layup27
39
Q2 - 9:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)27
39
Q2 - 9:59DENMISS Lyles 3PT Jump Shot27
39
Q2 - 10:19DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39
Q2 - 10:19HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 227
39
Q2 - 10:19HOUROCKETS Rebound27
39
Q2 - 10:19HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 227
39
Q2 - 10:19DENArthur S.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)27
39
Q2 - 10:27HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)27
39
Q2 - 10:28DENMISS Barton 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot27
39
Q2 - 10:37HOUPaul 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
39
Q2 - 10:49HOUSUB: Capela FOR Black27
37
Q2 - 10:49DENLyles L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Williams)27
37
Q2 - 10:49HOUROCKETS Rebound27
37
Q2 - 10:49HOUMISS Paul 8' Step Back Jump Shot27
37
Q2 - 11:02DENArthur 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Lyles 3 AST)27
37
Q2 - 11:19HOUGordon 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)25
37
Q2 - 11:33DENArthur 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Lyles 2 AST)25
35
Q2 - 11:46DENMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
35
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Gordon 18' Pullup Jump Shot23
35
Q2 - 12:0023
35
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU23
35
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
35
Q1 - 0:06.0DENCraig 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lyles 1 AST)23
35
Q1 - 0:30.0DENLyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
35
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
35
Q1 - 0:37.0DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)21
35
Q1 - 0:53.0HOUGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
35
Q1 - 1:12HOUGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
32
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Lyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
32
Q1 - 1:23DENSUB: Arthur FOR Murray21
32
Q1 - 1:23DENSUB: Morris FOR Jokic21
32
Q1 - 1:23DENSUB: Barton FOR Harris21
32
Q1 - 1:23HOUSUB: Paul FOR Harden21
32
Q1 - 1:23HOUBlack P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Williams)21
32
Q1 - 1:35DENCraig REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
32
Q1 - 1:36HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot21
32
Q1 - 1:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
32
Q1 - 1:43DENMISS Lyles 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
32
Q1 - 2:01HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
32
Q1 - 2:08HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
29
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
29
Q1 - 2:20HOUAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)21
29
Q1 - 2:30DENHarris 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)21
26
Q1 - 2:43HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)19
26
Q1 - 3:01DENLyles 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)19
26
Q1 - 3:17DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
26
Q1 - 3:18HOUBlack 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)16
26
Q1 - 3:32DENCraig Putback Layup (2 PTS)16
24
Q1 - 3:34DENCraig REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
24
Q1 - 3:35DENAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)14
24
Q1 - 3:55HOUGreen 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)14
24
Q1 - 4:02DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)14
21
Q1 - 4:11DENSUB: Lyles FOR Chandler11
21
Q1 - 4:11HOUGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
21
Q1 - 4:24DENJokic 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)11
21
Q1 - 4:37HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)9
21
Q1 - 4:37HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
20
Q1 - 4:37DENCraig S.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Williams)9
19
Q1 - 4:48DENSUB: Craig FOR Barton9
19
Q1 - 4:48HOUSUB: Green FOR Capela9
19
Q1 - 4:48HOUSUB: Black FOR Mbah a Moute9
19
Q1 - 4:48DENJokic Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T4)9
19
Q1 - 4:48DENJokic OFF.Foul (P1) (J.Goble)9
19
Q1 - 5:03HOUCapela 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)9
19
Q1 - 5:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)9
17
Q1 - 5:04HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup9
17
Q1 - 5:26HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)9
17
Q1 - 5:27DENMISS Chandler 3PT Step Back Jump Shot9
17
Q1 - 5:55HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
17
Q1 - 6:16HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 6:17DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 6:25HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
14
Q1 - 6:40HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 6:40DENMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 19
14
Q1 - 6:40HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Tucker9
14
Q1 - 6:40HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
14
Q1 - 6:40HOUTucker S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Williams)9
14
Q1 - 6:40DENMurray 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)9
14
Q1 - 6:46HOUMbah a Moute 5' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
14
Q1 - 6:54HOUMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12
Q1 - 6:56DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:10DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12
Q1 - 7:10HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 27
12
Q1 - 7:10HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Paul7
12
Q1 - 7:10HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 7:10DENMurray S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Williams)7
11
Q1 - 7:29DENChandler 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
11
Q1 - 7:37DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11
Q1 - 7:40HOUMISS Tucker 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 7:46DENMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)5
11
Q1 - 7:55HOUCapela Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
11
Q1 - 7:57DENBarton P.FOUL (P1.T2) (R.Mott)5
11
Q1 - 8:02DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
11
Q1 - 8:09DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 8:10HOUMISS Capela 1' Reverse Layup5
11
Q1 - 8:12HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)5
11
Q1 - 8:14HOUMISS Capela 1' Tip Layup Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:14HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
11
Q1 - 8:14HOUMISS Tucker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup5
11
Q1 - 8:18DENPaul STEAL (1 STL)5
11
Q1 - 8:28DENNuggets Rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:28DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:29DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 8:31DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:35DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 8:37HOUMISS Capela 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:45HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
11
Q1 - 8:47DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:55DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 8:57HOUMISS Paul 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 9:17DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
11
Q1 - 9:17DENNuggets Rebound4
11
Q1 - 9:17DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 24
11
Q1 - 9:17HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T1) (R.Mott)4
11
Q1 - 9:36HOUMbah a Moute 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)4
11
Q1 - 9:48DENMurray 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)4
8
Q1 - 10:06HOUTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
8
Q1 - 10:10HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
5
Q1 - 10:11DENCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)2
5
Q1 - 10:28HOUCapela 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)2
5
Q1 - 10:48DENJokic 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
3
Q1 - 10:58HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 10:58HOUROCKETS Rebound0
2
Q1 - 10:58HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 20
2
Q1 - 10:58DENChandler S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Goble)0
2
Q1 - 11:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
2
Q1 - 11:05DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:20HOUCapela 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:36HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38DENMISS Chandler 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Jokic: Tip to Murray0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.5%
HOU
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
25
39
64%
HOU
20
31
65%
Midrange
DEN
14
21
67%
HOU
4
14
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
28
11%
16%
HOU
19
28.5
41
46%
70%
Free Throws
DEN
17
21
81%
HOU
25
34
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lyles2467%12.0 / 18
N. Jokić1478%7.0 / 9
W. Chandler1155%5.5 / 10
M. Morris1083%5.0 / 6
G. Harris833%4.0 / 12
T. Craig844%4.0 / 9
M. Beasley758%3.5 / 6
W. Barton633%3.0 / 9
J. Murray638%3.0 / 8
J. Hernangomez638%3.0 / 8
D. Arthur4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2867%14.0 / 21
C. Capela2357%11.5 / 20
G. Green1653%8.0 / 15
L. Mbah a Moute14117%7.0 / 6
E. Gordon1260%6.0 / 10
C. Paul1155%5.5 / 10
R. Anderson9113%4.5 / 4
T. Black8100%4.0 / 4
P. Tucker638%3.0 / 8
M. Brown350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+9
-10
97
HOU
89
+15
-11
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.05 52.5%
HOU
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.3
114.6
DEN 106.1
HOU 130.0 +23.9
Pace
97.0
97.6
DEN 103.5 +8.6
HOU 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.5
DEN 13.9 −1.3
HOU 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
55.1%
DEN 49.4%
HOU 61.0% +11.6%
TO %
14.6%
13.5%
DEN 9.3% −1.3%
HOU 10.6%
ORB %
25.6%
21.2%
DEN 15.9%
HOU 25.6% +9.7%
FTrt
25.8
29.8
DEN 23.9
HOU 39.5 +15.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
55.7%
DEN 59.5%
HOU 60.5% +1.0%
STL %
7.8%
8.7%
DEN 7.1% +2.1%
HOU 5.0%
BLK %
8.5%
8.4%
DEN 4.4%
HOU 11.7% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
57.6%
DEN 52.5%
HOU 62.5% +10.0%
Rim FG%
60.1%
62.3%
DEN 64.1%
HOU 64.5% +0.4%
Mid FG%
41.1%
41.2%
DEN 66.7% +38.1%
HOU 28.6%
3P %
37.1%
36.2%
DEN 10.7%
HOU 46.3% +35.6%
FT %
76.6%
78.1%
DEN 81.0% +7.5%
HOU 73.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
34.4%
DEN 44.3% +8.3%
HOU 36.0%
Mid Att. %
25.8%
15.3%
DEN 23.9%
HOU 16.3% −7.6%
3P Att. %
35.7%
50.3%
DEN 31.8%
HOU 47.7% +15.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.48 and 3.48.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions98100
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points104130
Rebounds3948
Assists2526
Steals75
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)11 (1)
Fouls2016
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals42-8843-86
At-the-Rim FG25-3920-31
Midrange FG14-214-14
2-Point FG39-6024-45
3-Point FG3-2819-41
Free Throws17-2125-34
Fast Break Pts813
2nd Chance Pts820
Points in Paint6042
Pts off Turnovers156
Bench Points5948
Biggest Lead035

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 190 · 27
27.5
6
33%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 21
26.3
6
38%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
23.5
8
33%
1
3
0
0
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-7
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
23.5
11
55%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 284 · 23
21.6
14
78%
7
5
2
1
1
4
1
6
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
28.0
8
44%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 22
27.3
24
67%
7
4
0
0
1
3
0
7
7-7
100%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 183 · 23
21.7
10
83%
2
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 196 · 21
17.1
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
17.1
6
38%
6
1
2
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
6.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 28
F · 6'7" 233 · 38
#24 · F-C · 7'0" 254 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'3" 185 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
53%
39
25
7
2
10
20
7
32
17-21
81%
39-60
65%
3-28
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.