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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 10, 2018
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Lakers43%107123
21Mavericks57%109130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
37.0
28.1
26
74%
8
7
0
1
0
5
2
6
6-8
75%
10-14
6-11
71%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 20.4
35.8
32.5
22
69%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
4-5
80%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.0
35.1
27.8
14
72%
6
4
3
1
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
29.1
30.1
9
64%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 29.9
25.6
23.4
16
54%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
1-5
20%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
32.3
22.8
12
47%
15
3
2
0
0
1
2
13
0-2
0%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 29.0
30.6
27.4
22
80%
1
6
1
1
0
6
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
48%
4-8
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 31.9
13.7
13.6
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.9
0.6
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 24.0
0.2
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.7
14.8
0
1-2
52%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.5
4.7
0
0-1
46%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.3
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 20.5
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.2
34.0
30.5
14
51%
5
6
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
26.9
32.2
21
87%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
7-7
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
26.9
29.9
13
82%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
3-6
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 33.6
24.3
23.8
10
63%
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 39.6
24.2
24.9
22
93%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
4-4
100%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.8
26.5
29.7
7
29%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
48%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
23.1
28.3
19
69%
7
1
2
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
8-11
4-6
73%
62%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 26.1
21.1
16.0
8
44%
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.0
14.0
16.9
9
51%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-3
57%
56%
0-1
0%
Kyle Collinsworth
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
11.2
16.6
3
80%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 31.7
7.8
16.3
4
106%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jalen Jones
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Johnathan Motley
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.