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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 11, 2018
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
115
28Hawks
118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 24.5
37
35
25
15
2
1
2
3
1
5
10
9-13
69%
8-14
7-13
57%
55%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 28.9
34
32
23
7
6
1
1
0
2
3
4
6-6
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
51%
3-10
30%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
34
35
20
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
55%
3-6
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
29
30
2
0
7
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
49%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 21.7
20
33
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
2-3
67%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
23
22
14
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
1-2
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
22
25
12
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
56%
3-7
43%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
19
22
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 36.0
19
6
6
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 26.1
4
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
16
1
1-2
43%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
6
0
1-2
48%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 21.1
3
0
0-1
49%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.9
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 27.8
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 28.7
Reggie Hearn
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 24.4
34
28
23
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
9-12
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
31
22
20
13
1
3
1
1
2
2
11
5-6
83%
6-8
3-5
75%
60%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
28
21
19
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
5
7-7
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 28.6
28
24
10
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
7-7
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.9
22
27
2
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 22.0
26
22
10
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
24
18
10
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
19
14
8
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
2-4
50%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
18
22
9
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
57%
0-0
-
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 23.6
11
15
7
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.4
15
0
2-3
57%
Andrew White III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
8
0
1-2
47%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23.6
5
0
0-1
49%
Josh Magette
G · 6'1" 160 · 28.2
Tyler Cavanaugh
F · 6'9" 238 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.